Big news: San Francisco Mayor @LondonBreed has just announced a major crackdown on crime, including open air drug dealing, car break-ins, & retail theft

The plan contains much of what I & my colleagues @calif_peace have been advocating

This is a big step in the right direction
San Francisco Mayor Breed has for years promised to crack down on drug dealing & crime, and things have only grown worse over, so skepticism is merited

But Breed's plan lays out big goals and makes very specific promises, including new funding for policing.
Most importantly, Breed frames her response just right: around the need for "tough love" not compassion-only

Breed breaks from progressive crime denialists in saying "people aren't feeling safe" and "we need to change course on how we handle public safety."
"I'm proud this city believes in giving people second chances. Nevertheless, we also need there to be accountability when someone does break the law...Our compassion cannot be mistaken for weakness or indifference."
👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏

"I was raised by my grandmother to believe in 'tough love' — in keeping your house in order — and I believe we need a little of that, now more than ever."

👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏👏
Breed stresses law enforcement:

"We will not just increase the resources needed for public health... We will devote the law enforcement personnel & attention they have asked for, and that is required, to end the culture of tolerance for illegal, unhealthy & unsafe behavior"
And there it is: more money for cops, made real by a supplemental budget request
Again, this is not the end of the story. Many progressives are likely resist this at every step.

But this could be the beginning of the end. Breed will need the public's support to do the right thing.
The good news for Breed is that the political winds are blowing her way

Crime is killing @JoeBiden approval rating and is set to cause sweeping political defeats for Democrats

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/why-democrat…
What's required now is real change, which starts with what Breed said, demanding that accountability accompany compassion at every turn

Leadership is needed to make sure social workers and police work together to shut down open drug scenes

bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.11…
SF Mayor @LondonBreed has literally just called bullshit on progressive criminal justice reformers

“It is time for the reign of criminals to end. It comes to an end when are more aggressive with law enforcement & less tolerant of all the BULLSHIT that has destroyed our city”
Breed's remarks are very similar to those by former Philadelphia Mayor @Michael_Nutter

Moderate Dems are seizing a political opportunity in the widening public backlash to crime and Wokeism

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/why-democrat…
Here’s former Philly Mayor @Michael_Nutter denouncing “white wokeness” and “white privilege” for resulting in more homicide and crime
Will progressives denounce SF Mayor @LondonBreed — who is black & was raised in public housing, whose sister died of drug overdose, and whose brother was in prison — of wanting to "cage" black people?

Will SF progressive DA Chesa Boudin go along with Breed's plan?

🍿
And... there it is. A straight-up denial of the crime crisis

Stanford addiction expert @KeithNHumphreys describes the importance, and politics, of the promise by San Francisco Mayor @LondonBreed to shut down the open drug scene in the Tenderloin neighborhood, which kills addicts and is ruining the city.
Keith Humphreys on why
- supervised drug consumption rooms won't play a significant role in saving lives
- Prop 47, which decriminalized theft up to $950, and possession of up to 3 grams of hard drugs, shouldn't be an obstacle to closing open drugs scenes and treating addiction
Here's the full interview with @KeithNHumphreys

"When law enforcement kills us we're in a major uproar, as we should be. But why are we silent when members of our community kill members of our community? My children have to grow up in this. If somebody don't make a change, it's only gonna get worse" - Oakland rapper @MistahFAB
Progressives say we need to "center" black voices describing the trauma & violence of the "carceral state." Will they acknowledge the trauma and violence of living in a community where the state has failed to protect it because we defunded, demoralized, & decimated the police?
Somebody please give @BettyKPIX and @KPIXtv an Emmy for bringing to us the story of musician @MistahFAB and his concerns about rising crime, violence, and homicide

It's a side of the picture of crime that progressives were all but blind to last year.

sanfrancisco.cbslocal.com/2021/12/15/exc…

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More from @ShellenbergerMD

16 Dec
Until recently, the conventional wisdom was that nuclear energy was all but dead. But now, The Netherlands has joined UK & France in announcing a major expansion of nuclear. How did nuclear go from the margins to the mainstream? Here's the inside scoop

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/netherlands-…
Four years ago, the conventional wisdom in Europe was that the continent was transitioning to renewable energies. The cost of electricity from solar panels, wind turbines, and natural gas had declined significantly, and lithium batteries could soon replace natural gas.
And, held the consensus view, nuclear energy was going away; the main question was how soon existing nuclear plants could be dismantled.

Today, the conventional wisdom has changed radically.
Read 15 tweets
15 Dec
Critics of San Francisco Mayor @LondonBreed claim that policing & jails never work anywhere to address drug addiction & dealing but that's ridiculous: nearly every developed nation arrests drug dealers and addicts and incarcerates them or mandates treatment

🧵
It's true that sentences are not always long and the other developed nations have far better mental health and addiction care than we have.

But that's not an argument against arresting drug dealers and mandating treatment as an alternative to incarceration for addicts.
Moreover, California has a $31 billion surplus and San Francisco already spends between $80,000 and $100,000 on every "homeless" person in the city. Money is not the reason San Francisco doesn't treat addicts. Progressive activists who insist on special treatment of victims are.
Read 5 tweets
15 Dec
Last year, San Francisco became one of the first cities to defund the police. Yesterday, the city's mayor dramatically reversed herself, calling for a significant increase in police funding, and an end to the city's deadly open drug scenes. Why?

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/victory-san-…
After Black Lives Matter protesters last year demanded cities “Defund the Police,” San Francisco Mayor London Breed held a press conference to announce that her city would be one of the first to do exactly that. Breed announced $120 million in cuts to police & sheriff departments
A spokesperson for the police officers’ union warned the cuts "could impact our ability to respond to emergencies,” but the police chief assured the public that the cuts “will not diminish our ability to provide essential services."
Read 42 tweets
14 Dec
Progressives say government-sponsored drug injection rooms will prevent overdose & poisonings without encouraging addiction, but the evidence from Canada & Europe paints a different picture

Join a discussion with @Jeremy_Devine_ & me tmw @ 9am Pacific!

callin.com/?link=IoGsNZCs…
We will be joined by @beyondchron at 930!
This conversation will broaden to discuss crime, drugs, and homelessness overall, and a reflections on what SF Mayor London Breed announced today. Please join in!

Read 4 tweets
14 Dec
The share of Americans who approve of Biden's handling of crime declined from 43% to 36% since October, and yet many progressives deny the crisis. Why? Because they are in the grip of Wokeism, which views police, and our criminal justice system, as evil.

michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/why-democrat…
Over the last 18 months, many progressives and Democrats have argued that public concern over crime, particularly in liberal cities, doesn’t reflect reality. “Overall crime [in San Francisco] was down 25 percent from 2019,” noted Washington Post columnist Radley Balko in July.
He added, “all major categories of crime remained well below their five-year average.” Said progressive Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) earlier this month, “A lot of these allegations of organized retail theft are not actually panning out."
Read 18 tweets
13 Dec
Fire declined by 25% globally over the last two decades, according to NASA scientists Image
Emissions globally declined over the last decade Image
Deaths from natural disasters have declined over 90% Image
Read 19 tweets

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