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Kyle Lamb Profile picture
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3 Dec, 4 tweets, 2 min read
Remember, variants are not profound. The wave happening in South Africa right now is happening almost exactly at the same time as last year. Only this time they have added antigen tests as counting toward their rapidly rising numbers. Seasonality is the cause not Omicron
We called this out when it happened. South Africa announced they were adding antigen results to the total.

It resulted in immediate data dumps, including 18,500+ on Nov. 23.

This wave is due to seasonality, not a variant. How much the variant is or isn't more transmissible and whether it's increasing the rise is not known. Sequencing alone cannot determine what share of cases is due to Omicron. Symptoms continue to be less severe than Delta.

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More from @kylamb8

Kyle Lamb Profile picture
2 Dec
In Pensacola, @GovRonDeSantis has arrived at the podium where a sign reads "Florida State Guard" and "Let Us Alone," the motto of the first state guard in 1845.
The Governor announces we are recommending over $100 million in funding of the Florida National Guard.
Adding we want the ability to respond to events in the state, we are also recommending money to reestablish the Florida State Guard, a state-run volunteer force to help in disasters and emergencies as a supplement to the national guard.
Read 4 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
28 Nov
Today most can't spell Omicron.

Yesterday they thought it was the Nu variant.

Two days ago most didn't know it existed.

The only reports on the ground is that it's mild so far.

Yet global leaders are threatening restrictions over a coming surge. Pure evil manipulation.
There is nothing profound about variants. They're natural permutations of a respiratory virus. The media has attempted to exaggerate every single one, and none have been remarkably different other than Delta being a little more transmissible. Branding them is a fear tactic.
Think about it: they're already trying to link the upcoming winter wave with Omicron, even though we literally have zero data supporting it is any more transmissible and anecdotes suggest it's milder. And the winter wave has already started, but they'll blame it on the "variant."
Read 7 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
24 Nov
You can't make this up. Well, apparently you can. It's called journalism.
Folks, that there are two different kids mentioned in this story, and the second being highlighted, is not actually a gotcha.

The headline references the kid being lost to COVID but the details do not establish that. They say died "with" and had serious unspecified conditions.
Given that the previous youngest known death also later was revealed that they didn't die "from" the virus, this headline is irresponsible.
Read 4 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
18 Nov
Live in Brandon, Fla., @GovRonDeSantis is ready to sign four bills passed yesterday in special session, including the prohibition of mask mandates in schools and doing away with jab or job vaccine mandates in businesses in Florida. Image
Along side the Governor is Attorney General @AshleyMoodyFL who is announcing the state has filed a lawsuit in Pensacola in the Northern District court challenging the CMS vaccine mandate of healthcare workers.
Saying it's your body and it doesn't belong to Dr. Fauci, @FLSurgeonGen says it is time to fight back on the attempted normalization by national leaders that they control your medical autonomy.
Read 6 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
17 Nov
The Florida House has just passed the COVID-19 vaccine mandate bill. This will allow any one of five exemptions by any business in Florida wishing to require vaccines of employees. This will also put into law that no school districts may have required masking in schools.
If the Senate passes the same bill today, it will be sent along to @GovRonDeSantis for signing.
Businesses wishing to ask vaccines of employees, must allow exemptions for:

Medical issues
Sincerely held religious beliefs
Pregnancy
Previous infection
Or the written consent of the employee to consent to masking or testing, the frequency of which will be determined by DOH.
Read 4 tweets
Kyle Lamb Profile picture
13 Nov
Questions asked in public health before vaccine mandates are appropriate for endorsement.

1) Is there grave risk?
2) Is vaccine safe and effective?
3) Is there a superior benefit of the vaccine to alternatives?

Bonus: Are there significant consequences to coercion?

Thread.
1. Is there grave risk to the public?

No. Not with working age population (15-64 years old).

Over 75% of all COVID-19 deaths are 65+.

The survival rate for under 65 is over 99.9%.

There is not grave risk to most working age persons.

2/6
2. Are vaccines safe and effective?

To most they are safe. Scandanavian countries have suspended use for some males under 18-30 in Moderna, due to some signals of Myocarditis.

These vaccines lessen risk of severe illness, but they do not prevent or slow down transmission.

3/6
Read 6 tweets

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