The decline in ships waiting just offshore of Los Angeles/Long Beach continues to be touted as a sign that port congestion is easing — despite the fact that the true number of waiting ships has not actually declined.

…w-freightwaves-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.freigh…
The ports just made the ships wait out at sea to avoid air pollution in LA. The overall queue, including container ships waiting out at sea is larger than ever.
"The total — 94 — was just shy of Monday’s all-time record of 96 (including ships outside the SAQA), and up 27% from the count on Oct. 25."
Gene Seroka, executive director of the Port of Los Angeles, said during a press conference Tuesday while standing alongside Labor Secretary Marty Walsh: “Since we instituted a penalty for long-aging containers, the number of ships at anchor has decreased by more than 40%."
Yet clearly the number of ships at anchor is not a reliable indicator. It can be easily manipulated by forcing the ships over the horizon.
And anyways, the count of ships at anchor doesn't measure what we really want to know—how long does it take to get containers delivered all the way from origin to destination.
To address this, our economists at Flexport Research have created the "Ocean Timeliness Indicator."
flexport.com/indicators/oce…
This new index that measures the time it takes from the date a factory tells us their cargo is ready at origin to when the container is picked up from the destination port.
The data is clear: Delays in shipping on the Transpacific corridor are at their peak and continue to get worse.
Flexport Research will update this indicator every week to provide information on the true nature of supply chain delays and not allow our leaders to gaslight us by just hiding ships out of sight over the horizon.
We post updates to all of our economic indicators regularly at Flexport.com/research. Please join us as we use our front row seats in international logistics to provide unprecedented insights into the workings of the global economy.
The data *are* clear.... also can we all just vote to fix this flaw in the english language and make data singular?

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More from @typesfast

18 Nov
Global supply chains are a mess. The world's logistics infrastructure has proven incapable of scaling to the demands of a global economy going through more chaotic evolution than ever. 1/
Prices for pretty much all logistics and supply chain services have reached all time highs while service levels and transit times have never been worse. 2/
In hindsight, the signs were there for years. Almost no logistics companies can show you where your freight is in real-time on a map. Most data is exchanged in unstructured email messages with attachments. There are almost no logistics APIs to speak of. 3/
Read 32 tweets
31 Oct
Tomorrow the new fees for not picking up your containers on time at the Ports of LA-Long Beach go into effect. The fees go up by $100 everyday, so by Day 30 charges reach $46,500 per container. 1/n Image
In my tweetstorm last week I called out all the reasons that it was so challenging for importers to find available chassis and get appointments to pick up containers at the port. 2/n
This new 'emergency fee' punishes importers for a problem totally outside their control. Brands need the merchandise for the holidays. They would LOVE to come get those containers. 3/n
Read 12 tweets
28 Oct
What caused all the supply chain bottlenecks? Modern finance with its obsession with "Return on Equity."
To show great ROE almost every CEO stripped their company of all but the bare minimum of assets. Just in time everything. No excess capacity. No strategic reserves. No cash on the balance sheet. Minimal R&D.
We stripped the shock absorbers out of the economy in pursuit of better short term metrics.
Read 23 tweets
22 Oct
Yesterday I rented a boat and took the leader of one of Flexport's partners in Long Beach on a 3 hour of the port complex. Here's a thread about what I learned.
First off, the boat captain said we were the first company to ever rent his boat to tour the port to see how everything was working up close. His usual business is doing memorial services at sea. He said we were a lot more fun than his regular customers.
The ports of LA/Long Beach are at a standstill. In a full 3 hour loop through the port complex, passing every single terminal, we saw less than a dozen containers get unloaded.
Read 30 tweets
20 Oct
Last night Flexport brought a taco truck to the Port of Long Beach as a big thank you to the ILWU laborers there working like crazy to clear this container backlog. A thread on what we learned! /1 ImageImage
First off, they told us that Flexport is the first outside company in the history of the port to send in a food truck as a sign of gratitude. They loved it. /2
During our evening at the port only one truck showed up. The 24/7 gates don't matter if nobody comes to pick up the containers. Big opportunity for companies that can operate their receiving facilities at night and send trucks to the port when there is no line. /3
Read 18 tweets
28 Apr
I wrote a children's book about the ship that got stuck in the Suez Canal. All proceeds will go toward Flexport.org's urgent shipping of supplies to frontline medical workers in India. Order yours here! gum.co/flexport
Big thanks to @paulg for editing the copy and making it more wonderful :)
Also thanks to @alexrkonrad who I'm pretty sure gave me this idea during our interview about the Suez a few weeks ago.
Read 5 tweets

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