Looking at my AI Based Drug Development companies:
I am really happy with how this space is shaping up. I got 4 really good companies and the ability to circle the wagons around my favorite 3 if I need the cash in this down market. If triage is needed.
Most of these positions are recent additions as so its mostly profitable. I did start buying $SDGR too soon. I could have waited longer but my DCA is still only $52 so its not that bad.
I think $SDGR is the really cheap one here at it has over $100 million in annual software sales that continues to grow and fund the majority of clinical development. They have a lot of great program targets.
I think $RLAY has the most clinical data with their early safety data in FGFR2 and PI3Ka. I think this is my favorite on the science as its doing some very awesome work to go after very challenging pathways in a safe way.
I have only just started a position in $RXRX with their use of robotic labs to run millions of test every week. The data they collect can be used to develop new drugs. They have an interesting pipeline. I just wish they had more data available from the phase 1 readouts.
I just recently got into $EXAI, and its quickly becoming one of my favorites. They have 2 programs. The first takes a single cell genomic profile and uses it to develop more effective cancer treatments to improve patient outcomes. The rest is developing new drugs.
This theme is one of my most exciting spaces for the next decade. The cost of developing new drugs is over $1 billion while the failure rate reaches 90%. The ability of machine learning and AI can dramatically help reduce costs and increase success.
Even if these changes are incremental as companies build out databases and software. I am sure there are many other companies in this space, but these are the 4 that I think stood out as best of breed to me.
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The synthetic biology space is all about creating new biology. This is mostly around engineering yeast or bacteria to become tiny factories. This offers a sustainable resource for rare products.
I have:
$DNA 1.38%
$TWST 1.38%
$ARMS 2.06%
$CDXS .69%
This theme makes up 5.51% of my portfolio.
$DNA is the fan favorite for this space, but it also prices in a huge amount of success already. They focus on engineering microbes to be tiny factories to product products. They also engineer microbes for commercial products like probiotics.
I snagged back a starter position in $CRSP today. I had sold 90% of my position at $175 and the rest at $130. Today, I picked up a starter .69% position at $83.33. It might have lost its innovation for now, but it is the same tech and could do everything $NTLA can.
$ARK has been loading up on $NTLA which makes me want to avoid that like the plague as its just over priced and over hyped. I can take the bet on $CRSP for a fraction of that value. They will have a strong SCD program. I have low expectations for anything else.
I am betting they will get shift gears once they have SCD commercial and get on the ball with building their next great thing. Personally, I think they should scarf up $IPSC on the cheap for their cell therapies. Or at least do a license deal.
I heard Scott Wolchko say he thought that iPSC was the cell therapy manufacturing platform of the future. I completely agree with him. All cell therapies will move into this platform. These are my leaders in the space.
I have:
$FATE 1.38%
$SANA 2.07%
$CRBU 2.76%
$IPSC 2.76%
This theme makes up 8.96% of my portfolio.
$FATE is the clear leader and pioneer in iPSC cell therapies. Their recent R&D day revealed several new edits that continue to lead the science. They have multiple programs ongoing across all blood cancers with NK cells. They will be advancing to solid tumors.
There are 2 companies working on diabetes that are using different approaches. They are $CRSP and $SANA. Personally, I think $CRSP gets all the hype, but $SANA has be better science approach. Let us look at them here.
$CRSP has a program where they engineer islet cells to produce insulin and put them into a mechanical package from Veryacyte. This is implanted into the patient to act as a fake pancreas and release insulin.
$SANA is using induced pluripotent stem cells to grow islet cells that are completely immune masked. They replace the MHC I with HLA-E which blocks killing from T can NK cells. They implant these cell right into the pancreas where they work like normal healthy islet cells.
Looking at my Targeted Protein Degrader Companies:
This is a fairly new space for me. I get that its still in early stages. I know many of the E3 ligase targets have been accidently discovered so far.
I think this space is just getting started. So much research is coming into this space for the science. There is bound to be big breakthroughs that will lead to new developments. I think this space will eventually replace the RNAi space.
It offers far more flexibility across all tissues without the worry over delivery. It offers a very clean safety profile.
This is one of my oldest investment themes. Its been the most profitable, yet most frustrating as every time I get great companies they get bought up on me and I have to start over. That why I have 5 now.
$BPMC is my oldest and longest held core position. They have amazing management and a very strong pipeline that keeps on coming up with new ideas. My worst complaint is it never crashes for me to add to it anymore. Once in a while I get lucky to add some.