BREAKING : scientists discover weaknesses in ice shelf holding back Antarctica’s 'doomsday' glacier suggesting it could shatter within the next 3 to 5 years
1.

'Scientists have discovered a series of worrying weaknesses in the ice shelf holding back one of Antarctica’s most dangerous glaciers, suggesting that this important buttress against sea level rise could shatter within the next three to five years.' washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…
2.

'Antarctica's Thwaites glacier could break free of the continent within 10 years, which could lead to catastrophic sea level rise and potentially set off a domino effect in surrounding ice'

newscientist.com/article/230150…
3.

'likely to become completely unmoored from the seafloor within the next decade' washingtonpost.com/climate-enviro…

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More from @ClimateBen

13 Dec
We have no carbon budget. We cannot make 100,000,000s of electric cars.

2°C by 2030-2050!

New cars means new roads means unsurvivable destruction of nature.

Walking, bikes, sailing ships, EVs for ambulances, etc? Yes.

The key: total social political economic transformation.🧵
1. We're in an extreme climate-extinction predicament and need to rethink and re-organise energy, manufacturing and the whole global economy. A just transition with a focus on well being will require some electric vehicles I'd imagine. But not cars.
Thread:
2. The onus is rich nations to step up. We need sustainable public transport.

'Just take the issue of money, for example, there was $100 billion promised by the rich countries... they actually inserted language saying ‘we are very sorry, we can’t do it..' genn.cc/blog/dr-saleem…
Read 7 tweets
12 Dec
🧵THREAD: educational institutions must now focus on

1. how economic growth will leave us facing 1.65-2°C global heating by 2040 give or take a decade

2. the horrific implications of such a rapid shift to 1.65-2°C

3. the alternative: immediate emergency degrowth system change
1.

We are likely heading for horrific 2°C by 2040-2052 according to scientists, though the 2030s is entirely possible as indicated by recent climate models.

Unchecked growth cannot avoid 1.6/1.7C by 2050 and may lead to up to 5.7C by 2090.

See thread:

2. Climate scientist Dr James Hansen warns of 2C by 2040 without immediate action and warns of dire consequences if 2C is not avoided.

Thread:

Read 5 tweets
11 Dec
climate scientists: many in the scientific community agree the acceleration of the breakdown of our stable climate is obvious and confirms the shit we're in is as deep as the geologic time we're heading back into as we witness the unfolding horror of planetary collapse

media: 🤫
1. IPCC climate scientist: 'my hope is..our hearts will lead us back to our shared humanity, strengthening our resolve to save ourselves and our imperilled world'

corporate media: tiny glimpses of truth amongst a tsunami of pro-economic growth distortions.dumptheguardian.com/australia-news…
2. Prof Bill McGuire: The obvious acceleration of the breakdown of our stable climate simply confirms that - when it comes to the climate emergency - we are in deep, deep s***! Many in the climate science community would agree, in private if not in public.bbc.com/news/science-e…
Read 5 tweets
11 Dec
Forecast

2022: economic growth
2023: economic growth
2024: economic growth
2025: economic growth
2026: climate chaos at 1.5C
2027: economic growth
2028: economic growth
2029: economic growth
2030: economic growth
2031-45: hell on Earth at 1.6-2C

It doesn't have to be this way🧵
1. if global warming is limited to 1.5 degrees Celsius, that will prevent "most of the tropics" from reaching intolerable wet-bulb temperatures.

phys.org/news/2021-03-g…
2. 'estimates show all scenarios reaching 1.5 ∘C of warming.. in the second half of the current decade.. The warming level of 2 ∘C of warming is reached as early as 2039'

Unchecked conomic growth would mean 1.6C-2C catastrophe in the 2030s/2040s.

esd.copernicus.org/articles/12/25…
Read 10 tweets
11 Dec
2100:

2050:

2025: emissions reach record levels due to ecosystem-wrecking economic growth just as Earth's species are hammered by ultra-dangerous 1.5°C

2021: there is an alternative 🧵
1.

The chance of reaching 1.5 degrees Celsius of heating by 2025 has “roughly doubled” compared to last year’s predictions and now sits at 40%. gizmodo.com/were-speeding-…
2.

'If countries meet their net-zero and other new climate goals..fossil-fuel emissions would peak by 2025 and then start to rapidly decline..

Despite a peak and decline..the world’s climate pledges still falls well short of..1.5C'

Growth won't work.
carbonbrief.org/fossil-fuel-us…
Read 6 tweets
3 Dec
'To pave a square meter is a crime against humanity, at this stage of development'

Do schools, universities, state-corporate media ever reflect on slowing down? Do we understand energy? Do we even acknowledge extinction? Are we applying reductionist thinking to living systems?🧵
1. I'm introducing Jeff's thread here, not one of my own, and I'll add a few other comments too below.

How many journalists and teachers examine our predicament in a helpful way? I find it challenging to say the least.

Thread:
Read 4 tweets

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