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Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
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13 Dec, 5 tweets, 4 min read
1. Several reports the Russians are moving Buk SAM systems to the border. By telling Putin we'll do nothing, we invite an attack. @JoeBiden's @WHNSC run by @JakeSullivan46 is going to start a world war by the way it's trying to prevent one. @PressSec @WHCOS
2. And I hope that @WhiteHouse is being kept apprised of @TheJusticeDept investigation of a Russian asset's attempted coup. If Putin thinks he's to be exposed in an act of war, he may take his chances on an attack on @NATO. The force he's building can be interpreted as preparing
3. a general attack on NATO. Not moving at least 1 armored division to Europe may be a dangerous miscalculation. And politically, it makes @POTUS Biden look weaker everyday, almost assuring he gets hammered in the midterms. @SpeakerPelosi @SenSchumer @SenJackReed @RepAdamSmith
4. I get that Joe Biden wants to leave a legacy of making our society a more equal and economically fairer country. But just like FDR, he has to play the hand he's been delt. And with Putin's puppet looming that hand may be a war with Russia. One division. @SecDef @thejointstaff
5. Poland, Baltics or Romania. Perhaps move a brigade to each. Start moving them on RoRos and fly in the lead units and Stryker brigades ASAP. And I know that China is a real theat. There is no reason to presume Xi and Putin are not preparing a coordinated attack.

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More from @TimInHonolulu

Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
14 Dec
1. This is why I wanted to find the data on the judges. Contreras is the presiding FISC judge. I would think he'd sit-out the active cases. Now that he's engaged in Jan 6 cases, this might indicate that that phase of the DOJ investigation is finished.
2. I surmise that the first Title I FISA order re TFG and would issue in February. So three of a maximum of four finished by end of November. With the attack still ongoing they may not have the luxury of seeking a fourth and have transitioned from FISA Title I to
3. regular investigative tools under Title III of the Omnibus Crime Control Act. So those wire taps and search warrant applications might refer to the FISA orders but that part of the applications remain redacted and is seldom if ever disclosed in the criminal proceedings.
Read 5 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
13 Dec
1. I have @nytimes and @washingtonpost subscriptions so no monthly limit for me and get ten that I can post free monthly so everyone can read them. I think we can organize this so everyone has access to free important news based on the cooperation of folks with subscriptions.
2. Open to any thoughts. I'm a newspaper brat so access to the print media is important to me. How about a symbol in our timelines that says we have subscriptions and will post free if requested? Gets followers and helps people who don't have subscriptions follow those who
3. do have them. As much as I am disheartened by the NY Times move to the right and its willingness to push Russian propaganda, I also believe that, in time, it may return to consistent honest journalism. WAPO has also become weird but some of the reporters deserve our support.
Read 4 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
13 Dec
1. For folks who never contemplated how TFG would effect a successful coup (I started pondering it Nov 8, 2016) "martial" in the term "martial law" means "military." We had it in Hawaii for 3 years. As a lawyer here, you get exposed to how it worked. He needed a military force.
2. Like it or not, the people who blocked the deployment of an armed @DCNationalGuard saved our Republic from a successful coup. I get that it does not fit in the narrative we have adopted but I believe it is in fact the truth. I expect that the evidence that is being concealed
3. involves the discussions about the DC Guard deployment. I saw it coming well in advance. Simply search the Twitter timeline for "martial law" from Nov. 3 to Jan 5. That was the plan and had the armed DC Guard deployed that would have been the end of the Republic.
Read 7 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
12 Dec
1. Remember Carter Page? He was found in four #FISA applications to be an "Agent of a Foreign Power." Irregularities in the applications gave John Durham something to justify his existence as a special prosecutor, but that key finding has not, to my knowledge, been challenged.
2. Four FISA orders of 90 days each are permitted under FISA 50 U.S. Code § 1805(d)(2). One year. After that, the statute says it shuts down as to a US person. FISA applies to surveillance of "agents of a foreign power" and applies separate rules for persons other than US persons
3. and, like Carter Page, US persons. For a US person like Carter Page, the statute defines them as an agent of a foreign power as follows:

(2)any person who—

(A)knowingly engages in clandestine intelligence gathering activities for or on behalf of a foreign power,
Read 18 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
10 Dec
1. I need to dig into the post-election timeline but I have a distinct recollection that TFG was coming to terms with losing and then a few days after the election was called with enough to spare so that there was no way it would change the outcome, he changed. I have thought
2. early in his administration that he had a way to communicate with the Kremlin outside of the normal channels. Even if not that extreme, someone likely got to him in those days. As much as the focus is on Jan 6 and the days immediately before it, some of the indictments
3. allege early November as within the relevant time period. I think the criminal case that I am confident is under investigation is focused on those early days right after it was clear that Biden won. And if whoever got to TFG and convinced him to overthrow the election
Read 6 tweets
Tim Hogan 浩勤 Profile picture
10 Dec
1. From the perspective of #Taliban propaganda what this type of media may evidence about the status of
Taliban control, is they need these martyr videos to attempt to keep the faithful willing to be sacrificed for the cause. Because Afghan Taliban is objectively supporting
2. a foreign invader Pakistan, this form of propaganda is less likely to create the kind of fervor required to continue a movement built on a lie of Afghan sovereignty. If I were creating counter-propaganda I would focus on the fraud of the Pak controlled Taliban. As the forces
3. continue to die and go hungry their blind loyalty to the fat-cat Taliban leaders who were living in style in Qatar will likely begin to wane. If they are given an escape plan of returning to Pashtun areas to establish an autonomous region free of a corrupt central government
Read 5 tweets

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