And the risk of covid myocarditis- both in frequency and severity is greater than vaccine myocarditis which has not results in a single fatality and is typically mild. COVID myocarditis unfortunately has led to death, in children who could be alive had they been vaccinated.
Oh, and on the point that vaccines don't prevent transmission- they definitely do!! Substantially as a single measure in fact- between 50-70%. Perhaps even more so in children. Even real-world data from England backs this up, with drops in teenagers correlating with uptake:
Worth looking at the difference in case changes - increasing in 12-15 yr olds, and reducing in 16-17 year olds as vaccine uptake increased in these groups. Of course more recent changes are at least partially down to half-term, but the data before that are quite clear.
And remember when vaccines prevent infection (they prevent symptomatic infection with >90% effectiveness with vaccines in children), they also prevent long COVID- an illness 69,000 children are estimated to suffer from in the UK now.
And yes, even 'healthy' children get impacted- by long COVID, by educational disruption due to transmission, by parents, and teachers getting ill with long COVID, or even dying, and some sadly do die.
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We've escaped the 'worst of what's being seen in the continent' because we've already got the highest total death rate, we've already killed 14,000 people since 'freedom day' (more than any other country in Europe) & maimed >1 million
What Nick doesn't tell you could fill a phD thesis.
The UK has one of the lowest vaccine rates in Western Europe totally (just above Austria and Germany but below other countries) because of massive delays in vaccinating children & shambolic roll out.
We have twice the cumulative deaths of Germany, and the third highest total deaths in Western Europe- close to Belgium and Italy. Italy seems to have learned it's lessons, and cumulative deaths are now flat, while ours? Still rising! >2 in 1000 people overall have died of COVID
What's disturbing is a conference abstract (one of thousands presented-*not* a peer review paper) providing no information on numbers, research methods & correlating immune biomarkers post-vaccination with probability of acute coronary syndrome being disseminated in this way.
We have extensive evidence from the CDC on millions vaccinated on outcomes in patients which very clearly shows that both short and long term impacts from COVID-19 far outweigh any risks from vaccination. Vaccine myocarditis is typically mild & in recovers fully in most.
COVID myocarditis (and other COVID impacts) are far more serious, and more common. Anyone giving warnings about vaccine-myocarditis (with no details of methods, incidence rates or clinical correlates) without talking about impacts of COVID-19 should be treated with scepticism.
Myth busting thread: Vaccines *do* reduce transmission- even with delta. Anyone who says otherwise (and I've seen many scientists say this recently to rationalise not vaccinating children!) is misinterpreting the evidence. Let me explain
There are two levels of protection against transmission: 1. Protection against infection (if you don't get infected you can't transmit) 2. Protection against transmission *if* breakthrough infection occurs
When many people say there isn't protection against transmission, they're talking about 2. - that is- if you get infected, you can still transmit delta efficiently. But that doesn't account for the fact that you are *less likely* to get infected in the first place.
Exceptionalism the scientific community which is justifying exceptional govt policies is killing us. Yet, some of our scientists seem to continue to justify this in the face of overwhelming evidence for failure. Why?
A thread.
I'm seeing actual scientists/medics saying that our govts policy of mass infection through summer was a good one because we've got more 'population immunity' than Europe now, and this will protect us through winter. Let's examine this claim.
A central argument to this claim is that exposure to mass infection over summer - to prevent future infection over winter was a good thing. First, this argument doesn't pass basic scrutiny because vaccines are a much safer and more effective way to get 'population immunity'
This is outrageous and deeply offensive. The fact that Asian and black people have 2-3 times higher death rates than white people doesn't have to do with pulse oximeters. It has to do with structural racial discrimination, deep social and health inequalities. Please stop.
So many of this govts hostile policies already contribute to this structural discrimination, and the anti-immigration rhetoric has stoked so much hate. Please stop denying the painful lived experience of minorities, after having spent decades contributing to that pain.
And I want to say that as a medic I've used pulse oximeters every single day on hundreds of patients, and believe me, medical device bias isn't the reason people die. It's racism and denial of this that kills.
Our commentary on the Smith et al @NatureMedicine paper on child deaths in England up to Feb '21
led by @LawtonTri
Key takeaways:
-their results actually validate ONS data
-ONS data now has >70 deaths in 0-19 yr olds
-population rates are v. misleading! authorea.com/users/422244/a…
The premise of the study is unclear to me- it seems to just recapitulate ONS data from death certification (done by the treating clinician), so not sure why all these cases were reviewed. It's bizarre that the paper doesn't seem to mention ONS data or compare with this at all.
By contrast to the reports from the paper, the vast majority of PHE deaths 'with COVID-19' are currently 'from' COVID-19- unlike during the period covered by the paper. And infection rates in children, and deaths are unfortunately the highest they've ever been.