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Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
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13 Dec, 19 tweets, 7 min read
Fire declined by 25% globally over the last two decades, according to NASA scientists Image
Emissions globally declined over the last decade Image
Deaths from natural disasters have declined over 90% Image
Cost of natural disasters as share of GDP is going down Image
Food surpluses larger than ever and rising ImageImage
Fewer people are dying from flooding and more people are affected by floods because cities on rivers got bigger ImageImage
No increase in hurricane frequency Image
Hurricanes predicted to become just 5% more intense but 25% less frequent Image
Drought area declining in US & flat globally Image
Good forest management prevents high-intensity fires ImageImageImage
Seas to rise just 0.6 meters (median estimate) by 2100; many already live rich lives 7 meters *below* sea level ImageImage
People killed 2x more polar bears than exist ImageImage
Irrigation, fertilizer, tractors and other basic farm technologies will massively outweigh higher temps in both irrigated and rainfed farms Image
The total land area used for meat production declined an area almost the size of Brazil, leaving more land for other species Image
News media have been alarmist about climate change for over 30 years Image
Climate alarmism contributed significantly to energy scarcity and high energy prices

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/how-climate-…
Bankers are manipulating climate fears to make energy more expensive and less reliable

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/the-real-thr…
The New York Times falsely claimed climate change threatened California's ancient forests

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/the-reason-t…
The New York Times falsely claimed "Southern Vietnam could all but disappear"

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More from @ShellenbergerMD

Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
15 Dec
Last year, San Francisco became one of the first cities to defund the police. Yesterday, the city's mayor dramatically reversed herself, calling for a significant increase in police funding, and an end to the city's deadly open drug scenes. Why?

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/victory-san-…
After Black Lives Matter protesters last year demanded cities “Defund the Police,” San Francisco Mayor London Breed held a press conference to announce that her city would be one of the first to do exactly that. Breed announced $120 million in cuts to police & sheriff departments
A spokesperson for the police officers’ union warned the cuts "could impact our ability to respond to emergencies,” but the police chief assured the public that the cuts “will not diminish our ability to provide essential services."
Read 42 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
14 Dec
Big news: San Francisco Mayor @LondonBreed has just announced a major crackdown on crime, including open air drug dealing, car break-ins, & retail theft

The plan contains much of what I & my colleagues @calif_peace have been advocating

This is a big step in the right direction
San Francisco Mayor Breed has for years promised to crack down on drug dealing & crime, and things have only grown worse over, so skepticism is merited

But Breed's plan lays out big goals and makes very specific promises, including new funding for policing.
Most importantly, Breed frames her response just right: around the need for "tough love" not compassion-only

Breed breaks from progressive crime denialists in saying "people aren't feeling safe" and "we need to change course on how we handle public safety."
Read 16 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
14 Dec
The share of Americans who approve of Biden's handling of crime declined from 43% to 36% since October, and yet many progressives deny the crisis. Why? Because they are in the grip of Wokeism, which views police, and our criminal justice system, as evil.

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/why-democrat…
Over the last 18 months, many progressives and Democrats have argued that public concern over crime, particularly in liberal cities, doesn’t reflect reality. “Overall crime [in San Francisco] was down 25 percent from 2019,” noted Washington Post columnist Radley Balko in July.
He added, “all major categories of crime remained well below their five-year average.” Said progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) earlier this month, “A lot of these allegations of organized retail theft are not actually panning out."
Read 18 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
12 Dec
“When asked how many of the people he met in [LA’s homeless] encampments had lost housing due to high rents, [social worker] Eric could not remember one. Meth was the reason they were there… Some were addicted to crack or heroin… But what Eric most encountered was crystal meth”
“Remarkably, Eric noticed, meth rarely came up in [L.A.] city discussions on homelessness… Policymakers & advocates instead preferred to focus on L.A.’s cost of housing, which was very high, but hardly relevant to people rendered schizophrenic & unhousable by methamphetamine.”
“For many progressives it is taboo to suggest people are on the street for any reason other than poverty. ‘Journalists need to not frame this problem as people with meth addiction,’ Housing First advocate Margot Kushel said to me, sternly, at the end of our call.”
Read 6 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
10 Dec
As violence arrives in rich neighborhoods, and progressives deny crime wave, liberals are buying guns, organizing neighborhood watch committees, and mobilizing to get rid of progressive district attorneys

My scoop from the frontlines of Beverly Hills

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/as-violence-…
“I’ve always been anti-gun,” said Debbie Mizrahie of Beverly Hills. “But I am right now in the process of getting myself shooting lessons because I now understand that there may be a need for me to know how to defend myself and my family. We’re living in fear.”
During BLM protests last year, Mizrahie told The Post, her neighbor’s home was firebombed with Molotov cocktails. “My kids were outside and saw a huge explosion. The neighbor’s] backyard went up in smoke. Trees burned down. It’s only gotten worse. Beverly Hills has been targeted”
Read 46 tweets
Michael Shellenberger Profile picture
8 Dec
Progressives thought they could defund the police without increasing crime, but now we are in a brutal crime wave that is disproportionately hurting the people progressives said they wanted to protect

Brilliant piece by @lwoodhouse

leightonwoodhouse.substack.com/p/defund-the-p…
I took my safety for granted and viewed law-and-order as a "right wing" issue until I spent time in places where law-and-order had broken down. I came to understand the horrors that resulted, including rape and murder and the daily stress of just trying to survive. Image
"The push to defund the police has always been more popular in higher income areas... where crime and violence are more of an abstraction... But now...the crime wave is hitting affluent neighborhoods, too"

Outstanding summary of how "defund the police" is a "luxury belief": Image
Read 9 tweets

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