It’s really hard to look at the 20th century and come to that conclusion.
Lifespans got longer. Populations rose.
We wiped out half of the remaining nature, invented atomic and biological weapons, built a total surveillance society.
Are you sure this is going to be alright?
Lifespans got longer. Populations rose.
We wiped out half of the remaining nature, invented atomic and biological weapons, built a total surveillance society.
Are you sure this is going to be alright?
https://twitter.com/cdixon/status/1461212481020301315
And this is kind of my problem. I was yelling about the need for masks and research into mask effectiveness in pandemics >10 years ago
20 years into the work on climate refugees. 20 years of “we have to prepare to save the lives of hundreds of millions, homes destroyed by floods
20 years into the work on climate refugees. 20 years of “we have to prepare to save the lives of hundreds of millions, homes destroyed by floods
When these things arrive, the “optimists” say “my god who could have predicted this unprecedented event” because *their optimism is rooted in avoiding the data about obvious possible risks*.
Add survivor biases, and we have a risk blind incredibly rich pundit class misleading us
Add survivor biases, and we have a risk blind incredibly rich pundit class misleading us
They simply ignored risks and placed their bets. 10,000 start, 10 get rich and the rest go broke, and now everything that comes out of their mouths is perfumed wisdom.
It is very easy to confuse smart and lucky when you’re the one sitting in the mansion drinking white wine.
It is very easy to confuse smart and lucky when you’re the one sitting in the mansion drinking white wine.
This top tier of risk blind pathologist optimists are the people that Warren Buffet and Ray Dalio made extremely reliable fortunes beating out in the long run.
Big funds can afford to wait for the luck to run out and hoover up the remains.
Watch the patient money. Always watch.
Big funds can afford to wait for the luck to run out and hoover up the remains.
Watch the patient money. Always watch.
Climate change, viewed through the lens of techno optimism, is a problem for the next generation to fix.
“We can’t fix this cheaply and easily yet, so it’s clearly a problem to be solved easily tomorrow with the tech we will invent soon!”
Do you know the term “technical debt”?
“We can’t fix this cheaply and easily yet, so it’s clearly a problem to be solved easily tomorrow with the tech we will invent soon!”
Do you know the term “technical debt”?
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