1/ a few thoughts on current sentiment re: bitcoin

i see a lot of talk about a coming 🐻 bear 🐻 market, but let's look at data to help clarify where things might be headed through the end of Q4 and into Q1

sentiment -> demand -> market structure -> flows
2/ sentiment has been mixed - lots of positive news and catalysts but also the looming threat of max regulatory pain in the US and Europe

however, there is now significant support for a bitcoin allocation from macro investors and institutions
3/ demand - we track weekly investment flows via our @CoinSharesCo report

in the last 11 weeks, we've seen $2.7B of inflows into bitcoin ETPs alone. demand continues unabated, and w $5.5T of dry powder on the sidelines, there's plenty of capacity

medium.com/coinshares/vol…
4/ market structure - there are more channels than ever to access bitcoin!

u can buy on crypto exchanges, on FinTech platforms like @sqcrypto @RobinhoodApp, @sofi, via structure products like our @xbtprovider and others, via cash-settled futures on @CMEGroup, and so many more
5/ the growing financialization of bitcoin through a variety of derivatives and new products opens up new channels and new allocations

for ex, the el salvador volcano bond makes BTC accessible to EM debt investors. microstrategy makes BTC accessible to equity investors.
6/ and the resulting flows tell the story

this year alone, we've seen nearly $10B of inflows into crypto ETPs. crypto pure-play equities are a $110B market. crypto derivatives volumes are growing *exponentially* via both BTC settled perps and cash settled futures and options.
7/ with more cash in the market than ever, and all asset classes at all time highs, investors are willing to accept higher risk to find returns that will outpace inflation.

despite macro uncertainty, we know money printing can't and won't stop.

draw your own conclusions 😉

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More from @Melt_Dem

21 Nov
1/ excited to add 3 of @refikanadol's "machine hallucinations" to my collection

this series of algorithmic AI paintings uses image data from MoMA's collection

i'm fascinated by @GreatDismal's sprawl trilogy, esp the 3rd book, mona lisa overdrive

let's talk sci fi x art ImageImageImage
2/ in mona lisa overdrive, an art dealer hunts for the mysterious creator of "cornell boxes"

she finds they're made by wintermute, a now defunct AI, connected to a robotic arm, living in space orbit assembling objects from the abandoned home of the family who built the AI
3/ the art and music world has long maintained creativity is one of the last domains where humanity is uniquely capable in ways a machine is not

but, with art like Refik's, we must ask - can an AI pass an aesthetic turing test?

i think the answer is "yes"
Read 7 tweets
14 Nov
i am super f*ing stoked to share that @HashesDAO has just acquired a @bottoproject 1/1 Genesis piece, Blossoming Cavader, in open auction

this is our 3rd auction win for the week, we are now 3/3

superrare.com/artwork-v2/blo…
this beautiful Botto piece joins our collection of @iamlirona x @Defacedstudio, @NickKuder, @justinaversano, @jetpackjones, @ArtOnBlockchain, @artblocks_io, and more

can't wait to show HashesDAO holders what else the Permutation 1 team has in store 😍
note that Permutation 1 is our 1st project as a DAO - thanks to my fellow curators @OGosh33 @jennithompson @eagerbeaverart @CryptoHayes for working on this with me

Permutation 2 and 3 are actively being planned by community members

if you hold a hash, join the discord!
Read 4 tweets
7 Oct
1/ my lil' pudgy penguin fren is chatting w a @gmoneyNFT's @BoredApeYC. this NFT convo was recorded completely AI-to-AI.

this is a thread on the future of NFTs. pay close attention to what @real_alethea is doing right now …
2/ alethea is bringing NFTs from apes to punks to waifus to life in their Intelligent Metaverse known as Noah's Ark

... and they’re working on my 2D boyfriend next - can't wait to have pillow talk with sephiroth 🖤
3/ until my 2D bf arrives, i’ve been talking to my @EtherRock

imbuing my rock with a personality through AI, what could be better?
Read 7 tweets
6 Oct
1/ NFT alpha - hashes

today's PFP NFTs are a third order derivative of a hash. what if we take 3 steps backward in the lifecycle?

Hashes is a new kind of project, a simple building block, a DAO, and a distribution mechanism for NFTs

👀 thehashes.xyz + @hashesDAO
2/ the first thousands hashes are 1 ETH to mint and control the DAO - which will have 1000 ETH to start (from the mint)

subsequent hashes are free to mint, although the DAO can decide the pricing and controls the future of hashes

hashes introduce entropy into NFTs
3/ this is an experiment, and the DAO gets to decide what direction the experiment goes, including what happens to all of the ETH generated from minting

the hashes control the project and the DAO treasury
Read 6 tweets
27 Sep
1/ a thread on cross chain liquidity - my talk from last monday at @MessariCrypto's #MainNet2021 but without the leather pants and on-stage tequila shot

what is liquidity and how does it work? liquidity is a measure of market depth - how quickly you can sell and at what price
2/ illiquid assets have poor price discovery and wide spreads, they're difficult to trade in size or trade quickly without having to pay a premium

liquid assets, on the other hand, have tighter spreads and are easier to trade in size at a moment's notice
3/ the workflow of a trade in traditional markets requires the constant moving of data between databases - creating entries and deleting entries forever

tradfi markets are ngmi - execution speed will *always* suffer due to the double spend problem and lack of settlement finality
Read 18 tweets
9 Sep
1/ identity is a data architecture

web2 tolerates credentialing without identity, but does not allow commerce without identity.

web3 nyms will preserve credentialing without identity, and enable commerce, incorporation, and much more without identity.

gwern.net/docs/bitcoin/1…
2/ this presents challenges for the state

the reason states begin managing identity centuries ago was for purposes of accounting, and subsequently taxation and conscription

this is why the state wants to maintain its control on all identity data and its structure and topology
3/ the friction point for the nyms in the metaverse will always be the translation point between digital with physical

this is why you see government agencies going on phishing expeditions to connect government issued identities to onchain identities - they're mapping nyms
Read 7 tweets

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