--I'm posting the vaxx graphs side by side with the death rate graphs for easy comparison.
--Death rates for all counties are since 6/30/21, since a) that's roughly when the Delta wave started in the U.S. and b) every American 12+ had ample ability to get vaxxed by that point.
ALABAMA: Not much of a pattern in death rates...but also not much of one in vaxx rates (basically, vaxx rates are low across the board):
ALASKA: Both graphs are kind of all over the map, but then again, Alaska has some very unusual geography and demographics:
ARIZONA: Heeeeere we go: As the vaccination rates steadily go down, the death rates steadily go up. Of course 60% of AZ's population is in one county which I'm sure skews the results:
ARKANSAS: Again, not much of a pattern in vaxx rates...so not much of one in death rates:
COLORADO. Again, aside from a few small outliers, looks like a pretty clear connection.
CONNECTICUT, DELAWARE, DC, HAWAII, RHODE ISLAND: As always, I'm lumping all 5 together because none have more than a handful of counties individually; included for completeness. Even so, there's still a slight mirror effect.
FLORIDA: As I've noted repeatedly, Miami-Dade County's *death rate* since June seems to be pretty much in line w/what I'd expect; it's their alleged *vaccination rate* which seems to be a huge outlier...likely due to "vaccine tourism."
GEORGIA. The Peach State has a HUGE number of counties given its size (only Texas has more of them, but it's much larger in both population & land area).
MAINE: Notice how even with only a small downward slope on the left it's still matched by a similar upward slope on the right?
MARYLAND:
MASSACHUSETTS:
MICHIGAN (my home state). Detroit makes up nearly 40% of Wayne County.
MINNESOTA:
MISSISSIPPI.
COVID has killed 1 out of every 289 Mississippi residents to date.
MISSOURI. Whoa. 👀
MONTANA.
NEBRASKA. The state stopped reporting ALL county-level case/death data as of 6/30; since then they've kind of/sort of started again...the NY Times has somehow managed to keep track of it:
NEVADA. Like Arizona, the bulk of Nevada's total population can be found in a single county.
NEW HAMPSHIRE. Notice how the vaccination rate line is nearly level...yet there's *still* a small upslope on the death rate. Lack of masking in the redder NH counties?
NEW JERSEY: See New Hampshire above.
NEW MEXICO.
NEW YORK. BRAVO! Check out the NYC boroughs on the right side:
The rest of the states will have to wait until later this afternoon...stay tuned!
📣 OK, I'm back...picking up again with:
NORTH CAROLINA:
NORTH DAKOTA:
OHIO. Welp.
OKLAHOMA:
OREGON. It doesn't get any clearer than this.
(And I've been informed that the CDC data consistently has Baker County's vaxx rate way too high for some reason anyway.)
P.S. for those claiming I’m “cherry-picking” by starting on 6/30/21, here’s the history since the start of the pandemic. TL; DR: yes, urban blue counties were slammed much harder in the first wave. Since then rural Red America caught up & bypassed it: acasignups.net/21/11/17/red-s…
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Let's see here...a semi trailer (lower right) is roughly 50' long, so the venue is roughly 9 trailers x 4 trailers, or 450' x 200', or 90,000 sq. feet.
Of course the rear 1/3 is almost empty, but there's also some people lined up in the upper left, so call it ~80% full...
So, that's perhaps ~72,000 square feet of "tightly packed" people. According to this article, in a tightly-packed crowd the avg. person takes up ~4.5 sq. feet.
Now, the trailers I used are slightly closer to the camera than the people in the crowd, so I may have to adjust for scale a bit. If we bump it up by, say, 25% you get 20,000 people or so.
🧵 People have asked me why I started an organized project to raise money *directly* for Democratic candidates up & down the ballot when there's already so many other organizations out there doing this. There's a couple of reasons. 1/
The first is that most of the existing organizations/PACs/etc seem to (in my view) *either* focus ONLY on the true swing districts *or* they raise money for races which are clearly unwinnable without being up front about how long the odds in those races are. 2/
I try to walk the line between these--for district-level races I cast my net wider than most "tossup only!" advocates, but not absurdly wide; for statewide races I *do* include deep red states but also make it absolutely clear that those races are *very* long shots. 3/
A little fun Die Hard trivia for those who don’t know:
The first Die Hard was based on a 1979 novel called Nothing Lasts Forever by Roderick Thorp. In the novel McClain’s character was named Joe Leland. This was a sequel to a 1966 novel by Thorp called The Detective. 1/
The Detective had been made into a film starring Frank Sinatra as Joe Leland in 1968.
This means Bruce Willis plays the same character as Frank Sinatra.
In fact, the studio was contractually required to offer the role to Sinatra if he wanted it. Sinatra was 73 at the time.
As for the novel Nothing Lasts Forever (title since changed to “Die Hard”), it follows most of the same storyline and characters, but with a few VERY important differences…
How does the @nytimes know that these are actual federal officials who actually signed it if they did so “anonymously?”
Does that mean the Times is redacting their names? Or does it just say “signed, 400 officials” at the bottom of the letter?
@nytimes I’m not being snarky here—I can’t read the original NY Times article without a subscription; do they clarify how they verified that these 400 people actually are federal officials and that they did in fact sign off on the letter in it?