The ability to steal huge amounts of money is not new. In fact, institutions do it all the time.
That's why Bitcoin was invented: so that each person can decide for themself whether to shoulder the risk of a corrupt establishment, or take the responsibility of self-sovereignty.
You can still keep your funds with a centralized custodian. But now you have a choice: that can be a bank, an exchange, a smart contract, etc.
You can also go fully self-sovereign. Or something in between, like multisig or social recovery.
This is true, but cuts the other way.
The only secure backend services by ~2040 will be on-chain. The reason is that chains get hardened by constant attack, with 24/7 bug bounties included by default. Compare this to current government IT security.
I'm not minimizing the security issues. They are real.
But as the stakes of our digital presence increase — from a few photos to all documents to all money to all vehicles and devices — crypto boosts the incentives for defense.
It's longevity, quantified self, and self-improvement. Transhumanism is what's next. tim.blog/2021/12/14/the…
Btw, I've thought a lot about the tradeoff between popularity & truth.
Failure mode 1: just become popular
Failure mode 2: just focus on scientific truth
Success mode: discover truths, then popularize them, ideally via a vehicle that makes them undeniable
Thoughtful piece by Noah, even if I disagree with some specifics. In particular, I wouldn’t characterize currency competition as financial anarchy. Often it’s financial stability. In the past, dollarization restabilized inflationary economies. Today that may be bitcoinization.
We do not argue that states are irrelevant; rather, they will be more relevant if they embrace the arrow of history and work with the network, and less relevant if they attempt rearguard actions against it.
The basic reason not to interview with them is that doing so legitimates them, endorses them, grants them control — when we need to be decentralizing power away from US media corporations and towards the people of the world with every word and every deed.
One part of it is unplugging from the establishment.
But another part is building something better. Replacing corporate truth with cryptographic truth, and obviating the inherited "paper of record" through the distributed ledger of record.
Astrology doesn’t work, but machine learning might.
Suppose you are Facebook or LinkedIn. You have a massive database of life histories. So you could probably do a decent forecast of where a 30-year-old with X job in Y city is likely to be in 5 years, using similar profiles.
There’s clearly tremendous demand for personalized forecasting.
Right now that market is mostly served by pseudoscience — but if we can replace the astrological with the logical, we might make progress.
An actionable version:
- here is a summary of all the people with life histories similar to you, but a few years older
- those who did X reported improvement in their lives
- those who did Y did not
- correlation isn’t causation, but can test to see if X has a causal effect
China doesn’t make any bones about it. All must hail the ruling party.
“Chinese theaters were directed to air at least two propaganda films per week to celebrate the 100th anniversary of the Chinese Communist Party.” cbr.com/chinese-theate…