Ah we do everything again, and again, and again.

This from 1948.

"It's not as bad a whopping cough, stop freaking out"
Worry about a risk is normal .

Panic myth is a myth.

Humans repeat the same things again and again.

No, we cannot stop without training.

(And there may be some things like optimism bias/denial we can never quite get over.)
This was about psych

I leave to your homework to determine:
1. rate of polio, and outcomes;
2. compare/contrast with that of COVID-19.

Are they similar? Dissimilar? Do we know enough about COVID-19? Long-term/developmental? When will we see these things?
as for "again and again" here is a search with the many refs to items that we keep "rediscovering"

twitter.com/search?q=again…
Like #COVIDisAirborne.

Well, #MeaslesisAirborne. But people forget, measles was droplet first. The case studies proved it was airborne. Took about 1912->1980 or so.

Maybe history _does_ have something to teach us.
After all that I forgot the link.

archive.macleans.ca/article/1948/8…
Bunch of good articles about elite panic here

Excellent thread on panicking of the elites, which does actually happen. Being discussed in the comments but who can ever find anything there ...

Black plague stories. [Ed. Because that's what we all want during COVID!]

Elites fled in panic. Commoners just calmly dug their own graves.

Interesting thought. Apparently when asked to imagine a mundane situation we will embellish the heck out of it. Just the way we imagine the future. Just the way we are wired

That's probably why we imagine that people will panic even though if we studied them we'd know they don't

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More from @jmcrookston

29 Dec
Sometimes hard to find frank info. Here is presentation Dec 3 by CMOH et al to Ontario doctors.

Interesting pts:

CMOH agreeing w/previous presenter who said have _no_ info on disease severity at Dec 3

First presenter's chart. His discussion at
17 deaths in Canada less than 19 years old.

Discussion of increasing ped ICU and tabletopping for increase in kid hospitalization, knowing it will hit kids harder.

Moving teens to adult ICU.

Read 6 tweets
29 Dec
ASK YOUR BOSS IF ISOLATION IS RIGHT FOR YOU
FINALLY WE HAVE GOOD SCI-COMMS
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec
CANADA:

Successfully shoved infection down to the kids. White and off-white curve at bottom of graph below. You can see it's higher now than every before, and we're still in the "gathering info" period (grey box at right).

health-infobase.canada.ca/covid-19/epide…
Easier to see here
Vaccination.

You are 68% less likely to die from COVID. Whee.

That said, it's fair to note the deaths do come predominantly from the over 50/over 60.

Mild. /s
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec
Quick post Ontario ICU status by vaccination
All testing overwhelmed, as @Billius27 said numbers completely unreliable, etc. No more testing really. Contact tracing to just the high risk situations.

All completely foreseeable, incompetent, and negligent as response to an emergency.

cp24.com/news/ontario-t…
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec
Find me a single purely health-based recommendation.

Masks? no, wash hands
Dangerous, take care? No. Mild.
Long term effects? Mild, altho have no clue
Airborne? no, then better masks? no.
Reduce contacts? When economy failing
School? For economics
Vaccination? maybe this one?
So literally, public health leadership in this has boiled down to "when there is a vaccine, get it" ... ?

Good to know.

Perhaps we can just make a sign instead of having these idiots on TV?
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec
If we had a vaccine for Ebola (kills 80% say) would you think a resulting infection would be:
Forgot "don't know", you can just put that one in the comments or something.
I actually never looked for any information about a vaccine. If there is a vaccine and we know the result, go on post. I rather suspect trends #2.

I'm not worried about spoiling what is clearly not a scientific poll because I didn't get ethics approval for this poll anyway.
Read 5 tweets

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