1 of 6:
Gauteng #Omicron update:
Cases in Gauteng are likely to peak between 12 and 20 December.
The growthrate in 7 day average cases is slowing down consistently. It was 5% per day in the last day, down from 28% per day 12 days ago.
Gauteng #Omicron update:
Cases in Gauteng are likely to peak between 12 and 20 December.
The growthrate in 7 day average cases is slowing down consistently. It was 5% per day in the last day, down from 28% per day 12 days ago.
2 of 6:
The total number of patients in hospital is well below the Delta wave.
Since a peak in hospital numbers is expected in 11-21 days, this variable is not a concern anymore.
data source: NICD
nicd.ac.za/diseases-a-z-i…
The total number of patients in hospital is well below the Delta wave.
Since a peak in hospital numbers is expected in 11-21 days, this variable is not a concern anymore.
data source: NICD
nicd.ac.za/diseases-a-z-i…
3 of 6:
As we look at more severe outcomes, the numbers are even lower. ICU beds track well below the Delta trajectory.
No restrictions are needed to help hospitals in any way.
As we look at more severe outcomes, the numbers are even lower. ICU beds track well below the Delta trajectory.
No restrictions are needed to help hospitals in any way.
4 of 6:
Only 3-4% of patients admitted with #Omicron end up on ventilators.
For Delta, 10-11% of patients ended up on ventilators.
Only 3-4% of patients admitted with #Omicron end up on ventilators.
For Delta, 10-11% of patients ended up on ventilators.
5 of 6:
Short term projections for Gauteng cases, total in hospital, ICU beds and ventilated beds.
All variables, except ventilated beds are running below the projections from 6 days ago.
The 7d growthrate for ventilated beds is 13% per day, not 11% per day (projection).
Short term projections for Gauteng cases, total in hospital, ICU beds and ventilated beds.
All variables, except ventilated beds are running below the projections from 6 days ago.
The 7d growthrate for ventilated beds is 13% per day, not 11% per day (projection).
6 of 6:
Considering that a significant portion of patients in hospital have not been infected before, or are not vaccinated, #Omicron must be significantly less virulent.
The lower age of admissions alone cannot explain the significant drop in disease severity.
Considering that a significant portion of patients in hospital have not been infected before, or are not vaccinated, #Omicron must be significantly less virulent.
The lower age of admissions alone cannot explain the significant drop in disease severity.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
