--I'm posting the vaxx graphs side by side with the death rate graphs for easy comparison.
--Death rates for all counties are since 6/30/21, since a) that's roughly when the Delta wave started in the U.S. and b) every American 12+ had ample ability to get vaxxed by that point.
ALABAMA: Not much of a pattern in death rates...but also not much of one in vaxx rates (basically, vaxx rates are low across the board):
ALASKA: Both graphs are kind of all over the map, but then again, Alaska has some very unusual geography and demographics:
ARIZONA: Heeeeere we go: As the vaccination rates steadily go down, the death rates steadily go up. Of course 60% of AZ's population is in one county which I'm sure skews the results:
ARKANSAS: Again, not much of a pattern in vaxx rates...so not much of one in death rates:
COLORADO. Again, aside from a few small outliers, looks like a pretty clear connection.
CONNECTICUT, DELAWARE, DC, HAWAII, RHODE ISLAND: As always, I'm lumping all 5 together because none have more than a handful of counties individually; included for completeness. Even so, there's still a slight mirror effect.
FLORIDA: As I've noted repeatedly, Miami-Dade County's *death rate* since June seems to be pretty much in line w/what I'd expect; it's their alleged *vaccination rate* which seems to be a huge outlier...likely due to "vaccine tourism."
GEORGIA. The Peach State has a HUGE number of counties given its size (only Texas has more of them, but it's much larger in both population & land area).
MAINE: Notice how even with only a small downward slope on the left it's still matched by a similar upward slope on the right?
MARYLAND:
MASSACHUSETTS:
MICHIGAN (my home state). Detroit makes up nearly 40% of Wayne County.
MINNESOTA:
MISSISSIPPI.
COVID has killed 1 out of every 289 Mississippi residents to date.
MISSOURI. Whoa. 👀
MONTANA.
NEBRASKA. The state stopped reporting ALL county-level case/death data as of 6/30; since then they've kind of/sort of started again...the NY Times has somehow managed to keep track of it:
NEVADA. Like Arizona, the bulk of Nevada's total population can be found in a single county.
NEW HAMPSHIRE. Notice how the vaccination rate line is nearly level...yet there's *still* a small upslope on the death rate. Lack of masking in the redder NH counties?
NEW JERSEY: See New Hampshire above.
NEW MEXICO.
NEW YORK. BRAVO! Check out the NYC boroughs on the right side:
The rest of the states will have to wait until later this afternoon...stay tuned!
📣 OK, I'm back...picking up again with:
NORTH CAROLINA:
NORTH DAKOTA:
OHIO. Welp.
OKLAHOMA:
OREGON. It doesn't get any clearer than this.
(And I've been informed that the CDC data consistently has Baker County's vaxx rate way too high for some reason anyway.)
P.S. for those claiming I’m “cherry-picking” by starting on 6/30/21, here’s the history since the start of the pandemic. TL; DR: yes, urban blue counties were slammed much harder in the first wave. Since then rural Red America caught up & bypassed it: acasignups.net/21/11/17/red-s…
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Here's an updated version of my "Dem Stop the Steal!" conspiracy theory thread which hopefully is less scattershot.
There's 3 main claims:
1. "How could there be 20M fewer voters than in 2020 w/"record-breaking turnout?"
2. "How could 15M fewer voter for Harris vs. Biden?"
3. "How could so many swing state voters vote for the Dem for Senate but not for Harris for POTUS?"
There's a few others, but these are the biggest ones, so let's tackle them first:
1. There weren't 20M fewer voters.
I've been compiling the data as it's being updated by CNN's tracking center via a Google spreadsheet. As of this writing, total POTUS turnout is ~147.6M, or ~10.8M lower than 2020's 158.4M.
Yesterday I posted a thread digging into the actual data behind the "20M missing votes!" and "15M fewer than Biden!" conspiracy theories being tossed around the past few days.
Via CNN, as of this writing, total 2024 POTUS votes are only down 13.9 million vs. 2020...with a likely 11.5 - 12.0 million ballots still to be counted across 30 states.
Total 2024 turnout will likely be ~156M or so...just a couple million fewer than 2020.
Again, using CNN's data & estimates, once every legitimate ballot has been counted, Trump will likely have around ~78 million votes to Harris' 75-76 million.
That'd mean he added ~4 million vs 2020 while she lost ~5-6 million.
...the vast majority of this discrepancy happened in districts/counties which were heavily red to begin with, which is why the MAGA COVID Death Cult factor only ended up making a decisive difference in exactly one statewide race: Arizona Attorney General: acasignups.net/22/12/29/updat…
At the House district level it didn't make a decisive difference in any races at all. To understand why, let's look at two extreme examples...
People have started asking why I'm still pushing fundraising for Dems just 5 days before Election Day. All the ad time has been purchased & the lit pieces printed & mailed out already, right?
There's several reasons: 1/
1. For state legislative races in particular, a last-minute cash infusion of even $50 can mean an extra few pizzas for tired & hungry canvassers or an extra burner phone for phone banking.
2. After the polls close, there's going to no doubt be some races which require recounts...which may or may not have to be paid for by the campaign requesting it, depending on the state and the margin. That's gonna cost money.
🧵THE DEAD POOL: Since @MikeJohnson and @JDVance are promising to Concentrate folks w/pre-existing conditions into separate Camps, let's talk about that. 1/ acasignups.net/24/10/04/dead-…
Let's go back to the pre-ACA healthcare landscape. This is what it looked like in 2012...*before* the ACA's major provisions went into effect.
Half the US had employer coverage. Another third had Medicare or Medicaid. ~11M had "individual" insurance; ~48M had nothing at all. 2/
The ACA had 2 main goals:
1. Reduce the number of uninsured Americans as much as possible by making coverage more affordable & accessible;
2. Provide protections from insurance industry abuses, *especially* for the individual market where the abuses were the most blatant. 3/