Hubspot, @stripe and JP Morgan Chase all acquired similar companies recently

Really?!

Yup - Tech and financial services are looking to buy media companies and communities

And this type of M&A is going to accelerate

Why?

In 6 letters, the answer is LTVCAC

🧵
2/ @Chase bought 2 content assets in the last 4 months

In Sept ‘21, JPM acq’d The Infatuation, a publisher with reviews & recs on restaurants in 50 cities.

They also acq’d Frank, an online portal w/ content to help students research and apply for financial aid

What?!
3/ Yes - that JPM Chase that is single handedly worth almost as much all the fintech unicorns combined is buying media assets.

Why?!

4/ Will come back to the math

First, worth noting that this idea and its implementation is not new

Folks in tech have been discussing for a while

Co-founder of @hubspot @dharmesh said it a while ago



He eventually put his $ behind this as you'll see
5/ In addition, @balajis former CTO of @coinbase and former GP @a16z has discussed

6/ @brian_armstrong ceo & co-founder of @coinbase has also said

“every tech company should go direct to their audience and become a media company”

He wrote
7/ Beyond the 2 JPM deals, here’s a list of media & audience M&A transactions

* Hubspot acq’d The Hustle - rumored valuation of $27M and price/revenue valuation multiple of 2.25x-2.7x

* Penn National Gaming acq’d Barstool Sports - $450M valuation and multiple of 4.5-5.0x
8/ There’s also

* Robinhood acquired MarketSnacks
* Stripe bought IndieHackers (and also owns/operates Stripe Press
* DraftKings bought VSiN
* Zapier bought Makerpad
* DigitalOcean acquired Scotch(dot)io
9/ So why acquire media cos?

Easy answers:

* go direct to its audience/remove gatekeepers.
* build ongoing relationship w/ audience aka “owning” vs “renting”

Certainly true & important but not the primary reason for tech & fin services

The real answer is LTV/CAC arbitrage
10/ First, some definitions for those unfamiliar

LTV refers to lifetime value of a customer

And CAC refers to customer acquisition cost

The sweetspot is high LTV products and low CACs
11/ If you’re selling SaaS, fantasy sports/gambling, or fin svcs products, you have:

High LTVs

But acquiring customers is also intensely competitive

So you also have

High CAC
12/ What about media companies?

They make $ through non-recurring advertising, events, educational courses, brand partnerships, native advertising (sponsored content), or e-commerce

Hence

Low LTVs

At same time, they’re good at acquiring audience, so

Low CAC
13/ So the big simple opportunity is the arbitrage that exists on both sides

Let’s use JPM Chase’s acquisition of The Infatuation as a high-level case study

The principles are the same for Hubspot, Draftkings, Robinhood, etc.
14/ What’s the CAC of a JPM credit card?

Between $200-$1000 for affluent, high spending cardholders

Once acquired, they also need to get that customer to use the card

Else they’ll churn

So JPM wants them spending more cuz that is more lucrative today and also increases LTV
15/ So how does The Infatuation lower CAC/increase LTV?

* Gives cardholders access to food festivals, invite-only events, exclusive content
* 1.5-2M visits/mo who care abt key spend category

Result: attract new cardmembers, build brand affinity & retain existing existing CMs
16/ It’s a killer 1-2 punch that

Lowers CAC AND

Increases LTV
17/ The playbook works - whether in SaaS, financial services, online gambling, etc

If you look at what @hubspot has done with @theSamParr and @TheHustle and the MFM podcast (also with @ShaanVP), you see them getting rid of ads and making them all ‘house ads’ for Hubspot

Smart
18/ There's a ton of niche media / community companies being built

If you’re in corp dev, you should be scouting this world

If you enjoyed nerding out to this, a more detailed view along w/ some predictions on who Airbnb, Citi, eBay should acquire >>
cbinsights.com/research/media…
19/ In financial services, the growth imperative is more acute than ever

While the old guard has seen their market caps stagnate, new entrants have been on 🔥🔥

We break down the "Gradually, Then Suddenly" disruption of financial services here >>

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More from @asanwal

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A couple of years ago, I got religion on them

Here are 8 reference call questions that get past BS and really help understand a candidate

🧵
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Bad move

They're an opportunity to learn more about a teammate and how to make them successful

Or sometimes, they might change you mind and save you both lots of future grief
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Want your startup to end 2022 weaker than when you started?

Follow these tips

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1 of them is an epic jerk
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Don't worry

He'll get better. And he's just that important. Keep him.

Plus, your other teammates don't have other options in this job market
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These people will ensure your startup is successful
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CEOs always see lots of headwinds

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Gotta manage those expectations!!! Image
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We're seeing a dramatic changing of the guard in financial services

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Here's why
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$2.3B invested in them since 2019

But there is not a ton written about them

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They discuss

1. What's changed that makes B2B marketplaces possible today
2. The qualities of successful B2B marketplaces
3. B2B marketplace models esp for high-friction goods

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Examples are more consumer but the principles likely hold for B2B

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You can now brief our analysts

100% free

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We don't do briefings w/ PR firms
3/ Marketing, product, sales, or founders should lead or be involved in briefings (stage-dependent)

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Read 18 tweets

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