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Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
@orwell2022
Nov 30, 2021 • 8 tweets • 3 min read • Read on X
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1/ Europe infant mortality trend. Let's have a look how NL compares with other peers.

Not so good.

Note that this is dominated by the 0-1 year group. But unfortunately, the population is only available by 0-5 years. So by averaging death_Y_LT5 / pop_LT5 we dilute a bit.
2/ Let's add some more countries. Romania and Bulgaria are on the way to leave NL behind.

I'm wondering what the plan is in NL @hugodejonge? Becoming the last soon?
3/ How does 2020 look like compared to peers?
4/ We can add the less rich countries.
5/ Lastly, let's see year 2000.
6/ NL doesn't seem to have the priorities right. Billions are spent in testing, hiring police and lockdown subventions instead of investing in healthcare. @RIVM_vDissel
public.tableau.com/app/profile/or…
7/ Infanit mortality is dominated by the 0-1 year old. But unfortunately, mortality is only available in one 0-4 year bin while the population is available by 1 year. So by averaging death_Y_LT5 / pop_LT5 we dilute a bit. The real mortality for the 0-1 years is thefore ~4-5x.
8/ Also available here:
orwell2024.substack.com/p/europe-infan…

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More from @orwell2022

Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Nov 11
1/ Deutschland, die Energienarren der Welt: Thread.

Hier ist die Preiskurve (31 Tage, stündlich). Kaufe teuer, verkaufe billig. Bottom Nailers (oder auch Narren). Angeblich importieren sie, weil es billiger ist? Nein. Die Sonne scheint eben nicht nachts. Image
2/ Quelle: Agora Energiewende – de facto der Familienbetrieb der Grünen. Man sieht sofort, was los ist: Deutschland, auf einem Irrweg, in bestem Stil echter Narren. Verkaufen billig, kaufen teuer, alles im Namen der „Rettung“. Klar, wer nachts Sonne braucht, zahlt eben drauf. Image
3/ Jetzt wierholen wir zusammen, wie echte Hofnarren:

„Importieren ist billiger“
„Schweden hat versagt“
„Lauterbach rettet Leben“
@roberthabeck for Chancellor. Ab hier anders. Image
Read 5 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Oct 7
1/ The use of the BI (bigness index) to classify rural/urban areas is flawed. Landsat-derived GHSL BU (Global Human Settlement Layer Built-Up) data shows the rural curve (in green 🟩) consistently trailing the urbanized GHSL BU data (10% BU = typically for small towns 🟧). Image
2/ The Bigness Index (BI) is not only a poor parameter but outdated. Even Kabul Airport shows up with BI=0.

Shown below: GHCN stations labeled BI=0, highlighting those with 2% 🟠 and 10% 🔴 built-up areas in 2020 (from the EU-GHSL).

Image
3/ Analyzing further: nearly half of the stations are classified as rural (BI=0). This is complete nonsense, as the GHSL built-up percentages 2020 for these stations clearly indicate. Nearly all are, in fact, urban—which explains why they see no difference to officially urban. Image
Read 32 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Oct 1
1/ Climate stripes - the origins.

Can we do better than Ed Hawkins? Yes, we can.

The perfect smoothed climate stripe, maximizing color pivot for ultimate fear manipulation.

Perfection—better than the original. Or in other words: how to manipulate your mind. Image
2/ Here’s how it’s done:

1 Pick a highly urban(izing) place: Stockholm.
2 Calculate anomaly.
3 Maximize range.
4 Apply LOESS for max color pivot (=mindfuck)

Note: UHI in Stockholm is ~2°C. Never mind that—the goal is to manipulate your minds.


Image
3/ Now let's try GOTHENBURG. Hold on a second... what's happening? It looks like we've accidently landed in the US Midwest—in the middle of nowhere, where hockey sticks don't flourish. Nice flatliner we have here, just like CHAMA.

Image
Read 4 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Sep 10
They're trolling / insulting. The request was clear: compare ERA5 2km / @meteoblue with @AEMET_CValencia sensor at an hourly level. If they match at night, cloudy days, winter, but the sensor shows higher T in summer clear skies / no wind / day 👉 sensor is heat-biased. So? Go.
Thanks, @meteoblue. Normal conversation can be so easy. If the Spanish gentlemen would now provide access to their hourly station dataset, we can overlay it with the fine-grid ERA5 2km hourly product and see what's going on. Does that sound like a way forward @AEMET_CValencia ?

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@meteoblue @AEMET_CValencia He clearly doesn’t understand their response nor my request. At this stage, I just want him to provide THE HOURLY DATA. What the answer actually means is that the 30 km cell is more representative of the region’s climate—yes, it’s better than the station. Well done @ChGefaell 👍.

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Read 10 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Sep 3
1/ Such places have no credibility for accurate bias free measurements. It's the opposite of a stable environment and per default a diesel powered urban expedition place. We see how the melting starts around the airport and the town.

How to measure? 👉 open.substack.com/pub/orwell2024…


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2/ Here we see another example (Alaska). Russian high-lat regions are among the worst. It's a deception to take measurements from such places and claim that you've done 'science' while actually just picking up dirt. Why not Everest dirt basecamp next?
3/ It escalated quickly. Similar to @BMcNoldy from Miami, master's student @Daaanvdb also used airport data instead of professional equipment, like what's available at @UNISvalbard.

Let's do better and use proper data from a better looking station.


Image
Read 19 tweets
Orwell2024🏒 Profile picture
Jun 27
1/ As mentioned, Europe is too urbanized for climate measurements. Shown below is just the UHI effect. As mentioned, ANY type of urban landscape altering increases surface temperatures as well. The Netherlands and Benelux regions are all fully biased and unfit for climate science
Image
2/ As mentioned previously, North Sweden is the most credible place for climate measurements due to its development, peace, and ability to capture high-quality data. Besides Sweden, only the US provides reliable historic data. All other regions are not credible and biased today. Image
3/ Source: YCEO Surface Urban Heat Islands: Spatially-Averaged Daytime and Nighttime Intensity for Annual, Summer, and Winter.

It's from 2003. Now it's even more urbanized = worse.

developers.google.com/earth-engine/d…
Read 12 tweets

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