1) Let's talk about how Xiaomi's one of the savviest and stealthiest Chinese tech investors bar none.
Their playbook involves selling mobiles close to margin to land a consumer, before upselling that customer on products they've invested in.
Almost Shopify for hardware
2) Xiaomi famously announced they would never make more than 5% in profit margin from hardware in 2018.
Because they see the phone as a distribution channel for their platform of products and services, the phones are cheap to basically acquire consumer 'traffic'.
3) Xiaomi carries over 2,000 consumer devices in their online and offline stores, of which it is only responsible for a select few, like TV, Xiaomi Pad and speakers.
The rest is made by 400 partner companies.
But Xiaomi isn't a simple retailer, they are a platform
4) You see, Xiaomi realised earlier on that it had crucial assets such as existing supplier relationships, distribution channels, and the Xiaomi brand.
All of which would help fledging hardware startups gain a foothold in the highly competitive white goods space
5) So they offer all of this and capital to startups.
Let Xiaomi invest, the offer goes, and Xiaomi opens their product expertise, consumer distribution channel, supplier bargaining power and brand equity all to the startup.
It is a powerful lure and most startups take it.
6) Xiaomi's investment portfolio is sizable - 330 companies worth $9.1bn in unrealised book value as of June 2021. In 2020, they made $345m (post-tax) from exits.
Companies such as Niu (scooter), Huami (wearable) and Ching Mi (power strip) have IPO'ed off Xiaomi ecosystem
7) The investment arm also coupled with Lei Jun (Xiaomi founder's) VC firm work together to acquire strategic intelligence on the market. Before Xiaomi entering EV, they have had investments in NIO and Xpeng already.
8) In 2020, they ranked number two in number of investments made by Chinese big tech, behind only Tencent (who invests as a business)
9) News came yesterday that Xiaomi just set up a new PE fund of RMB 1.1 billion ($172.7 million). I sense this is to gear up for bigger checks as they go deep into EV's supply chain
1) Changes in the air - pulling of idol-focused community apps, wasted milk scandal, Kris Wu's arrest, government announcement condemning fan culture.
Feels like a bigger crack-down for idols or 'traffic stars' (流量明星) is imminent.
2) Idol culture, imported from Japan and Korea, has grown rapidly in China in recent years. Some reports estimate China’s idol market to be worth RMB 100 billion ($14 billion) by 2020, with YoY growth of 60%.
3) The business model harks back to 1920s' movie studios - where studios incubate stars and secure them with exclusive contracts.
But instead of studios, it's internet media platforms and their ecosystem of trainee schools these days.
If your life has been going well, all the questions facing you from late twenties onwards will be hard questions, to which there are no right answers.
All the low hanging fruit questions have been answered and you're just left with the ultimate questions of 'what kind of person do I want to be? What kind of life do I want to live? Who do I want to be with?'
These 'hard questions' are actually a sign of the blessed in many respects. Because you have the luxury of trying to answer them.
Lillian: What do you think about the new government tech and education regulations?
Almost everyone I’ve spoken to in China: About time
Chinese stock holders: 🥲, but I brought call options
It raises this unspoken perspective that we don’t really care about what Chinese people on the ground actually care about.
There’s a lot of western media narratives around how this is a play for ‘control’. But who are they taking control away from?
It’s not the Chinese consumer, who didn’t really have control over the prices they were served on platforms, or feel like they could opt their children out of marathon schooling sessions.
1) Just thinking through the ramifications of Tencent essentially being regulated to relinquish their control over blocking links on their social networks.
Tencent's core competency has been 1) Traffic 2) Money
Which has made them a de facto kingmaker for Chinese startups
2) I spoke about this at length in the battle between Alibaba and Tencent and how much of Chinese internet is now a chase for traffic.
Removing this artificial constraint on the ecosystem will be potentially huge lillianli.substack.com/p/the-shadow-w…
3) Startups may no longer be convinced to take Tencent's investment.
As @DennisHong17 pointed out, Alibaba and Bytedance will be laughing as they finally get access to the walled garden.
1) Given the amount of panic I've seen on Twitter over Chinese stocks. I'm once again, asking you to consider some fundamental framings of the rules and objectives of Chinese governance.
It might be interesting. But it is better than being mired in FUD.
$TAL $TCHY $BABA
2) It makes great sense to pay attention to the rules of the game that the players are playing in.
The implicit rules of China are that the government sets goals for the country and invert back to to key objectives that the country should be attaining.
They don't hide this
3) It's literally called the Five Year Plan, it's the blueprint for the next five years and beyond for the Chinese economy.
There is a bit of reading the tea leaves but it's not impenetrable.
Literally. Every. Investor. I know in China pores over this.