My retrospective on the climate year of 2021 and look forward to 2022 in @CC_Yale today. Lots of important events are happening in the worlds of climate science and policy! Article and quick thread 🧵below: yaleclimateconnections.org/2021/12/2021-w…
2021 was the sixth- or seventh-hottest year on record, hotter than any year on record prior to 2015, and the hottest La Niña year ever recorded. It was consistent with the human-caused global warming trend of about 0.2°C per decade:
The world was battered by extreme weather disasters, including rain deluges and floods on nearly every continent, deadly heat like in the Pacific Northwest, harmful droughts, terrible wildfires, and a "bonkers" hurricane season.
We got a new @IPCC_CH report that concluded humans are most likely responsible for 100% of the ~1.1°C global warming over the past 150 years, and it's worsening extreme heat, droughts, wildfires, floods, and hurricanes.
#COP26 in Glasgow made incremental but insufficient progress, as COPs always do. There were some good agreements to curb deforestation, methane emissions, phase-down coal use and fossil fuel subsidies, and some important new net-zero pledges from countries like India & Nigeria.
In the US, the House of Reps passed Build Back Better with $555 billion in climate investments - America's first ever major federal climate package. The Senate will likely pass it relatively soon (pending @Sen_JoeManchin) and send it to Biden's desk in January 2022.
It's not enough to meet America's Paris pledge of 50% greenhouse gas emissions cuts below 2005 levels by 2030; closer to 40%, unless Senate Democrats manage to convince Manchin to add a price on carbon pollution, which remains a possibility.
Heading into 2022, most of the U.S. is forecast to see a relatively hot winter & the SW drought may persist, leading to yet another dangerous wildfire season. COP27 in Egypt will be important. A US midterm election will likely grind the gears of domestic climate policy to a halt.
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The first study considers a hypothetical carbon price starting at $30/ton in 2015, rising about 5% or ~$2 per year, with 100% of the revenue returned equally to individual taxpayers. Not dissimilar from the Energy Innovation & Carbon Dividend Act (2/11): congress.gov/bill/117th-con…
The authors used their Nested Inequalities Climate Economy (NICE) model – modified from Nordhaus' famous DICE climate-econ model, but adding regional economic distribution data – to evaluate the impact on households in each income bracket from poorest to wealthiest 20% (3/11)
The @WSJopinion page loves to publish junk from Bjorn Lomborg downplaying the risks posed by the climate crisis. Today he argues that potentially catastrophic 3.5°C global warming is 'economically optimal' based on Nordhaus' research. A thread 🧵 discussing the many errors here:
1) It's based on one paper (a.k.a. "single study syndrome", a.k.a. "cherrypicking"). Lomborg tries to bolster his case by noting the paper is by Nordhaus who won a Nobel Prize. But Nordhaus has said high-warming scenarios are uncertain and dangerous. theguardian.com/environment/cl…
2) The referenced paper was published in 2016, meaning it's 5 years out of date. The field of climate-economics has advanced dramatically during that time, yet Lomborg totally ignores the past 5 years of research. That's called cherrypicking.
The quote below is utter nonsense. The referenced "exhortations to combat climate change" are based on the authoritative @IPCC_CH report, and there have been plenty of climate policies proposed that are congruent with 'conservative agendas' like carbon pollution pricing (2/14)
The below sentence is totally irrelevant. The Earth both absorbs and re-radiates sunlight. It's the amount accumulating on Earth (equivalent to >5 atomic bombs per second) that changes its temperature and climate (3/14)
2) "Globally, the five warmest years on record have all occurred since 2010"
This is true, but a big understatement. The last 7 years were the 7 hottest on record, and the 8–9 hottest have happened since 2010. data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabled…
Let's do a thread 🧵 of conservatives falsely blaming Texas' power outages on wind turbines. To start, @DanCrenshawTX (who purely coincidentally happens to be the 3rd-highest House recipient of oil & gas money):
The #GreenNewDeal framework is largely a deployment of federal investments in clean technologies for lots of sectors, creating millions of jobs while cleaning up fossil fuel pollution and correcting environmental injustices. That's exactly the framework of the climate crisis EO!
On emissions reductions, the EO targets net-zero carbon from US electricity by 2035 and zero-emissions vehicles for federal, state, local fleets, including @USPS trucks. Those two sectors account for close to 60% of US carbon pollution.