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Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
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8 Dec, 5 tweets, 2 min read
Over last 10 years, the homeless population increased 31% in California & declined 18% in rest of U.S. Why? We diverted funding from shelter to housing.

Now, a new poll finds that 57% of California voters support Shelter First & just 30% support the "Housing First" status quo
The implications of the new survey, conducted by a Democratic pollster of LA County voters, are massive

Homelessness is the #1 issue, with 73% of voters calling it "very serious"

Shelter First candidates will have powerful advantage over Housing First candidates
The evidence is overwhelming in favor of the humanity & efficacy of Shelter First

Shelter First is the reason New York City shelters 95% of its homeless but L.A. shelters just 28%
The anecdotal evidence that "homelessness," aka, open drug scenes, have grown worse, is strongly supported by this poll. An astonishing 79% of LA voters say the problem has gotten worse

ca-times.brightspotcdn.com/ae/18/1d671ce4…
And a large majority of voters say that having homeless people in their neighborhoods make them fee unsafe

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More from @ShellenbergerMD

Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
10 Dec
As violence arrives in rich neighborhoods, and progressives deny crime wave, liberals are buying guns, organizing neighborhood watch committees, and mobilizing to get rid of progressive district attorneys

My scoop from the frontlines of Beverly Hills

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/as-violence-…
“I’ve always been anti-gun,” said Debbie Mizrahie of Beverly Hills. “But I am right now in the process of getting myself shooting lessons because I now understand that there may be a need for me to know how to defend myself and my family. We’re living in fear.”
During BLM protests last year, Mizrahie told The Post, her neighbor’s home was firebombed with Molotov cocktails. “My kids were outside and saw a huge explosion. The neighbor’s] backyard went up in smoke. Trees burned down. It’s only gotten worse. Beverly Hills has been targeted”
Read 46 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
8 Dec
Progressives thought they could defund the police without increasing crime, but now we are in a brutal crime wave that is disproportionately hurting the people progressives said they wanted to protect

Brilliant piece by @lwoodhouse

leightonwoodhouse.substack.com/p/defund-the-p…
I took my safety for granted and viewed law-and-order as a "right wing" issue until I spent time in places where law-and-order had broken down. I came to understand the horrors that resulted, including rape and murder and the daily stress of just trying to survive.
"The push to defund the police has always been more popular in higher income areas... where crime and violence are more of an abstraction... But now...the crime wave is hitting affluent neighborhoods, too"

Outstanding summary of how "defund the police" is a "luxury belief":
Read 9 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
6 Dec
Many progressives insist police don't prevent crime, but a large body of research, and rising crime amidst widespread police shortages, offer strong proof that they do.

We should be more skeptical of the claims made by criminal justice reformers

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/why-violent-…
Clarence and Jacqueline Avant may not be household names but they are giants of black American music and philanthropy. Clarence is the former chairman of Motown Records, and responsible for the careers of some of America’s greatest African American musicians.
Jacqueline, 81, was president of Neighbors for Watts, an early child care organization, and a much-loved philanthropist. Netflix last year produced a film about Clarence and in October he was inducted into the Rock & Roll Hall of Fame with the love of his life at his side
Read 44 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
4 Dec
Most people think global carbon emissions have been rising, but new data show they actually *declined* over the last decade.

Emissions must still decline further, but temperatures are unlikely to rise above 2.5°-3°C, far less than the much-feared 6°C

carbonbrief.org/global-co2-emi…
All else being equal, we wouldn't want to change global temperatures much, since we have created cities, farms, and nature areas around current temperatures.

But all else isn't equal. Emissions are a by-product of modern energy, which reduced extreme poverty from >90% to <10%
If we had to choose, we'd rather the world got warmer than cooler, since more people die of cold than heat, and because warmer temperatures make more rather than less land available for farming, but too much heat creates new risks.

Read 9 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
2 Dec
Many say climate change threatens economies but a major new report by the New York Fed says the impact of extreme weather events has been & will remain trivial

The real threat, the authors warn, comes not from climate change, but from climate policy

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/the-real-thr…
Over the last two years, some of the world’s most powerful and influential bankers and investors have argued that climate change poses a grave threat to financial markets and that nations must switch urgently from using fossil fuels to using renewables.
In 2019, the Fed Reserve Bank of SF warned climate change could cause banks to stop lending, towns to lose tax revenue, & home values to decline.

Last year, 36 fund managers representing $1 trillion in assets said climate “poses a systemic threat to financial markets & economy”
Read 61 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
1 Dec
It’s fine to disagree with me but I’m raising a serious question: is the plan here to just maintain the fentanyl & meth addictions of people made jobless, family-less, and homeless by their addiction? If that’s the goal be honest about & don’t claim Europe did the same, it didn’t
In Netherlands & Portugal they pressure homeless street addicts to quit. They shut down the open drug scenes. They required people to live in shelters, not the street. Housing is earned. There’s less than 150 people the Dutch govt let’s shoot heroin bc methadone didn’t work.
Where the New York experiment appears to be headed is to have thousands of people administered fentanyl, heroin, meth, whatever, with no regard for getting people off those debilitating drugs so they can re-unite with families, work, and be independent, not chemically controlled
Read 9 tweets

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