), it was with the expectation that the prevalence of C19 infections in vaccinated vs unvaccinated would gradually approach each other (reducing the unvac/vac ratio), due to expected declining protective immunity from 💉
and buildup of natural immunity. At the time, the ratio was ~2.9 w. ~500 vs 1200 cases. It has since gradually declined, but much faster in the last weeks.
Today, the ratio is only 1.30 with 1052 cases in unvac and 6910 for💉.
We need to have a discussion of this development,
because it should have substantial ramifications for public health policies:
1) The coronapassport, until mid-January valid for 12 m(!) after 2x💉has marginal to zero (or negative?) effects in this scenario
2) We should immediately assess whether the shots work against Omicron
3) if they turn out not to work against Omicron, jabs for children and adolescents should be suspended immediately (unethical to expose our young to known sideeffects like myocarditis with a vaccine that does not protect against a disease that is not dangerous in this age group)
4) focus should be to ensure that children can go back to school ASAP & stay in school, without unjustified biweekly tests, quarantine measures etc.
These can only be justified if it turns out that Omicron is dangerous to children & adolescents (so far it does NOT seem to be so)
5) increase hospital capacity & shield the elderly and frail. Provide boostershots to protect against Delta, which is still circulating.
6) invest in developing new vaccines and treatments, rather than unnecessary and expensive mass-testing.
Please share your thoughts!
Preliminary data to be further scrutinized, released today by Dr @JacobRosenberg2 for 🇩🇰 Capital and Zealand Regions (roughly ½ the 🇩🇰 population and where Omicron has mainly raged so far) indicates a *declining* trend of hospital admissions with COVID-19 as the primary cause ⤵️
Data from December 1 to today for Danish hospital admissions in the regions with largest omicron infection increases - no omicron explosion in admission data - perhaps of interest @sailorrooscout@BallouxFrancois
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Min datter havde 5-års fødselsdag denne weekend og fik (udover en del andre 🎁) også muligheden for en snarlig COVID-19 💉. Jeg nød i den forbindelse at læse @Pottegard ’s balancerede refleksioner om +/- 💉.
Vi vælger at afvente pga. følgende:
🧵(1/13)
1)Studiet der ligger til grund for godkendelsen rapporterer markant beskyttelse imod 🦠, men follow-up er kun få mdr (som for voksne)
2)Ca. 1 ud af 1000 smittede i vores datters aldersgruppe får alvorlig C19 og til sammenligning er der, i de samlede studier blandt (...)
(2/13)
🧒<16 år, ret få der får alvorlige bivirkninger (severe AEs), men det kan alligevel ikke udelukkes at det er i omegnen af ca 0.2% eller 1 ud af 500 (NB: disse tal er behæftet med usikkerhed, så bemærk venligst forbehold)
3)Dette måske skyldes primært at studierne var små
(3/13)