Significant moment in local & indeed national politics - leader of Manchester City Council, Sir Richard Leese, stands down after a quarter of a century, which started with the IRA bomb of the Arndale centre, encompassed Commonwealth Games, transformation of City centre…
What has happened in Manchester in that time is of profound national relevance, though rarely seen to be the case…
Eg You can’t really talk about “levelling up” as some sort of new phenomenon, without examining what happened in major cities, led by Manchester since 1990s…
In Sir Richard’s case, it starts with a fundamental piece of strategic opportunism, helped by architect Ian Simpson. The bomb destroyed a chunk of the Arndale centre… instead of rebuilding it, they identified that bit of terrible urban planning as a block on investment for N MCR
Another ex of some wily quick thinking was when Gordon Brown pulled the plug on the Manchester super casino, the anchor of regeneration plans in east Manchester…instead the area was repackaged along with stadium for massive investment in MCFC & area by Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth
Sir Richard proved a wily operator under coalition Government, forging an alliance between his virtual one party city state and then Chancellor @george_osborne - never quite denying the suggestion of a rather direct in person intervention when Ed Balls flirted with canning HS2
There are obvious questions about the extent to which this strategy, of a highly strategic central leadership, deploying public funding, the private sector, and sovereign wealth capital, is in fact the model the whole country has shifted towards…
Also questions about the extent to which boosting one central city enough to create a magnet for global capital in to shiny regeneration efforts, creates a sustainable economic model for all (eg homelessness rates) and then also for the wider region (left behind towns)…
Reflecting back on when I mainly covered politics 2014-2019 - notable how unengaged Labour leaderships seemed with MCR transformation -even when, eg for EdM, seemed to encapsulate precisely what he was trying to communicate - strategic state using private sector to change lives
reflects significant difference between UK & other countries - pathway to national political leadership, typically doesn’t run through a record at a local or regional level. Perhaps that in turn is reflection on centralisation of media, political power, borrowing power in London
Last point -in upcoming Levelling Up white paper it will be interesting to see if there’s an attempt to suggest now is the first time such attempts to rebalance Britain’s economic geography have been tried, or instead it analyses what has happened over past 25 years in big cities
Many questions arise - perhaps its time for some sort of podcast! In the meantime happy retirement to @SirRichardLeese.
And I particularly enjoyed seeing his reaction in the City end at the Etihad in 2012 when Van Persie scored in injury time…
& Jen Williams obviously has the scoop on his replacement…
Significant debate at Newsnight towers over pronunciation of Omicron… and also Stephen Sondheim song for our end credits - I was pushing for Tonight or I like to be in America…. Outvoted, rightly for Dame Judi Dench from Proms with “Send in the Clowns”
Hadn’t clocked that there was a remake of West Side Story directed by Spielberg coming out very soon…
Just interviewed exPM @GordonBrown for tonight’s @BBCNewsnight who calls “hoarding”/wastage of vaccine by G20 nations “probably biggest international public policy failure of our times”…
And says SA President @CyrilRamaphosa “rightly” feels “very let down” over vaccine promises
Brown: “There are enough vaccines to get round the whole world, probably around 500 million vaccines that are unused, stockpiled, you might say hoarded, in the West today. That’s in America and in Europe, including the United Kingdom. Vaccines that could be moved very quickly…”
“…and transferred out to poorest countries of the world to enable vaccination to take place. There is a huge danger that many of these vaccines that are being unused here are going to be wasted. They run out. They expire. The use-by date is past and they have to be destroyed.”
“Based on the available evidence, this variant is likely to be associated with very high transmissibility and significant immune escape. So far, there is no evidence for changes in infection severity.” ecdc.europa.eu/sites/default/…
UKHSA more precautionary in tone…
“It has a large number of mutations which are likely to be biologically significant, and which may change the behaviour of the virus with regards to immune escape, transmissibility, & susceptibility to some treatments.” assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
WHO meeting finished B 11 529 now officially classified as a “Variant of Concern” by WHO and named the “Omicron Variant”
“Preliminary evidence suggests an increased risk of reinfection with this variant, as compared to other VOCs.”
Home Sec uninvited to Sundays summit on cross Channel human trafficking after PM sends this letter suggesting joint patrols and new UK returns agreement with EU to French President, just described by him as “not serious” to have tried to negotiate “by tweet” and by public letter
Important to remember that the original Benefit Cost Ratio justification for HS2 nearly a decade ago only yielded a medium-high reading of up to 1.9 times as much benefit on basis of full Y network - the first phase alone put it at 1.4 officially in “low” value for money category
Also when talking about “#levellingup” always helpful context to refer to the relevant Treasury tables that breakdown existing spending by region/ nation…
Per capita Government spend on railway services across nations and regions… this is per capita:
From the IRP - that is a considerable benefit for Manchester (1hr 11 mins) over Leeds (1 hr 53 mins) in terms of time into the capital - currently both 2 hours 10 mins away, and for connectivity of Nottingham to both London and Birmingham… Brum-Notts becomes commutable.
significant movements in trade - but seem to reflect more impact of Brexit generally in incentivising Irish importers to shift from British suppliers to NI suppliers. RoI exports better now. GB exports to RoI not so.
No GB-NI data make it tricky to conclude stuff re Protocol.
NI boom in exports to Republic underpinned by yesterdays excellent payrolls data here in Belfast - fastest growth in UK. Major pharma exporters are marketing themselves as single stop place to get regulatory approval for UK and EU…