it is just a couple photos, but noted throughout the week the kind of smiling, overconfident faces of the lead Iran negotiator and the rather grim faces of the EU coordinator and here the E3 reps.
Concern of the latter is they just may be running out of time
The reasons the timeline may be so off is the IAEA reported yesterday Iran started enriching with more advanced centrifges at Fordow. Breakout now about 1 month, and if Iran stays on current trajectory, could be a couple weeks in January.
Can see why the parties want to figure out from Vienna a way that possibly buys them more time to figure out how they want to proceed, when the clock is ticking so fast.
the people who tried to kill the deal truly have so much to answer for.

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More from @lrozen

3 Dec
🧵New from me: ‘Back to square one almost’: Iran talks end in Vienna with no apparent progress diplomatic.substack.com/p/almost-back-…
European diplomats say after the new Iranian admin waited 5 months to resume nuclear talks, its proposed changes to a text crafted over 6 previous rounds of talks walk “back almost all of the difficult compromises crafted after many months of hard work.” diplomatic.substack.com/p/almost-back-…
“Over 5 months ago, Iran interrupted negotiations,” E3 dips said. “Since then, Iran has fast-forwarded its nuclear program. This week, it has back-tracked on diplomatic progress made.”
“unclear how these new gaps can be closed in a realistic timeframe”

diplomatic.substack.com/p/almost-back-…
Read 8 tweets
30 Nov
It is somewhat extraordinary the amount of recent Israeli rethinking out loud their past advocacy against the Iran deal and how sabotage ops v Iran may have backfired—all while Israel officials, meanwhile, still going around asking E3 etc for a credible military threat.
the latter also pretty delusional
Read 6 tweets
30 Nov
🧵I reported a couple weeks ago that diplomats interacting with the Iranian team ahead of the nuclear deal revival talks that resumed in Vienna yesterday said there was still a lack of clarity about what the Iranian position was. diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-positio… 1/ Image
“1 key question where there is still uncertainty, an official from a current party to the deal described, is whether Iran expects to pick up the talks where they left off after 6 rounds of talks in June, start talks from scratch, or something in between.
diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-positio…
“Another diplomat from another nation in the deal, speaking not for attribution, also suggested that, even after recent consultations, he is still unclear what the Iranian position is.” 3/ diplomatic.substack.com/p/iran-positio…
Read 8 tweets
29 Nov
New from me: 'Sense of urgency' as Iran talks resume in Vienna diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…
US official seemingly downplayed report on Israel alleging Iran taking steps to possibly prepare for higher level enrichment, saying it's sticking to its diplomatic course
diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…
"We will not comment on intelligence matters," senior admin official. "But it's no secret that the former administration's decision to abandon the JCPOA led to a dramatic and unprecedented acceleration of Iran's nuclear program." diplomatic.substack.com/p/sense-of-urg…
Read 7 tweets
29 Nov
Video of EU coordinator Mora comments after Joint Commission meeting today. Important thing, now, we are engaging again. Says the working group on sanctions lifting will be meeting tomorrow morning. the other working group should meet the next day.
he also said the meeting today took a long time because Iran has a new head of delegation and he wanted to get their points across.
Mora, asked about the work of the past six rounds, offers a somewhat indirect response: says the Iran delegation represents a new admin in Tehran with new political sensilibites. accepted work done over past six months is a good basis to build on for the work ahead.
Read 9 tweets
28 Nov
🧵 Oped by new Iran nuclear negotiator Ali Bagheri Kani ahead of resumed nuclear talks in Vienna tomorrow, suggesting Iran position hardening. “…To ensure any forthcoming agreement is ironclad, the west needs to pay a price for having failed to uphold its part of the bargain….”
“As in any business, a deal is a deal, and breaking it has consequences.

“Iran remains committed to the process and we will adhere to our commitments. From our perspective, the principle of ‘mutual compliance’ cannot form a proper base for negotiations since it was the US gov’t
“which unilaterally left the deal. The US should therefore demonstrate that it is serious this time, and that it possesses the necessary competence to fulfil its commitments. …
Read 6 tweets

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