This is an excellent point from @ThePlumLineGS. Public figures can and do shape public opinion, but we give them a pass when we assume that "public will" is some immutable state of nature, for elected officials to follow. Some thoughts: washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
1/ It sounds heretical for an elected official to say "we can change public opinion". And yet if we didn't believe that to be true then marketing wouldn't exist. Everyone who's ever sold something had to first convince people they needed it.
2/ Ask yourself what toothpaste you prefer, then ask yourself on what rational basis you decided that [whitening] / [ADA approved] / [insert brand] / [minty fresh] is the logical choice. You made a decision, then you rationalized it.
3/ Likewise, most people don't understand epidemiology, or the physics of global warming, or the relationship between tax policy and fiscal growth. That's fine - these are complicated subjects! But we take queues from people in positions of power who tell us what is true.
4/ Those of us in elected office have access to virtually unlimited information from subject matter experts. It weighs heavy on most of us to ensure that we don't say something that could cause pain, suffering or death given the size of our platforms.
5/ And yet I do not say all. Because we have high profile figures telling you not to get vaccinated. That climate change isn't real. That more guns make us safer. These aren't just lies. They are beliefs that will doom you to avoidable suffering, and even death.
6/ The folks saying that are no different than those who might yell fire in a crowded theater - except for the fact that there are hundreds of millions of people in this particular theater.
7/ And if they say "well, that's just what the public believes", they are either telling you that they are incapable of leadership or that they have willfully led people to peril. The former makes them mere followers. The latter is criminal. Either are disqualifying.
8/ So have sympathy with those who follow these charlatans. They are victims. But we must bring the perpetrators to account. May they be so lucky as to earn their penalty solely at the ballot box. /fin

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More from @SeanCasten

7 Dec
Great to see supply chains debottlenecking, trade deficits narrowing and US business exports surging. Thank you @POTUS! cnbc.com/2021/12/07/us-…
BUT... watch this data. So much of our recent surge in natural gas and gasoline prices has been because of the surge in exports rather than increased domestic demand. Will be eager to see raw data and see if domestic supply is keeping up to avoid price inflation. Image
See this for some data on how gasoline exports have been putting upward pressure on prices at the pump in recent months.
Read 4 tweets
3 Dec
There is a lot of misinformation going around about the current inflation situation. A morning thread to offer some clarity...
1/ First, price inflation is obviously going on. It's a real issue impacting real people. But if we mis-diagnose the cause, we'll apply the wrong solution.
2/ Basic econ: higher prices come when demand exceeds supply. But that can come about either because demand is unusually high OR because supply is unusually low.
Read 25 tweets
1 Dec
This has got to stop. America is the only country in the world where an adult can buy a gun, their kid can use it to kill their classmates and we do nothing more than recycle intellectually inane conversations about our Constitution and our exceptionalism. washingtonpost.com/nation/2021/11…
To be clear, every country has challenges with mental health. Every country has teenagers struggling to transition to adulthood. But the US is the only one with such easy access to deadly weapons one can access when faced with those stresses.
The US has more guns than people. If we got rid of half of them, we would still have more guns per capita than any other country on the planet. We don't have to live like this.
Read 15 tweets
24 Nov
This is a big deal. Less than 2 years ago, the economy was in freefall, unemployment rising to Great Depression levels, workforce participation falling, GDP collapsing and unconstrained disease spread. Electing responsible adults matters. washingtonpost.com/business/2021/…
Our 30 second news cycle forgets this too quickly. We had a President suggesting COVID would just go away. Entire sectors of the economy were shut down. Childcare was gone. The architects of the 2008 bailout were advising us that this was going to be much, much worse, and...
...all were keenly aware that the 2008 bailout was over-reliant on monetary policy. It got money to banks but left a generation behind. It would have been stressful in any environment, but all the more when we knew the WH was inept and in full denial mode.
Read 10 tweets
19 Nov
Ok, so we're back awake now. Heading to the House soon to vote now that QEvin's temper tantrum is over. It's going to be a good day for our country. But first a quick explainer of last night's theatrics:
1/ The Build Back Better Act is really popular with the American people. Lower prescription drug prices. Universal pre-K. Massive investments to protect our climate. Finally let seniors cover hearing costs in Medicare. Expanded child tax credits. I could go on.
2/ The @GOP agenda is not popular. Taking horse medicine, storming the Capitol and stealing from the poor to pay the rich is no basis for policy.
Read 9 tweets
16 Nov
Curious about what's happening to gasoline prices? Short version is that COVID and the Texas freeze massively disrupted supply chains. Some interesting data from @EIAgov this morning. Brief thread:
1/ First, look at demand. Gray area is the historic normal. Massive collapse when COVID hit that didn't get back to normal until this spring. Supply chains got beat up.
2/ Now look at how the Texas freeze hammered the refineries. (Please, fix your grid, Texas.)
Read 5 tweets

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