So basically if safety car comes out then whatever lead you have instantly evaporates? Ie no way verstappen catching Hamilton 12 secs in front before that… not sure I buy the michael Thomas 1989 analogy - more like being 2-0 down and then awarded two goals with one minute left…
This appears a better analogy… was Wolff right that Lewis would definitely have lost his place if he had also pitted?
Ah! Because verstappen makes pit decision knowing Lewis has already chosen too with nothing to lose - and following lap Lewis can’t do that because understandably fears race will end under the safety car - is that right?

Sorry F1 heads - seemed a bit random to this outsider
Ok seems bit strange though that decisions were made with express purpose of fashioning a one lap exciting one way penalty shoot out… and the race director knew there was a tyre advantage. Perhaps this evens out over the season, But there’s some interesting game theory here.
“Mr F1 boss, are you seriously saying that you can change the rules while the race is happening on the last lap of the last race of the championship to change who wins it? Is this wrestling or actual sport?”
Something like that? 😂
Game theory here is: no way leader can win in this situation, no matter what the lead.

The safety car whittles lead to zero. The person in second has incentive to change tyres, as nowt to lose after knowing leader has not pitted.

Just becomes a guess on whether race restarts..

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More from @faisalislam

10 Dec
👀 someone in UK Govt has been briefing the European media on record that the UK Govt has dropped its ECJ red line …. Rather significant change in tone. Deal in offing?
Here too… Someone wants a deal - world away from Article 16 if ECJ asks being parked quietly,..
European diplomats were saying earlier this month there was nothing to discuss as regards ECJ in any event…
Read 10 tweets
8 Dec
new German Chancellor @OlafScholz re economics/ Brexit/ furlough/€/ debt brakes, who I think I did last lengthy English language interview with, when in London for summer G7 tax deal. was quite emotional about & told me would “really change the world” 🧵
bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
on Brexit Scholz told me then - “I'm happy we got a deal in the end on relations between the European Union and the UK, and I hope that everyone will follow the deal and that everything will be exactly what was written down, if this is the case we will have good trade relations”
On the Kurzarbeit (precursor to furlough) extended during pandemic and developed after the financial scheme, Scholz said: “We supported the health of our people with the money we spent, but also the economy, and many jobs…”
Read 4 tweets
7 Dec
NEW: Treasury submission to public sector pay review bodies warns elevated inflation rates are temporary, unless “people come to expect high inflation to continue, for example if workers demand larger wage increases to maintain their purchasing power”…
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
HMT specifically warns that “public sector pay increases” could “exacerbate temporary inflation pressure” by contributing to higher wage demands across the economy… and of a “trade off” between higher pay rises and recruiting more staff/ public services investment ImageImage
In particular it is critical of the idea that public sector pay rises should account for the coming squeeze from the rise in National Insurance, saying this would use up funding for NHS/ social care and that doesn’t happen in the private sector Image
Read 7 tweets
1 Dec
Significant moment in local & indeed national politics - leader of Manchester City Council, Sir Richard Leese, stands down after a quarter of a century, which started with the IRA bomb of the Arndale centre, encompassed Commonwealth Games, transformation of City centre…
What has happened in Manchester in that time is of profound national relevance, though rarely seen to be the case…

Eg You can’t really talk about “levelling up” as some sort of new phenomenon, without examining what happened in major cities, led by Manchester since 1990s…
In Sir Richard’s case, it starts with a fundamental piece of strategic opportunism, helped by architect Ian Simpson. The bomb destroyed a chunk of the Arndale centre… instead of rebuilding it, they identified that bit of terrible urban planning as a block on investment for N MCR
Read 12 tweets
26 Nov
So @BBCNewsnight coming up

- Omicron Variant
- Brown on the “biggest public policy failure” of our time
- report from Grand Synthe refugee camp…

#pronunciation
Significant debate at Newsnight towers over pronunciation of Omicron… and also Stephen Sondheim song for our end credits - I was pushing for Tonight or I like to be in America…. Outvoted, rightly for Dame Judi Dench from Proms with “Send in the Clowns”
Hadn’t clocked that there was a remake of West Side Story directed by Spielberg coming out very soon…
Read 4 tweets
26 Nov
Just interviewed exPM @GordonBrown for tonight’s @BBCNewsnight who calls “hoarding”/wastage of vaccine by G20 nations “probably biggest international public policy failure of our times”…

And says SA President @CyrilRamaphosa “rightly” feels “very let down” over vaccine promises
Brown: “There are enough vaccines to get round the whole world, probably around 500 million vaccines that are unused, stockpiled, you might say hoarded, in the West today. That’s in America and in Europe, including the United Kingdom. Vaccines that could be moved very quickly…”
“…and transferred out to poorest countries of the world to enable vaccination to take place. There is a huge danger that many of these vaccines that are being unused here are going to be wasted. They run out. They expire. The use-by date is past and they have to be destroyed.”
Read 6 tweets

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