The big Q in MN’s #COVID19 stats this week is whether the encouraging drops we saw last week will continue.
Today’s stats are cautiously encouraging. Cases dropped, but some of that was driven by falling testing volume. Positivity rate ony inched down.
Tomorrow’s multi-day data dump will have a bigger swing on the data. Tuesday reports usually include twice as many total tests as Monday reports do.
Obviously we’d have loved to see a bigger drop here, but there’s nothing alarming here.
New #COVID19 hospital admissions continue to rise, especially for non-ICU beds.
By this time last year hospitalization data had already begun to fall steadily. (Our Fall 2020 wave peaked earlier than our possible peak now.)
While #COVID19 hospital *admissions* are up, *bed use* is much, much higher compared to the 2020 peak.
The observed decline in case counts is visible in all regions of Minnesota:
As of today’s report, MN has passed the round-number thresholds of 70% of the total population with at least one dose, and 25% of the population with a booster.
Rates of both boosters and first doses are trending down, however. (Second doses are up, reflecting the initial surge of 5-11-year-olds who immediately got their first doses a month ago.)
Another Monday means another lagged week of data on #COVID19 by vaccination status — and no real changes in relative prevalence. The unvaccinated were still (as of early Nov.) about 4x more likely to catch COVID, and 16x more likely to be hospitalized or die from it.
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No one would think to condemn the genre of historical nonfiction just because there's a bunch of badly researched polemics on the shelf at Target or Barnes & Noble. The same is true for history podcasts — the problem isn't the medium, which has been used to good & ill effect.
"Ah, but some of the most popular history podcasts are of the worst historical quality," one might say. But so it has always been, in all mediums.
I've been revisiting "The Last Dance" as late-night viewing the past week, and am continually impressed by the quality of its writing as narrative nonfiction.
One key thing that struck me last night: how the documentary handles the BAD parts of Michael Jordan's story.
"The Last Dance" is overall extremely pro-Jordan — unsurprisingly since he was involved in its production. It's been criticized for how it slighted some of the NBA players Jordan came into conflict with.
But — and this is key — it's not purely hagiographic.
"The Last Dance" spawned a bunch of imitation documentaries as other athletes and celebrities tried to capture that magic for themselves. I've seen a few, and they're often not good — in part because they're TRYING to avoid controversy. TLD's director Jason Hehir knew better.
If Walz resigns as governor to become vice president, Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan will become governor.
It's what happens next that gets INTERESTING. The President of the MN Senate (currently Minneapolis Democrat Bobby Joe Champion) becomes Lt. Gov....
The Minnesota Senate is currently split 33-33 between Democrats and Republicans, with one vacancy on the ballot this fall that's probably Lean D. If Champion resigns, that could lead to either a temporary Republican majority, or extended 33-33 tie, until Champion's replaced.
But it turns out that it's a murky, unsettled legal question whether Champion will HAVE to resign. Minnesota went through this issue a few years ago, when Tina Smith resigned as LG to accept a U.S. Senate appointment, and Republican Michelle Fischbach became LG.
“No principles, any methods, but no flowery language — always Yes or No, though you could only count on him if it was No.” — Clement Attlee on Stalin
“Soviet biologists were instructed to adopt the theories of the charlatan Lysenko… to disastrous effect… It is significant that Stalin left his nuclear physicists alone & never presumed to second guess *their* calculations. Stalin may well have been mad, but he was not stupid.”
“Fortunately for the West, American popular culture had an appeal that American political ineptitude could do little to tarnish.”
I finally hit on why "Hazbin Hotel" is leaving me so cold. I love a stylized sitcom about depraved souls in the afterlife struggling toward redemption: It's called "The Good Place," & while it lacked raunch, songs & art deco animation, it had sophisticated multi-layered writing.
Partly this is a difference in execution — if you hired Michael Schur to script-doctor the dialogue on "Hazbin Hotel" you'd get a much better show — but in large part it's just intent. TGP was aiming at the border between middle- and high-brow; HH is aiming at middle-low.
I see everything "Hazbin Hotel" is trying to do, and can appreciate it in an abstract sense. It's not a terrible show, it's just, like, a C+. It's competently done and has a few interesting ideas, but (4-5 episodes in) doesn't display any real verve or finesse in its writing.
You BET we polled people about #Napoleon. On the eve of a new biopic, most Americans don't know very much about Bonaparte, and what they do know, they don't especially like.
The U.S. actually has the highest rates of considering Napoleon's legacy to be "negative" of any of 8 countries YouGov polled. That includes several other countries that Napoleon actually invaded, humiliated and occupied.
What DO Americans know — or think they know — about Napoleon? Well, I regret to inform you that one of the most popular descriptors was "short," with no real difference between people who said they knew a fair bit about Napoleon and those who didn't.