"Part of the problem is that honest COVID risk analysis doesn’t allow us to live in denial, a place many people like to dwell..."

From: "The latest advice on COVID is so clear! Definitely gather with your family! Or maybe don’t!"


"What? You’re fearful of long COVID? Come back later for more information. In the meantime, stop being so paranoid!"

"Welcome to the season of COVID confusion. We’re bombarded with statistics. Infections, breakthrough cases, death tolls, vaccine effectiveness rates.

"COVID-19 cases have jumped 59 percent in New England in the past 2 weeks

[Note: Apparently, the virus has not gotten its script]

"In Charlestown, on Tarot card readings done over Zoom, psychic MaryLee Trettenero warned two separate clients concerned about COVID not to fly home for the holiday, and they didn’t. “I had a bad feeling about it,” she said.

Finally, some clarity!"


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More from @yaneerbaryam

26 Nov
Update on the new B.1.1.529 variant spreading rapidly in South Africa.

Cases are increasing nationally with R=1.47 after recent decline. Cases are not growing everywhere. They are growing particularly in Gauteng.

1/ Image
Gauteng is a small province containing Johanesburg, the largest city in South Africa. The Test positivity has been at about 1% and is still at 1% in much of the province, but one area, Tshwane, has part with positivity at 30%.

This increase happened within two weeks.

2/ Image
The estimated R value of the local increase is 1.93, significantly larger than the national value (1.47).

3/ Image
Read 8 tweets
19 Nov
"Global Prevalence of Post-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) or Long COVID: A Meta-Analysis and Systematic Review

"We screened nearly 4,500 articles and synthesized information from 40 large studies including almost 1M individuals worldwide.
"The empirical findings suggest global prevalence of approximately 43%...around 100 million individuals currently experience or have previously experienced long-term health-related consequences of COVID-19.

"Global estimated pooled PASC prevalence derived from the estimates presented in 29 studies was 0.43 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.35, 0.63), with a higher pooled prevalence estimate of 0.57 (95% CI: 0.45, 0.68), among those hospitalized during acute phase of infection.

Read 5 tweets
19 Nov
Reality recognized: Austria locks down for 20 days.

Lesson: Waiting till action is forced is the worst and hardest way. Faster is better and easier. Image
Just like with a fire, this includes economic damage.

Often partial action leads to recognition it is not enough and then stronger action is taken.

Partial action is almost as hard as full action, but has much less benefit.

Read 4 tweets
19 Nov
India's 7-day average has gone down to 10,777 below the lowest value between the two "waves" 10,983 (see attached).

Now the question is whether they will keep making it go down or a new increase will happen.

1/ ImageImage
Indian government guide to covid appropriate behavior


2/ ImageImage
Vaccination drive first jab just reached 80% of the eligible population, and over 40% have two doses.


Read 4 tweets
14 Nov
35 top physicians & scientists urge rapid change of course in corona policy. Warning of the force of the fourth wave "overshadowing" everything that has gone before they say federal and state governments must finally “fully meet their responsibility”.

Attached is the text of the letter in English.

Link to article in German

Signatures (37)

Read 18 tweets
12 Nov
Vaccines alone won’t end the Covid pandemic, says New Zealand former PM Helen Clark

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said one of the biggest challenges she’s faced in managing the Covid outbreak was to proactively respond to spikes in cases.

Covid-19 still spreading globally and a “vaccine-only” strategy won’t bring the pandemic to an end, former New Zealand PM Helen Clark said Thursday. “What I would say to the countries ... [that] have been successful with vaccine rollouts is: that won’t do it alone,”

“You must be able to calibrate, bring back in or maintain public health measures relevant to the epidemiological state of the pandemic and your country at the time,” she added.

Read 7 tweets

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