Fish war latest. Not a big breakthrough but a significant advance which, by implication, weakens the UK and Jersey govt positions.
Guernsey has just issued 43 permanent licenses for French boats to fish within the island’s 12 mile limit. 1/6
lemonde.fr/international/…
Guernsey – also covering Sark and Alderney - has always been more cooperative than Jersey or UK. It has been rolling over lots of temporary licences for 11 months since Brexit. It has now issued 43 out of 59 permanent permits requested by France. Others still being considered 2/6
Only 111 French licences for inshore fishing are now outstanding, according to Paris.
In cricket “111” is known as a “Nelson”. Ha ha.
3/6
The 111 missing licenses are 59 in Jersey waters and 52 in English waters. The latter include 40 “new” Fr boats which London refuses to accept as “direct replacements” (though allowed by the post-Brexit treaty)
4/6
The 111 missing licenses are 59 in Jersey waters and 52 in English waters. The latter include 40 “new” Fr boats which London refuses to accept as “direct replacements” (though allowed by the post-Brexit treaty).
4/6
If Guernsey can accept the French claims, why not Jersey or the UK, you may ask? Guernsey has taken a helpful approach from the start. Jersey started off confrontationally but has shifted to a more practical viewpoint. Jersey HAS been issuing extra licences in ones and twos. 5/6
UKG bloody minded from the start (no temporary licenses for English waters, unlike J and G). If London can recognise the 30 “replacement boats” (talks under way), a deal is now possible.
France threatens action unless agreement is reached by Friday week (Dec 10). 6/6

NNNN
7/6 Sorry, it's 40 "replacement" boats as originally stated but 30 of them are regarded as a priority by Paris because they rely on catches within 6-12 mile of the English coast. 7/6

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More from @john_lichfield

4 Dec
Weekly French Covid Thread

A very worrying week. New cases jumped by 52% to 38,887 a day. The incidence rate for the 5th wave (366.8 cases/100,000 people/7 days) is now above the peaks of the 3rd and 4th waves in April/August. And Omicron has yet to arrive in big numbers… 1/10 Image
President Macron will chair a health council on Monday. Limits on numbers in bars/ restos/cinemas etc are possible. So is an early start to school hols, due to begin 18 Dec. Covid is raging amongst 6-10 year olds – whose incidence rate is 750, double the national rate. 2/10
Why such a surge in a country where adults are 90% double-vaxxed? In retrospect, France was too slow to take up booster/ 3rd jabs – partly the government’s fault, partly public complacency and vax-shyness. Booster jabs are now booming at 400,000 a day (550,000 yesterday). 3/10
Read 10 tweets
20 Nov
Weekly French Covid Thread

A worrying week. Covid-19 infections in France almost doubled (an 83.8% increase) to an average of 16,066 a day. New cases have now been 20,000+ for 3 days in a row. The Fifth Wave is here in a big way – and likely to stay until the New Year.
1/10
The Fr government still insists there are no plans for new lockdowns, curfews or other harsh restrictions. It is, however, expected shortly to open 3rd or booster vaccinations to over 40’s and maybe (like the US) to all-comers 6 months after a 2nd jab. 2/10
How to explain the new wave, despite high levels of vaccination? Colder weather; more indoor living; complacency; eroding vax protection; the tenacity of the Delta variant, which is now virtually 100% of cases in Fr/the EU.
3/10
Read 10 tweets
13 Nov
Weekly French Covid Thread
No more talk of ripples or wavelets. The fifth wave of Covid-19 infection is here – although still weak in France compared to Austria, Germany or NL. New cases in Fr averaged 8,739 in the last week, compared to 6,592 a week ago – a 32.5% increase.
1/10
The health minister, Olivier Véran, said on Wed that it “looked like the 5th wave” of the pandemic was upon us. He thought that it could be contained. As yet, Fr has no plans for new restrictions, unlike NL (curfews on shops/bars etc) or Austria (lockdown for the unvaxxed) 2/10
Last Monday President Macron made booster shots for the over 65s a requirement of the health pass from 15 Dec. There since has been a stampede by non 3rd-vaxxed oldies – up to 200,000 jabs a day, double last week. There are still, however, circa 1.5m non-boosted over 65’s. 3/10
Read 11 tweets
4 Nov
Non-fish people look away. Here is my reply to a dishonest kettle of fish dumped on Parliament yesterday by the British government which purportedly “clarified” numbers at the heart of the UK-French dispute about fishing licences. 1/11

questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-statem…
Lord Frost, @DavidGHFrost, tweeted that for “full transparency” the government was “setting out full and authoritative data” on which licences had been issued and which ones refused. The presentation was as transparent as the mud at the bottom of the English Channel. 2/11
First, that old sea serpent – the claim that UKG has issued 98% of licences requested by EU governments (see below). This is achieved by leaving out all 286 French requests for licences in Jersey/Guernsey waters (ie not technically in “UK” waters but at the heart of the row) 3/11
Read 11 tweets
2 Nov
Short fish thread

There is confusion about the number of missing French fishing licences at the centre of the greatest Franco-British spat since 2003 (or maybe since 1898 or, some stubborn historians insist, 1066). Here is a brief attempt to crunch the stats. 1/6
Having collated different sources (others are available), here is my best guess at the state of play.
Licences asked for by 🇫🇷 361
Given permanently 148 (41%)
Temporarily 113 (31%)
Missing 100
2/6
This breaks down as follows:
Jersey (for Norman and Breton boats): 113 issued, 49 temporary and 55 missing.
Guernsey (for Norman and Breton boats): 64 temporary.
England (for Pas de Calais boats): 35 issued, 45 missing.
3/6
Read 6 tweets
16 Oct
Weekly French Covid Thread

For the first time in weeks, Covid cases in France are creeping upwards. Numbers remain very low. Is this a blip or the start of the new colder weather wave, or ripple, forecast by experts?
1/10
The graphs by @nicolaberrod show how cases and incidence rate (tdi) have bottomed out and started to climb. At 44.9, the tdi is still below the alert threshold of 50 (cases/per 100,000 people/7 days.) Cases are 4,656 a day, up 11% in a week. But there were 6,099 yesterday. 2/10
Is Fr like the UK, heading into a new C19 surge? The graph below shows how Britain – which shed more distancing measures – remained at a higher level of infection since the summer. It also had more acute cases/deaths. Will health pass/mask wearing continue to protect Fr?
3/10
Read 10 tweets

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