Florida governor Ron DeSantis is either openly preparing for a break from the federal government or he wants his followers to *believe* he is. Either way, it's extremely dangerous for the future of the United States.

🧵
2. Yesterday DeSantis called for the reactivation of the World War II-era Florida State Guard. State Guards aren't inherently bad or unusual. They supplement the National Guard in 23 states.

What's unusual is De Santis' timing and motivation.
cnn.com/2021/12/02/pol…
3. DeSantis has watched the U.S. military shut down potential rogue states over covid vaccine requirements.

As a current U.S. Navy Reserve officer, he knows his way around the military. That means DeSantis knows he'll never fully control the Florida National Guard.
4. KEY POINT: DeSantis isn't reactivating the State Guard to *supplement* the U.S. military as was intended during World War II. He's doing it to *circumvent* the U.S. military. He wants an armed force that will act IN OPPOSITION to the U.S. military, not serve in its absence.
5. It's hard to overstate the danger in that intent. But let's keep going.

At his press conference announcing a desire to create his own military force, DeSantis displayed an image with the words "Let Us Alone." That's not an official motto or anything.
6. "Let Us Alone" comes from a proposed version of the first state flag of Florida when it entered the Union in 1845. It was never adopted because Florida officials at the time considered it too controversial and at odds with the very purpose of joining the United States.
7. Ron DeSantis is bringing back "Let Us Alone" after 176 years because his commitment to the U.S. is clearly waning.

So. Will Florida attempt to secede or otherwise attempt to break up the U.S.? Who knows. But Republicans are sending all the messages and they're not subtle.
Responses to this thread from DeSantis supporters are, of course, contradictory. There are two basic ones:

1. wHeRe iS yOuR TiNFOiL hAt, cOnSpiRaCy tHeOriSt
2. yes, you are correct, DeSantis is doing this and it is a good thing
Just want to be clear about where I stand:

Do I think Florida is about to secede? No, I don't.

Do I think Republicans like Ron DeSantis and Greg Abbott are systematically testing the fences like the velociraptors in Jurassic Park? Yes, I do.

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More from @BFriedmanDC

21 Nov
Some thoughts: I suspect a small, but not insignificant, part of Biden's falling numbers has to do with his administration's less-than-ideal handling of what the public administration world calls "street level bureaucracy." That is, agencies that deal directly with voters. 🧵
2. Unlike, say, Defense, State or the Treasury, the Postal Service, Small Business Administration, VA and CDC all interact with voters directly. And with exception of VA, USPS, SBA and the CDC have all flopped in the last year.
3. This is a departure from past Democratic administrations. Effective governance is the primary job of the White House and President, not passing legislation. Previous administrations took that charge seriously.
Read 6 tweets
19 Nov
Wasn't going to say much about this, but the tweet is getting QT ratioed as it spreads. Since this is my business, here goes: People are dunking on a tech bro saying tea is gendered. I'm seeing lots of women, immigrants and non-Americans express particular dismay. 🧵
2. Tea itself is not gendered, and tea culture, outside the U.S. is not gendered. For example, my introduction to tea came from guys draped in 7.62 rounds carrying AKs. But for whatever reason, in the U.S., tea is marketed primarily to women. Look at the colors and imagery. ImageImageImage
3. It's feminine, not masculine. I don't know if they're marketing to women because men (more specifically white men) don't drink tea as much, or if men don't drink tea as much BECAUSE they're not being marketed to. But you see this everywhere in the U.S.
Read 6 tweets
1 Nov
This idea probably sounds good to people who don't know anything about the military. First, 80% of military officers don't attend a service academy. Second, there's no data suggesting service academies produce better officers. 🧵
Third, military leadership is underpinned by the Uniform Code of Military Justice and years-long contracts. Unless cops are willing to adhere to legally binding higher standards and employment contracts, then it wouldn't *really* be a service academy and would likely waste money.
People praise military leadership, but here's the dirty little secret about it: Military leadership is effective because everyone, at every level, has been through the same standardized training and subordinates can't quit. Leading soldiers is much easier than leading civilians.
Read 5 tweets
6 Sep
Trumpists attacking school board meetings is really important.

Stay with me here: While Democrats have historically focused on House, Senate and presidential races, Republicans have built electoral power nationally through relentless focus on state and local races.
But free and fair elections have lost favor with most Republicans. So back in January, they stormed the U.S. Capitol. This was a bad idea and ended in embarrassing defeat. It was much too early, too national and the majority of Republicans weren't ready to support open rebellion.
Read 6 tweets
5 Sep
Not criticizing Walter here, but yes, I can imagine what will happen. Fascism will reign (not historically unusual) or widespread civil conflict will break up the country (which has already happened twice). We should stop dancing around the possibility and address it directly.
If Trumpists take control of the government through voter suppression, I would predict the fascism option if the economy stays strong. If the pandemic sticks around and the economy remains sluggish or takes a dive, then we'll have open conflict.
What has always made America exceptional, the thing that has kept us together when other similarly diverse countries would have broken up, is our wealth. As long as the economy stays strong and employment stays high, we'll only have sporadic conflict.
Read 4 tweets
18 Aug
One thing that would help veterans not feel so sad about our failing wars is if we didn't constantly tell them they were heroes fighting for freedom. It sets the bar way too high relative to what the actual job was.

🧵
Sure, many performed heroically, but troops are basically plumbers: Someone highly trained to solve an important problem. You got a busted, corrupt government allowing terrorism to fester? Call these guys. Problem solved.
Asking them to do more than that, and worse, putting them on a pedestal as being more virtuous than everyone else is a real mismanagement of expectations. So when the freedom and democracy doesn't materialize, vets feel like they failed, or worse, that their job was pointless.
Read 7 tweets

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