The economy is accelerating after a Delta slowdown over the summer. Delta was so powerful it spread and disrupted places that escaped earlier waves, crucial to the supply chains. Those shifts compounded the inflation we are seeing today.
The hope is that we avoid the kind of surges we saw over the summer in the South & West last winter with higher vaccinations & natural immunity. BUT, the estimates are that we could still lose a million souls to COVID still by Spring. That is staggering.
Vaccines for kids are a huge plus but take time. A colleague just had to bring her daughter home due to a positive case in her class and quarantine for 10 days. Her child got the first dose of vaxx last week and is negative BUT if she couldn’t work remote, she would lose earnings
Hard enough having to pivot back to online education and juggle work.
We are grossly underestimating the fatigue & burnout created by the pandemic on multiple levels.
We are losing some of our most critical workers in healthcare, childcare and education to name a few.
We are grossly underestimating the fatigue & burnout created by the pandemic on multiple levels.
We are losing some of our most critical workers in healthcare, childcare and education to name a few.
I have often said the forecasting during the 2008-09 crisis was like forecasting on a fault line - you could never find your footing.
Forecasting in a pandemic is like standing on quicksand - every time you think you have a tether of a line out, it pulls you back in. Hard.
Forecasting in a pandemic is like standing on quicksand - every time you think you have a tether of a line out, it pulls you back in. Hard.
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