who is ready for some charts
It's been three weeks since we did this last, and over that time we've see fairly consistent downward transmission.

The rolling average is now half of what it was at the peak of the 4th wave, active cases down by half as well, hospitalizations down 35%.
For a while, the very depressing and frustrating caveat was that deaths were not following suit, but they are now down to about 4 a day after several weeks of 6-8.

(Put a grimmer way, we're now only seeing three times the per capita deaths of Ontario, instead of 6-7)
A big reason for the overall decrease in transmission is the downturn in northern B.C., given how high they were (and continue to be).

But note the slow and consistent downward trend in Coastal and Fraser — the framework has been durable for some time.
Still more than 1,000 adults a day getting a first vaccine dose, but numbers continue to drop and absent new restrictions we're going to end up around 92%
(the government has so far not provided regular data on increasingly critical booster shots, or said how or if they will provide data on shots for children, and if the past 20 months is any indication i look forward to going through several weeks of pain in getting that data)
The last time there was a concerning variant causing a rise in cases in several countries, B.C. removed restrictions.

We'll see in the coming weeks how concerning Omicron is and which populations might be at greater risk, but let's hope we don't make the same mistake again.

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More from @j_mcelroy

24 Nov
seems bad ImageImage
Here's a story on how flood management in B.C. is left up to municipalities without any regional coordination, and how virtually nobody who has studied the issue thinks it's a good strategy

cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
And here's a story on the state of dikes in southwest B.C., how they're old and in need of upgrades, and how the path forward before this month was murky at best.

cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
Read 4 tweets
11 Nov
was not planning on reading a 72 page book tonight but i'm a sucker for punishment
The question to the government, if one remembers (I do! life was painful!) was simple:

- Did it collect #COVID19 data on a NEIGHBOURHOOD level on a weekly basis?

Seemed like basic information about a deadly pandemic the public would want to know.

So I asked.
Less than AN HOUR LATER, the BC Centre for Disease Control had a response: it didn't "produce a regular data file", but did once, and was balancing privacy concerns.

Which is not super satisfying, but a) was true, b) provided quickly.

You know, basic competent stuff.
Read 12 tweets
10 Nov
went curling, played badly, hung out with friends, had solid work life balance, regret nothing
“We’ve been building Vancouver up to the sky in Lougheed and Brentwood”

lougheed and brentwood aren't in vancouver

i know i said i was doing work life balance but i lied

At 11:40, council took a five minute recess.

Council then reconvened for one minute, where it was explained the public would have another 15 minutes to provide feedback, as day three of this public hearing turns into day four.

Council is now in break again.
Read 7 tweets
22 Oct
who is ready for some charts
B.C. had a pretty crummy week!

At a time when every other province has much lower per capita case counts, or a trendline that's been going significantly down, B.C.'s rolling average went up 13%, with active case counts and hospitalizations essentially static.

Not great!
Most of this is due to another big surge in Northern B.C., which is seeing transmission similar to Alberta and Saskatchewan at the moment.

But none of the other four health authorities saw a real decline this week, and a couple saw a gentle rise.
Read 7 tweets
21 Oct
"Look at my phone," says John Horgan, as he defends the province's FOI proposals.

he turns his smartphone to media

"I play Scrabble, I have Spotify ... I know what the weather is going to be like in Prince Rupert."

what...what is happening
Horgan also says that the FOI fee has not been settled, and in fact there may be no fee, and then argues what he says are good parts of the proposal that have nothing to do with the fee.

this is just such an awkward retreat
For context: the B.C. government says the opposition makes FOI requests for screenshots of Ministers' home screens, and it's an abuse of the system.

The question was about the proposed $25 fee for all requests.

it was...a moment

Read 4 tweets
28 Sep
"The Ministry of Health confirms this is accurate," was the only sentence by the B.C. government in an email to CBC News about the 99% chart.

It wasn't.

cbc.ca/news/canada/br…
Bless people who think journalism in B.C. works this way, but government data analysts aren’t allowed to speak to media.

Instead, we get a communications director who tells us information the government would like us to hear — sometimes helpful, sometimes not.
The story quotes a UBC mathematician who’s helped with official modelling and says these numbers are hard to measure, and I’ve mentioned a few times the limits of B.C.’s IT.

But I think it’s more germane that the government said something was accurate when it clearly wasn’t.
Read 4 tweets

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