What does it actually take to keep people happy? How can we do it at minimum ecological cost? What would those lives be like, and would we be happy living them if they were our lives?
I did all of this with the feeling that I could be a climate refugee, that I could wind up living in the systems I had designed - either in this lifetime or in another.
And this, I think, is where I differ so sharply in my perspective from the United Nations etc.
I'm am *them*.
I've assembled a pretty comprehensive set of tools and systems that would let teams of smart people successfully provision the goods and services for tens - then hundreds - of millions of people.
It's mostly well-established tech: stainless steel, solar. Some R&D: new hexayurts.
But the point was not to lay out a solution. The point was to establish *a science of keeping people alive* and show that we could be methodical and structural in our humanitarian analysis, if we were brave enough.
Figure out why people are dying. How much will it cost to help?
To survive, we have to replace the imagined future apocalypse with something else, and then move towards that.
It has to replace our default pattern, which seems to be to bring the world to Apocalypse.
We have to end linear time. No more "and then the game stops" cultural maps.
This sense, that time runs *until the End of Days* and then stops?
It's simply an error but its one which is baked into the European Christian base map. That culture is dominated by apocalyptic mythology. You wonder why they were first to nuclear weapons? Biblical archetypes.
To fix the world you'd have to pull out that base map.
"The game goes on indefinitely and we leave the board in good condition for future players" has to replace any notion of an apocalyptic end.
Could such a shift in base map happen? Of course it could: history shows us that.
I'm running a company to save lives. Not directly, I'm not making HIV vaccines. I'm running a company to make money, and then I'm going to spend that money saving lives.
Maybe some of our technology will help but that's very much a bonus: goal is vast world-transforming wealth.
We're talking "man who fell to earth" levels of wealth. I figure there are going to be hundreds of millions of climate refugees, and the UN etc. will be totally disorganised and shambolic, as they are now.
And this is kind of my problem. I was yelling about the need for masks and research into mask effectiveness in pandemics >10 years ago
20 years into the work on climate refugees. 20 years of “we have to prepare to save the lives of hundreds of millions, homes destroyed by floods
When these things arrive, the “optimists” say “my god who could have predicted this unprecedented event” because *their optimism is rooted in avoiding the data about obvious possible risks*.
Add survivor biases, and we have a risk blind incredibly rich pundit class misleading us
I've been thinking really hard about people's inability to stare at the darkness of the world and the fate of the poor, without blinking.
It all seems pretty obvious to me: the central fact of human existence is that 5 or 10 million people starve to death each year. The core.
Everything that we do is set against the background.
Everything that we do is set against the constant drum beat of other humans starving to death. Maybe one every ten seconds. I hear that clock. That clock is with me. I wake up with it, I fall asleep with it. Brain won't block.
My brain won't block it because I trained my brain not to: I am "enlightened" - a human that has punched through its own programming. Freedom, certainly, but also awareness - and in that awareness one has a few choices.
God, I'm tired of trying to persuade people not to destroy their world, and to take care of the victims of prior attempts to destroy it.
People want to stay asleep at the wheel, in their comfy little ruts, even though they are two wheels off the cliff already.
It's Panic Time!
What does it take to move people's attention off their wallets or petty political rivalries on to the core question of the day: how do we regulate technology so that it doesn't destroy all of our lives?
That's the core issue: global warming, mass surveillance, combat robots.
I ploughed this territory 10 years ago, and published Mother of Hydrogen, an SF novel about how the human race survives nanotech and biotech wars, and manages a rogue AI problem.
Bull and bear markets mean something different at a two trillion dollar market cap.
You've gotta understand we're turning an enormous ship here. A bull/bear event *now shifts the destiny of nations* not just your college/house/retirement fund. It's a dramatic world-shifting tide
What does that mean?
Well, we still don't have fundamentals - it's almost impossible to evaluate what bitcoin *should* be worth. Everybody's evaluating it based on what it will be worth in future.
That paradox is the most dangerous thing in crypto. We *desperately* need utility
I *started* @mattereum to solve the utility problem, by the way: you wanna buy houses, cars, gold, vacations, wine, art, you name it *in a crypto-native way* we do that
Not "turn your BTC into dollars on the fly". I mean we sell physical stuff *as a cryptographic rights bundle*