This recent COVID-19 surge has put a major strain on hospital systems

I am an ICU physician and we have felt it acutely in this area of the hospital

Indiana has somewhere around 250 ICU beds currently unoccupied in the state (out of ~2100)

How can 250 feel like zero?

A 🧵

1/
First, a word about statewide data.

Never has there been a microscope on these data like this, and the transparency is awesome.

Both @ISDH and @HHS keep track of hospital metrics regarding occupancy.

@ISDH data: bit.ly/3qLcNJh

@HHS data: bit.ly/3erSk6l

2/
We feel a major crunch in ICU beds

constantly moving people out of the ICU to accommodate transfers

currently there is always a list of people waiting to come to our facility from other places

many of which report that they are out of room

3/
And with these surges many hospitals have patients “boarding” in the emergency dept

waiting for a bed to open

getting ICU-level care in a place not designed for prolonged ICU care

This is not an ideal situation for the ICU, the emergency room, or the patient

4/
So, if there are over 250 ICU beds in Indiana, why this feeling? Why the crunch?

It is because of the way ICUs are (necessarily) designed and the way they must function

There are 2 main reasons why 250 beds in the state feels like zero

5/
First, all ICUs are not the same

In small hospitals, an ICU bed is an ICU bed

But in large hospitals, ICUs can be MEDICAL, for medical problems (like #COVID19)

Or SURGICAL, for patients who have had or need surgery

(or other, for even more specialized care)

6/
With these surges, many places have morphed surgical beds into medical beds because they must

This is one of the reasons places have cancelled elective surgeries- to have ICU bed available for all the medical disease

7/
So of the 250 “available” beds in the state, some will be needed for other things

Like surgery patients

So this whittles away the “available” beds a good bit

8/
The second thing that makes 250 ICU beds seem like zero is that hospitals do NOT like to have all their ICU beds filled

This is not a nefarious plot to control supply

9/
Most hospitals keep at least one “code bed” in case a hospitalized patient needs ICU care

We do NOT like to fill this bed unless it is ABSOLUTELY needed

It is like the (very necessary) ICU security blanket

10/
So if every hospital in Indiana has a “code bed”, this reduces the functional available beds by a good number.

There are 132 acute care hospitals

And 35 “critical access” hospitals in Indiana

Source: bit.ly/3mAdWSD

11/
Critical access hospital defined as:

Provides 24-hour care

Has less than 25 inpatient beds

Average length of stay less than 96 hours

Let’s assume half of these have ICU beds

12/
So that is 132 acute care hospitals + 17 critical access hospitals with ICUs

= 149 ICU code beds in Indiana (and this is probably an underestimate)

250-149= 100 ICU beds readily available in Indiana

13/
It does not take much COVID to fill 100 ICU beds

In Indiana if cases go to 6,500 per day, we could theoretically fill this many beds in ~2 days

Which means we are constantly moving to get patients out of ICUs to get these new patients in



14/
So we are dancing

With the virus

With ICU capacity

And having less than 2 ICU beds available per hospital is a tiny number when dealing with exponential growth of cases

You can help

Get the vaccine

fin/

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More from @gbosslet

20 Aug
mRNA injected into deltoid cells lasts about 72 hours and do not travel to distant sites in the body.

I get asked about this all of the time, so I went to find the primary science on this.

A couple of quick tweets

1/
The first paper I can find on this was in @ScienceMagazine in 1990 and showed the half-life of RNA in muscle cells to be less than 24 hours- RNA encoding the luciferase protein was injected into mouse quads and luciferase was undetectable at 60 hours. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/1690918/

2/
In 2007, a study agreed:

Luciferase-encoding mRNA injected into human ear dermis peaked transcription at 17h and was undetectable at 3 days (panel d).

They also looked for luciferase expression at distal sites in the ear and saw none (panel e).

pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17476302/

3/
Read 5 tweets
22 Jul
Earlier this summer I was adamant that school would be reasonable without masks, even for the ages for which vaccines are not available.

I have changed my tune. A quick 🧵as to why.

1/
Most data suggest that the SARS-CoV-2 virus affects kids in a generally quite benign way.

I know people get frustrated when COVID is compared to the flu, but for kids the data suggest the comparison is reasonable. And this accounts for "long COVID" and MIS-C.

2/
So when I suggest that masks should be mandatory in school for kids, I am not worried about the health of my unvaccinated 6 and 11 year olds.

I am worried about it causing widespread community transmission and overwhelming hospitals.

Again.

3/
Read 7 tweets
13 Apr
This week our manuscript on the role of in-person school on community spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Indiana was published online in Clinical Infectious Diseases.

This thread will outline our findings.

manuscript: bit.ly/3mIXvC5

1/17
This was a truly interdisciplinary effort.
@micahpollak (@iunorthwest): economics
Jeong Jang (@IUmedschool): biostats
@rebekah_roll (@IUmedschool): data gathering
Mark Sperling (@iunorthwest education): education
@deliriumkahn: analysis

I just sort of herded cats.

2/17
I’m going to target this thread to a wide audience, so my description of our work may leave some wanting more detail. The detail is in the online version and the supplement. Happy to answer any questions on the work as they come up.

3/17
Read 17 tweets
4 Apr
Over the last about 6 years I have adopted the practice of not checking email AT ALL on vacation.

When I mention this, many scoff and say that would never work for them.

I said the same thing when I started.

Join me for a 🧵 about my journey to vacation email freedom.

1/
I have a relatively busy job as a clinician, fellowship director, and assistant dean for faculty development/affairs.

I average 70-100 emails per day.

So committing to not checking it for a week (or 2!) away is admittedly no small task.

I adopted this practice in stages.

2/
My initial state was bad- there was one vacation in which I was answering emails on my computer on the beach as my kids were frolicking in the ocean.

This was when I knew I had to make a major change. This was my low point.

3/
Read 14 tweets
3 Apr
Bread and butter pickles are disgusting.
Also why don’t they make chicken broth with 33% MORE sodium?

I feel like they are ignoring most of the market here.
And cottage cheese is complicated. Matching curd size and %milk fat gets complicated. Like I need a 2x2 grid to figure that shit out.
Read 4 tweets
6 Feb
It's tax time!!

Today I sit down and slot through a bunch of forms and discover whether or not I win or lose the tax lottery.

A 🧵about online filing and the fact that is is free for most despite the fact that no one knows this.

Includes links with how to do it for free.

1/
IN 2003, the IRS partnered with a group of companies called the "Free File Alliance", which is a group of tax software companies to help Americans file their taxes ONLINE for FREE.

freefilealliance.org

2/
They intentionally deeply buried the links for the free filing software that most everyone signed up for the NON-FREE version of the software and assumed it wasn't free.

It is supposed to be 100% free.

@propublica wrote a terrific article on this bit.ly/3jnVSIt

3/
Read 7 tweets

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