Share this page!

Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture
Twitter logo
25 Dec, 5 tweets, 1 min read
Nonsense- had we let infection spread to let 'immunity build in the population' hundreds of thousands of people would've died, much before getting a chance to be vaccinated! It's your constant campaigning against migitations that have led to policies that led us into lockdown.
The John Snow Memo exposed GBD as dangerous pseudoscience - it's time to admit this and apologise because you and others got it so badly wrong, but have continued to advocate for policies that have harmed both public health & economy.
Who are these 'lockdowners'? Certainly not those who've been asking for airborne precautions and good public health strategies throughout the pandemic. It's the people who've advocated for letting infection spread, which led to crises then requiring lockdowns.
In other words, GBD proponents...
Also, how's that building immunity in the population through infection going for you?

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with Deepti Gurdasani

Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @dgurdasani1

Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture
26 Dec
Myth debunking:
After reading more misleading takes in the media, I'm going to try to explain this again- overall, omicron causes *more* and not less severe disease than delta - even at an individual level for most people. Why? 🧵
Your risk of getting hospitalised with SARS-CoV-2 (any variant) depends on two things?
1. how likely are you to get infected?
2. what is your chance of getting hospitalised *once infected*
In simple terms, because omicron can escape immunity from past infections and vaccines, your protection against infection against omicron is vastly lower than with delta. This means risk of 1. is vastly increased- as you're less protected & also v. high background transmission.
Read 10 tweets
Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture
23 Dec
On BBC London just now challenging the 'mild' narratives. Takeaway: please stop blaming the scientific community for changing narratives in the media! That's down to media (assisted by some scientists with a track record of minimisation).
From 17:12
bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/li…
Omicron is a serious threat- it was before & it is now. As we get more information, we will be able to refine the level of threat more, but the data from yesterday doesn't at all mean that it's not a serious threat!!! If media has portrayed it that way, that's on them.
I'm actually really frustrated by the media rhetoric targeting scientists, and suggesting the public are frustrated with scientists for changing narratives and evidence. Evidence will change, but the way it's been portrayed in media does create whiplash, because it's misleading!
Read 4 tweets
Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture
23 Dec
Some brief thoughts on the concerning relativism I've seen creeping into media, and scientific rhetoric over the past 20 months or so - the idea that things are ok because they're better *relative to* a point where things got really really bad. 🧵
Many pointed to summer in the UK saying it was a success because 'freedom day' didn't translate to anything like Jan 21 or March '20. No it didn't, but >18000 people died since (many deaths may have been avoided with simple measures like mask mandates, mitigations in schools)
And of course we have 1.2 million with long COVID with children seeing a doubling in 4 months. But all this is okay, because it's not as bad as Jan, or March last year. When the pandemic hit in March, we were thoroughly unprepared.
Read 8 tweets
Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture
23 Dec
Just a quick note- if you're comparing hospitalisations currently with Jan levels and saying - 'NHS not overwhelmed because they're lower', that's not a reflection of reality. The NHS has way less slack in the system than it had in Jan. It's already overwhelmed. 🧵
We can't keep comparing with Jan peak, and going 'if it doesn't get that far, it's fine' when people can't get timely emergency care now. Not having routine care available fore millions of people for 2 years means there is a lot more burden on emergency services than there was.
Short term thinking and putting the NHS repeatedly under overwhelming pressure over the last few years has massively reduced resilience in the system. And many more people need emergency care due to lack of routine care over the past two years - not just COVID-19.
Read 7 tweets
Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture
23 Dec
Wanted to say - although the Imperial paper shows protection from hospitalisation *if infected* remains comparable between omicron and delta, the protection *from infection* is vastly reduced. This will mean overall reduction in efficacy against hosp with omicron.🧵
To explain further - vaccine efficacy against hospitalisation is two components:
- protection against infection
-protection against hospitalisation *if infected*
The Imperial study suggests that while the latter isn't affected much (70-80% protection with 2 doses, boosters) *if infected*, your protection from infection is really reduced with omicron. This means *overall* protection from hosp is lower.
Read 9 tweets
Deepti Gurdasani Profile picture
22 Dec
🧵on the Imperial study on omicron severity TL;DR:
-*intrinsic* omicron severity similar/bit lower to delta
-*observed* severity lower due to omicron more likely to re-infect
-vaccine efficacy against hosps maintained
-growth rate likely to override impact of lower severity
Before I get into the rest, I want to re-emphasise that the overall impact of omicron will be determined by growth (exponential) and severity (linear)- even with lower severity, growth in itself will cause serious impact at population level, even if severity is moderately lower.
The Imperial study is a complex piece of analysis, and I have to commend the Imperial team for dealing with important confounders in the analysis.

I want to first explain this a bit more.
Read 33 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

Like this author's thread?

Get emails when @dgurdasani1 has new unrolls!

Check out other threads from @dgurdasani1!

Read all threads by @dgurdasani1

:(