According to the TSA, the rate of finding guns is 10 per million passenger screenings. With billions of passengers, this of course means thousands of guns get detected each year.
This is at a similar rate of traffic accidents. Each trip in the car has a 7 in a million chance of a traffic accident, so you have roughly the same chance of getting into an accident on the way to the airport has having a gun detected in your bags.
How is it possible to "accidentally" have a gun in your bag? Well, security guards, law enforcement officers, and military personnel often travel with guns. They are supposed to lock them in checked luggage, but may forget and put in carry-on luggage.
Some of us get paranoid we left the stove on, or the iron, or something when we leave. It's so easy to forget something at rates of 10-in-a-million.
In this case, it's a common criminal ("Kenny Wells") illegally possessing a gun, but the logic applies. If you regularly have a gun, and you go on a flight, there's a tiny chance you make a mistake.
BTW, the TSA catches guns less than half the time. I mention this because news stories assume the TSA is catching guns 100% of the time. Thus, for every gun that gets caught, at least one gun gets on the plane that isn't caught.
The number of guns detected steadily increases (well, minus the pandemic). This is probably an increase rate of detection rather than an increase in number of people with guns in their bags.
The guns are loaded 90% of the time, but a bullet chambered only 30% of the time.
tsa.gov/sites/default/…

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More from @ErrataRob

20 Nov
Flight from DC to Atlanta is finishing boarding and now CNN reports of a gun discharged at Atlanta airport which probably means spending hours on the tarmac.

I miss flying.
My flight to Atlanta from dc is taking off now, on time
Have landed. Our gate is occupied so we have to wait for the previous plane to depart. Pilot says 7 to 10mins.
Read 6 tweets
15 Nov
This is probably the best example of "you can't argue with stupid". Lindell offered a reward to anybody who could prove his data isn't from the 2020 election, but that's like proving there are no space aliens. You can't prove a negative.
All we can show is that it's junk, with nothing tying Lindell's data to the 2020 election. It looks completely made up. It's not "proof" of anything.
I claim to have absolute proof, that's been verified by independent experts, that space aliens hacked the 2020 elections. I'll give $10 million to anybody who proves me wrong!!!
Read 6 tweets
11 Nov
1/ I fully support the idea that people should question authority. I don't like how when people have questions about covid vaccines, they are told to shut up and comply with authority rather than getting answers.

So I'm going to attempt to answer this question:
2/ Yes, yes, it doesn't look like a reasonable question (not even a ? question-mark). It looks like combative statements and snark from a conspiracy theorist who has all the answers. Maybe. But this is also what real questions look like. Questioning authority means debate.
3/ The statements it makes are false. The 'myocarditis' effect is rare, around 1 in a million. It's just that with millions of doses being given, exceedingly rare events become measurable.
Read 11 tweets
11 Nov
I used "sidejacking" for 10 years before I got tired of it, wrote a tool to make it obvious, and released it at BlackHat 2007.
"Sidejacking" was a variant of cookie hijacking, grabbing them by sniffing the network instead of by tricks within a webpage. Back then, websites would protect your login with SSL, but the rest of the session would not use SSL, and cookies would be sent in the clear.
It meant I could walk by any Starbucks with public WiFi and instantly access their Gmail, Yahoo Mail, or other webmail sessions. Or any active website connection, really.

Also, worked well with corporate WEP encrypted networks before WPA2.
Read 6 tweets
31 Oct
1/ I finally got around to debunking that Daniel Jones report on the AlfaBank-Trump affair mentioned by @briankrebs.

The most important debunking is Finding #5, as it clearly shows the nature of conspiracy-theory.
blog.erratasec.com/2021/10/debunk…
2/ The Wikipedia defines "conspiracy-theory" thusly. It's an unsatisfying definition because much of the time, there is no alternate explanation.

That's why I use the definition "when the lack of an alternate explanation is claimed as proof of the conspiracy".
3/ In this case, the NYTimes contacted AlfaBank on Sept 21, 2016, and two days later, the domain name (mail1.trump-email.com) disappeared.

This is too much of a coincidence to happen just by chance. As the Jones report describes it:
Read 15 tweets
31 Oct
1/ It's weird how much this Rachel Maddow episode repeats Mike Lindell almost verbatim. Both assure us that data showing a conspiracy has been validated by cyberexperts, and that no credible expert has refuted it.

I'm a credible expert, and I refute both.
2/ There is no "Trump server". The Trump org had no control over the domain, and barring some vast convoluted theory probably involving space aliens, no control over the "server" that the domain pointed to.
3/ The domain was created by Cendyn, a hotel marketing company. Among their marketing activities is sending bulk emails, which they outsource to a company called Listrak.
Read 17 tweets

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