Covid was clearly bad for DIS Parks/Studio biz. But I've been thinking lately it was also bad for D+.
As @ballmatthew wrote, D+ was going to be a binding agent between the company and consumers, helping to drive the non streaming biz by establishing a direct relationship.
The reality of the pandemic is that D+/streaming role as a business unto itself was forced on the Company. Rather than being allowed to grow steadily and become integrated across the divisions, D+ became the focal point. Yes, the DTC biz is much larger today, but at what cost?
To date, we haven't seen the types of cross asset collaborations I would've hoped for. Obviously the pandemic has a lot to do with that! But management also dramatically upped the sub targets and investor focus is now squarely on the size and shape of DTC, not its halo effect.
It is very unlikely that the standalone DTC biz will have anything like the economics of NFLX, it was never supposed to! So while Covid means D+ is much larger than it might have been otherwise, I'm not sure it or its role within Disney, is.
There's still massive opportunity for Disney as a Service to come to fruition. Question is whether Covid altered management attention and focus in a way that "success" in DTC is now a standalone objective, whatever that may mean, as opposed to a path to making DAAS a thing.
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DB: “The equity selloff since last Friday remains modest so far, in keeping with regular 3-5% pullbacks that have occurred every 2-3 months historically. However, this was accompanied by the sharpest weekly decline in equity positioning since the collapse back in March 2020”
Hulu remains a clusterfuck. Comcast potentially pulling tons of content, despite owning 1/3 of it. Disney and Comcast in arbitration about strategy and valuation. Disney treating Hulu like a stepchild. President of Hulu leaving to run Comcast owned Peacock wsj.com/articles/comca…
Zillow didn't like what the models were telling them to do, so they "turned up the dials".
On Q2 earnings call they said:
"We've been testing price elasticity in this hot housing market and we saw rapid conversion gains throughout the quarter as we improved our offer strength"
"The employees' accounts suggested that Zillow's iBuying problems had less to do with a glitch in its computer-driven, algorithmic approach to purchasing homes or unpredictable swings in prices and more to do with the overexuberance of human managers" businessinsider.com/zillow-insider…
"leadership wanted to be aggressive on acquisitions and incentivized all teams to err on the side of growth, which manifested in system overrides."
"A hidden scaffolding of financial incentives underpins the policing of motorists in the United States, encouraging some communities to essentially repurpose armed officers as revenue agents searching for infractions largely unrelated to public safety." nytimes.com/2021/10/31/us/…
"Fueling the culture of traffic stops is the federal government, which issues over $600M a year in highway safety grants that subsidize ticket writing. Although officials say they do not impose quotas, at least 20 states have evaluated police on number of traffic stops per hour"
So billion prices project is now Pricestats and they have an index with state street if anyone wants to pull that. the creator is an economist and has some interesting stuff.
from a paper in Sep, here are changes in online prices across countries through May.
here is a reweighting of the CPI by a more relevant covid consumption basket, also broken down by low and high incomes
Here are his estimates of stockouts by product category in the US, and a cross country comparison