--I'm posting the vaxx graphs side by side with the death rate graphs for easy comparison.
--Death rates for all counties are since 6/30/21, since a) that's roughly when the Delta wave started in the U.S. and b) every American 12+ had ample ability to get vaxxed by that point.
ALABAMA: Not much of a pattern in death rates...but also not much of one in vaxx rates (basically, vaxx rates are low across the board):
ALASKA: Both graphs are kind of all over the map, but then again, Alaska has some very unusual geography and demographics:
ARIZONA: Heeeeere we go: As the vaccination rates steadily go down, the death rates steadily go up. Of course 60% of AZ's population is in one county which I'm sure skews the results:
ARKANSAS: Again, not much of a pattern in vaxx rates...so not much of one in death rates:
COLORADO. Again, aside from a few small outliers, looks like a pretty clear connection.
CONNECTICUT, DELAWARE, DC, HAWAII, RHODE ISLAND: As always, I'm lumping all 5 together because none have more than a handful of counties individually; included for completeness. Even so, there's still a slight mirror effect.
FLORIDA: As I've noted repeatedly, Miami-Dade County's *death rate* since June seems to be pretty much in line w/what I'd expect; it's their alleged *vaccination rate* which seems to be a huge outlier...likely due to "vaccine tourism."
GEORGIA. The Peach State has a HUGE number of counties given its size (only Texas has more of them, but it's much larger in both population & land area).
MAINE: Notice how even with only a small downward slope on the left it's still matched by a similar upward slope on the right?
MARYLAND:
MASSACHUSETTS:
MICHIGAN (my home state). Detroit makes up nearly 40% of Wayne County.
MINNESOTA:
MISSISSIPPI.
COVID has killed 1 out of every 289 Mississippi residents to date.
MISSOURI. Whoa. 👀
MONTANA.
NEBRASKA. The state stopped reporting ALL county-level case/death data as of 6/30; since then they've kind of/sort of started again...the NY Times has somehow managed to keep track of it:
NEVADA. Like Arizona, the bulk of Nevada's total population can be found in a single county.
NEW HAMPSHIRE. Notice how the vaccination rate line is nearly level...yet there's *still* a small upslope on the death rate. Lack of masking in the redder NH counties?
NEW JERSEY: See New Hampshire above.
NEW MEXICO.
NEW YORK. BRAVO! Check out the NYC boroughs on the right side:
The rest of the states will have to wait until later this afternoon...stay tuned!
📣 OK, I'm back...picking up again with:
NORTH CAROLINA:
NORTH DAKOTA:
OHIO. Welp.
OKLAHOMA:
OREGON. It doesn't get any clearer than this.
(And I've been informed that the CDC data consistently has Baker County's vaxx rate way too high for some reason anyway.)
P.S. for those claiming I’m “cherry-picking” by starting on 6/30/21, here’s the history since the start of the pandemic. TL; DR: yes, urban blue counties were slammed much harder in the first wave. Since then rural Red America caught up & bypassed it: acasignups.net/21/11/17/red-s…
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AGAIN: This graph is the single most important explainer of how risk pools work & the dangers of separating people out into risk pools based on their CURRENT health.
5% of the population racks up over 50% of total healthcare spending.
If you throw them under the bus, healthcare costs for the other 95% of the population drops in half, except for one small problem even IF you don't care about Grandma or Cousin Fred Who Was Just Diagnosed With Cancer:
You never know when YOU'RE gonna become Cousin Fred.
So, VP @KamalaHarris has posted her official policy agenda on her campaign website. The healthcare section includes, among other solid items, making the enhanced #ACA subsidies of the IRA permanent.
Here's an idea of how important this is for over 21 MILLION Americans: 1/
The enhanced subsidies are currently scheduled to sunset at the end of 2025. If they aren't extended, they'll revert back to the original formula, which was good for those earning < 200% FPL, but mediocre for those earning 200 - 400% & NONEXISTENT for those earning over 400% FPL.
I ran state-by-state case studies to show how letting the upgraded subsidies expire would impact 5 different households at various income levels.
The results range from painful to disastrous depending on the household & where they live.
The Inflation Reduction Act is also the reason over 20 million #ACA enrollees are saving an average of $800/yr on health insurance premiums.
Unfortunately that provision is scheduled to sunset at the end of 2025 unless legislation is passed to make the savings permanent.
I’ve written up estimates of how much net premiums would jump for various households in every state starting in January 2016 if the IRA subsidy formula isn’t extended. It’s not pretty. Here’s the first 5 states: acasignups.net/24/07/09/state…
Folks, donating to #HarrisWalz2024 is fine, but we REALLY need to focus on DOWNBALLOT races as well!
Here's how much I've raised for Harris/Walz vs. ~70 House/Senate races & ~700 State Legislative races.
Pick a page, pick some candidates & donate at . Blue24.org
Here's my Senate page where you can donate DIRECTLY to @RubenGallego, @DebbieforFL, @AlsobrooksForMD, @ElissaSlotkin, @jontester, @RosenforNevada, @SherrodBrown, @Bob_Casey, @ColinAllredTX & @tammybaldwin, as well as up to 10 other Senate Dem nominees:
@RubenGallego @DebbieforFL @AlsobrooksForMD @ElissaSlotkin @jontester @RosenforNevada @SherrodBrown @Bob_Casey @ColinAllredTX @tammybaldwin Here's my House page where you can donate DIRECTLY to up to 50 Dems running for COMPETITIVE House races, including @DrAmishShah, @EngelForArizona, @AdamGrayCA, @RudySalasCA, @gtwhitesides, @WillRollinsCA, @YadiraCaraveo, @CurtisHertelJr & @McdonaldRivet:
🔥 Guys...donating to #HarrisWalz2024 is fine, but we REALLY need to focus DOWN BALLOT as well! 1/
As my followers know, I've set up a simple website at which contains pages to donate DIRECTLY to *hundreds* of Democrats running for *competitive* seats in everything from State Legislature to U.S. Senate. 2/Blue24.org
So far this cycle I've raised a staggering $5.4 MILLION for #HarrisWalz2024. I'm incredibly proud of this...but I'm STRONGLY urging people to also donate to STATE LEGISLATIVE races, where small donations go a lot farther.
My main concern wasn’t about her personally (I actually supported her over Biden back in 2019); it was more about whether they could make the transition without it turning into a mess. So far they’ve pulled it off nearly perfectly.