1/ a few thoughts on current sentiment re: bitcoin
i see a lot of talk about a coming 🐻 bear 🐻 market, but let's look at data to help clarify where things might be headed through the end of Q4 and into Q1
sentiment -> demand -> market structure -> flows
2/ sentiment has been mixed - lots of positive news and catalysts but also the looming threat of max regulatory pain in the US and Europe
however, there is now significant support for a bitcoin allocation from macro investors and institutions
3/ demand - we track weekly investment flows via our @CoinSharesCo report
in the last 11 weeks, we've seen $2.7B of inflows into bitcoin ETPs alone. demand continues unabated, and w $5.5T of dry powder on the sidelines, there's plenty of capacity
4/ market structure - there are more channels than ever to access bitcoin!
u can buy on crypto exchanges, on FinTech platforms like @sqcrypto@RobinhoodApp, @sofi, via structure products like our @xbtprovider and others, via cash-settled futures on @CMEGroup, and so many more
5/ the growing financialization of bitcoin through a variety of derivatives and new products opens up new channels and new allocations
for ex, the el salvador volcano bond makes BTC accessible to EM debt investors. microstrategy makes BTC accessible to equity investors.
6/ and the resulting flows tell the story
this year alone, we've seen nearly $10B of inflows into crypto ETPs. crypto pure-play equities are a $110B market. crypto derivatives volumes are growing *exponentially* via both BTC settled perps and cash settled futures and options.
7/ with more cash in the market than ever, and all asset classes at all time highs, investors are willing to accept higher risk to find returns that will outpace inflation.
despite macro uncertainty, we know money printing can't and won't stop.
draw your own conclusions 😉
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1/ excited to add 3 of @refikanadol's "machine hallucinations" to my collection
this series of algorithmic AI paintings uses image data from MoMA's collection
i'm fascinated by @GreatDismal's sprawl trilogy, esp the 3rd book, mona lisa overdrive
let's talk sci fi x art
2/ in mona lisa overdrive, an art dealer hunts for the mysterious creator of "cornell boxes"
she finds they're made by wintermute, a now defunct AI, connected to a robotic arm, living in space orbit assembling objects from the abandoned home of the family who built the AI
3/ the art and music world has long maintained creativity is one of the last domains where humanity is uniquely capable in ways a machine is not
but, with art like Refik's, we must ask - can an AI pass an aesthetic turing test?
2/ the first thousands hashes are 1 ETH to mint and control the DAO - which will have 1000 ETH to start (from the mint)
subsequent hashes are free to mint, although the DAO can decide the pricing and controls the future of hashes
hashes introduce entropy into NFTs
3/ this is an experiment, and the DAO gets to decide what direction the experiment goes, including what happens to all of the ETH generated from minting
the hashes control the project and the DAO treasury
1/ a thread on cross chain liquidity - my talk from last monday at @MessariCrypto's #MainNet2021 but without the leather pants and on-stage tequila shot
what is liquidity and how does it work? liquidity is a measure of market depth - how quickly you can sell and at what price
2/ illiquid assets have poor price discovery and wide spreads, they're difficult to trade in size or trade quickly without having to pay a premium
liquid assets, on the other hand, have tighter spreads and are easier to trade in size at a moment's notice
3/ the workflow of a trade in traditional markets requires the constant moving of data between databases - creating entries and deleting entries forever
tradfi markets are ngmi - execution speed will *always* suffer due to the double spend problem and lack of settlement finality
the reason states begin managing identity centuries ago was for purposes of accounting, and subsequently taxation and conscription
this is why the state wants to maintain its control on all identity data and its structure and topology
3/ the friction point for the nyms in the metaverse will always be the translation point between digital with physical
this is why you see government agencies going on phishing expeditions to connect government issued identities to onchain identities - they're mapping nyms