Josh Larky Profile picture
Dec 29, 2021 68 tweets 27 min read Read on X
The BIG Week 16 thread is HERE

1-2 observations for EVERY team

Advanced stats and actionable info

A few players' usage even surprised me 🤫

All advice geared toward winning your fantasy championship in Week 17 🔥

Let's begin with the Cardinals ⬇️⬇️⬇️
James Conner OUT Week 16, already a game-time decision Week 17

Even if Conner plays, start Edmonds in your FF championship

Week 16
Edmonds - 59 snaps, 16-56-1 rushing, 19 routes, 9 tgt, 8-71 receiving, 26.7 PPR
Jonathan Ward - 9 snaps, 1 carry, 3 routes, 0 tgt

Bell. Cow.

Also
ARI projected to lose on the road against DAL, so great game script for Edmonds to handle more touches than Conner.

Other ARI notes

Zach Ertz led all ARI players in Week 16 routes and targets

Kirk had 3x the targets and 7x the receptions of AJ Green in Week 16

On to ATL ⬇️⬇️
Pitts/Gage have low floor Week 17 at BUF (weather game + strong D)

Mentioned a few weeks back Cordarrelle Patterson was becoming a "running" back, & getting less receiving work

Trend is concerning, esp. against a stout
BUF D in Week 17

CPatt's floor is LOW without receptions

Even with a Week 16 TD, CPatt only had 8.3 PPR points

Weeks 2-9: 9.4-32-0.3 rushing, 6.4 tgt, 5.1-63.7-0.7 receiving, 20.7 PPR/game

Weeks 10-16: 11.2-50.2-0.7 rushing, 3.2 tgt, 1.8-10.7-0 receiving, 12.1 PPR/game

BAL⬇️
Past 3 games, with 3 different QBs..

Mark Andrews has AT LEAST

8 receptions
115 receiving yards
1 TD

Andrews the overall TE1, first time since 2015 it hasn't been Kelce

Also, I'd stick with Hollywood Brown this week

Stats below for Hollywood ⬇️⬇️
Past 2 weeks for WRs, sorted by targets (PPR points)

Kupp - 26 tgt (56 PPR)
Hollywood - 23 tgt (23.7)
Amon-Ra - 22 tgt (49.5)
Jefferson - 22 tgt (34.3)
DJ Moore (23.3)
Kirk - 21 tgt (36.2)
Adams - 20 tgt (49.8)
Diggs - 20 tgt (35)
Meyers - 20 tgt (23.2)

Fire up Marquise Brown,
especially if Lamar Jackson returns this week

Beasley/Davis activated off Covid list, so I wouldn't start Isaiah McKenzie after his 29.4 PPR point eruption Week 16

Singletary IS viable Week 17 vs a terrible ATL run D, and is a total bell cow (seriously)

Stats below ⬇️⬇️
Week 15
Singletary - 22 carries, 34 routes
Breida - 1 snap
Moss - healthy scratch

Week 16
Singletary - 55 snaps, 12 carries, 32 routes, 6 targets, 6 red zone opportunities, 18.8 PPR
Moss - 22 snaps, 3 carries, 7 routes, 1 target, 1 RZ opportunity, 3.5 PPR

Before moving on to
CAR, if you're enjoying this thread, a RT/like helps me out greatly

I keep this thread FREE every week, and I know this type of content/article is paywalled other places

Help my engagement, and I'll help you win Week 17

Win-Win

On to CAR ⬇️⬇️
Talked last week with @DaltonGuruFF about Terrace Marshall, my fear is he's the next Bryan Edwards

Upside still there with Marshall, but I'm leaning toward dynasty SELL with him

Running routes, but not much else

Past 6 games: 87 routes, 6 targets, 1 reception

Only CAR player
I would start in Week 17 is DJ Moore, currently my WR15 in weekly projections

Past 4 weeks (averages): 10.5 targets, 5.3 rec, 72.5 yards, 13 PPR/game

Strong usage even without any TDs in this stretch

High floor option, but hasn't crested 16 PPR since Week 4

On to CHI ⬇️⬇️
A nice DFS hack is to heavily target RBs when an immobile (but semi-competent) backup QB is starting

Montgomery becomes CMC-lite when Justin Fields is not the starter

Mongtomery has two games with 9 targets this year, Week 13 and Week 16, the only 2 recent games Fields did NOT
start.

You're playing him no matter what in Week 17, but his PPR upside is definitely higher if Fields is the backup again (unlikely)

Mooney a flex and Kmet a TE streamer this week

Week 16
Mooney - 34 routes, 9 tgt, 5-57 (79 air)
Kmet - 31 routes, 5 tgt, 4-49 (35 air)

CIN🔥⬇️
The power of stacking in action 💰

Burrow - 525 pass yards, 4 pass TD, 38.1 PPR
Mixon - 18-65-1 rushing, 6 tgt, 6-70-1 receiving, 31.5 PPR
Higgins - 13 tgt, 12-194-2, 43.4 PPR
Chase - 10 tgt, 7-125-0, 19.5 PPR
Boyd - 5 tgt, 3-85-1, 17.5 PPR

Super unlucky CIN had a total
offensive dud in Week 15 before their Week 16 eruption, I'd stack Bengals in 2022 drafts, and would confidently start Burrow/Mixon/Higgins/Chase in Week 17 vs KC

Chase/Higgins both projecting as WR1 types for me this week

Uzomah a TE streamer, 15% tgt share Week 16, 6+ targets
in 3 of his past 4 games

CLE

Start Chubb, Landry a low ceiling flex. Avoid the others

Week 16

Chubb - 17 carries, 15 routes, 4 targets
D'Ernest - 4 carries, 18 routes, 2 targets

Chubb getting anything above 2 targets is a win, could continue if Hunt misses Week 17

DAL ⬇️⬇️
Amari Cooper continues to be one of the more frustrating players in fantasy

Just when his target share is slipping behind Lamb/Gallup, Week 16 happens

I'd start Dak/Zeke/Pollard/Lamb/Cooper/Schultz vs ARI Week 17

Stats below ⬇️⬇️
DAL RB Room
Zeke - 42 snaps, 9 carries, 18 routes, 1 target, 3 RZ opps
Pollard - 24 snaps, 8 carries, 10 routes, 3 targets, 3 RZ opps

DAL WR/TE
Lamb - 30 routes, 5 tgt, 4-66
Cooper - 30 rts, 11 tgt, 7-85-1
Gallup - 31 rts, 5 tgt, 2-53
Schultz - 30 rts, 9 tgt, 8-82-1

DEN ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Drew Lock in Week 16, likely Lock again Week 17

I wouldn't start any DEN WR/TE vs LAC this week

I'd rather start Javonte/Gordon over all of them, but still low ceiling/floor

Drew Lock IS a gunslinger (11 air yards per attempt Week 16), but only 22 attempts for 153 passing
yards

DEN had only 36 COMBINED passAtt + rushAtt Week 16, clearly they don't trust Lock and want their defense to do the heavy lifting

No DEN player even had more than 10 PPR in Week 16, Lock included 🥶

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Now, on to DET⬇️
Tim Boyle started this one, Amon-Ra STILL produced

Week 16
Amon-Ra: 30 routes, 11 tgt, 9-91-1 + 2-19 on the ground, 26 PPR

D'Andre Swift likely returns Week 17, likely hurts Amon-Ra's target share as Swift was Goff's security blanket, and Amon-Ra's spike weeks have aligned with
no D'Andre Swift

I'd still start Amon-Ra Week 17, but wouldn't expect double digit targets again if Swift is active

The (usually paywalled) Week 17 projections
Swift - 9-38-0.3 rushing, 8 tgt, 6-47-0.2 receiving, 17.2 PPR
Amon-Ra 9.6 tgt, 6-56-0.3 receiving, 13.4 PPR

On to GB
I'd still start AJ Dillon Week 17

Week 16 was a close timeshare with underlying usage

Jones more work, Dillon more RZ work

Jones - 33 snaps, 12 carries, 14 routes, 6 targets, 1 RZ opportunity, 13.7 PPR
Dillon - 25 snaps, 9 carries, 9 routes, 3 targets, 4 RZ opportunities

Also
MVS is off the Covid list

I'd consider him a flex vs the dreadful MIN secondary

MVS quietly has a 17% target share this year, and 7+ targets in 3 of his last 4 games (target spike lines up with Randall Cobb OUT from surgery)

HOU ⬇️⬇️
Okay, hear me out

I might start Rex Burkhead in Week 17 if David Johnson (Covid) is inactive again

HOU RB Room Week 16 vs LAC
Burkhead - 40 snaps, 22-149-2 rushing, 9 routes, 2 tgt, 5 RZ opps
Freeman - 20 snaps, 12-34 rushing, 6 routes, 0 tgt, 2 RZ opps

HOU offense is putting
up 28 points per game since Mills became the starter again

SF a strong run D and bad pass D, but Burkhead has "some" floor from volume so if you're in a pinch, he's okay in your RB2 slot

Brandin Cooks the only HOU player I'd start in all formats for Week 17

IND ⬇️⬇️
TE streamer ALERT

Jack Doyle left Week 16 after 6 snaps & 2 routes run

Mo Alie-Cox came in and was an every down TE, running 23 routes (Pittman ran 30 routes for context)

Raiders are a top-5 matchup to target for TEs, Alie-Cox had 4 targets and went 2-42 in Week 16

Also, I'd
confidently start Pittman Week 17 (if Wentz plays)

8+ targets 3 of the past 4 weeks, and his only dud in that span was vs NE when he was covered by JC Jackson and Wentz only attempted 12 passes all game

However, Wentz unvaccinated so strong chance he misses

If so, I'd sit
every IND player not named Jonathan Taylor.

Even JT needs tempered expectations Week 17

Maybe without Wentz, definitely a majority of the OLine is backups

I'd pick up the Raiders DST in case Sam Ehlinger gets his 1st career start on Sunday

JAX ⬇️⬇️
1 TD pass for Lawrence the past 8 (!) weeks

Don't start any JAX WRs in your championship matchup

However, do start Dare Ogunbowale with James Robinson OUT (achilles) and Hyde OUT (concussion)

Patriots shut down rookie QBs and struggling QBs (Lawrence is both), but we can
chase Ogunbowale's volume for Week 17

Week 16
Ogunbowale: 17-57-1 rushing, 29 routes, 4 tgt, 2-15 receiving, 15.2 PPR
Other JAX RBs: 1 snap, 1 carry

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Now, on to KC

CEH injured in Week 16, OUT Week 17

Start Darrel Williams as an RB1 type

In 5 starts this year, Darrel is averaging:
13.8 carries, 5.4 targets, 94 total yards, 0.6 TDs, and 17.8 PPR per game

LAC ⬇️
Ekeler off Covid list for Week 17, Mike Williams has a chance to return, Guyton activated from Covid list today

I'm only starting Ekeler/Allen/Williams vs DEN

Unclear Josh Palmer's role with Guyton back

Also, Justin Jackson is exactly why we chase RB targets in PPR formats

In
Week 16...

Justin Jackson - 11-64-2 rushing, 20 routes, 9 tgt, 8-98 receiving, 34.2 PPR

Even with 2 rushing TDs, Jackson had only 1 fewer PPR point from receiving than he did from rushing

On to LAR ⬇️⬇️
Stafford played poorly against a weak MIN secondary, but Cooper Kupp and OBJ still delivered fantasy points

Darrell Henderson on IR, Akers the expected backup for this game

Still expect Sony Michel to be the workhorse in Week 17 vs BAL

BAL has a strong run D and the WORST
pass D in the league right now

Weather won't be great in Baltimore, but I've seen wind projections UNDER 15 mph, so passing shouldn't be affected much

Stafford a STRONG start in Week 17, so are Kupp/OBJ & Van Jefferson a flex play
Michel a volume-based low-end RB1 type

Michel
handled 27 of 29 RB carries Week 16, had 6 of the 7 RZ touches for LAR RBs, and ran all 25 RB routes

Akers could be the lead back in the playoffs, but Michel is the workhorse for Week 17

Raiders ⬇️⬇️
Foster Moreau a good start vs IND who allow the 3rd most points to TEs this year

Also, Renfrow should feast vs their zone pass defense

Jacobs once again a total bell cow in Week 17

Zay Jones an absolute desperation flex with 7+ targets 4 of his last 5 games

MIA ⬇️⬇️
Had a Jaylen Waddle tweet go viral yesterday, that was cool, linked below

Week 17 they face TEN, a strong run D and a bad pass D

Start Waddle/Parker/Gesicki

Do not start any MIA RB in Week 17, see next tweet for Week 16 usage 🤮
Week 16 MIA RBs

Gaskin - 18 snaps, 3-10 rushing, 12 routes, 3 tgt, 1-6 receiving
Duke Johnson - 18 snaps, 13-39 rushing, 1 route
Phillip Lindsay - 20 snaps, 13-36 rushing, 5 routes

All-time gross 3-way RB committee, avoid all 3 in Week 17

MIN ⬇️⬇️
Dalvin Cook off Covid list, here's my Week 17 projection for Cook vs GB
Dalvin: 20-86-0.6 rushing, 5 tgt, 3.8-32 receiving, 19.5 PPR

Thielen OUT, here's my KJ Osborn Week 17 projection
Osborn: 6.5 tgt, 3.9-46-0.24 receiving, 9.9 PPR

Osborn had a 21% tgt share Week 16, btw
Jaire Alexander returns for GB, excited to see him defend Justin Jefferson

Low floor for Jefferson in this one, but still the sky-high ceiling with no Thielen

I anticipate a run-heavy game plan vs GB in neutral game scripts

NE ⬇️⬇️
Hunter Henry a fine TE start despite only 1 catch in Week 16, Jonnu should not be on your roster, even in dynasty

Week 16
Henry - 51 snaps, 28 routes, 6 targets
Jonnu - 23 snaps, 7 routes, 0 targets

Rhamondre off Covid list, I expect a high floor RB committee vs JAX

Saints⬇️⬇️
Ian Book was impressively bad in Week 16, Taysom/Siemian both activated off Covid list, I expect Taysom to start Week 17

Marquez Callaway actually had decent usage with Book
Callaway - 27.8% target share, 40.5% air yards share

Low volume pass attack and CAR strong against
the pass, I'd still only start Taysom/Kamara in Week 17

The Giants offense is embarrassing and doesn't deserve a tweet.

With Sterling Shepard OUT, Golladay/Toney had strong usage, and CHI's secondary is decimated, but I'd still only start them if desperate

Stats below ⬇️⬇️
Week 16

Golladay - 33 routes, 8 tgt (19.5% share), 3-22 (97 air)
Toney - 26 routes, 9 tgt (22%), 4-28 (33 air)
Slayton - 35 routes, 5 tgt (12%), 1-7 (53 air)

Going to pat myself on the back for saying Devontae Booker was a fine desperation RB2 for Week 16

NYG RB stats below ⬇️
Week 16

Saquon - 26 snaps, 15 carries, 8 routes, 1 target, 3.8 PPR
Booker - 37 snaps, 6 carries, 9 routes, 4 targets, 8.6 PPR

Saquon DNP today (ankle), and if you have other strong RB options, I'd consider sitting him Week 17

NYJ ⬇️⬇️
Crowder missed Week 16, likely OUT in Week 17

Berrios a low ceiling flex play

Week 16
Berrios - 30% tgt share, 5-37 receiving
Kroft - 25% tgt share, 3-29 receiving

Kroft a desperation TE option if Covid hits later this week

Carter/Coleman split RB work, but Carter was far
more efficient

Week 16
Carter: 43 snaps, 16-118 rushing, 10 routes, 3 tgt, 5 RZ opps, 14.4 PPR
Coleman: 20 snaps, 14-57 rushing, 4 routs, 1 tgt, 6 RZ opps, 7.1 PPR

Facing TB Week 17, I expect Carter to be heavily targeted

Have him projected for 10 carries and 6 targets

PHI ⬇️
Sanders broken hand, if Jordan Howard is healthy Week 17, he's a fine start vs WAS

If Howard misses, I'd start Boston Scott

Hurts had a season low 2 carries for 7 yards (prior season lows were 7 carries and 30 rush yards)

Devonta Smith benefitted from this, as he had his
best game since Week 10

Week 16
Smith - 25 routes, 7 tgt, 5-80-1 (91 air)
Quez - 23 routes, 3 tgt, 3-43 (43 air)
Reagor - 16 routes, 4 tgt, 2-15 (25 air)
Goedert - 14 routes, 4 tgt, 2-28 (7 air)

Not sure what was behind the Goedert usage drop, but I'd still start him vs WAS in
Week 17

Goedert's prior 2 games were both over 20 fantasy points

And, there was the highly public missed end zone pass to a wide open Goedert in Week 16 (linked)



On to PIT ⬇️⬇️
Ray-Ray McCloud has more targets (19) than Claypool (17) the past 3 games

Yet, McCloud has turned that into 11-57 receiving, while Claypool is at 12-146 receiving in that 3-game span

For a team technically in the playoff hunt, what are they doing...

Najee Harris also the
only RB who sees any touches when the game is close, don't worry about Benny Snell getting 5 carries and 1 target in Week 16

All his touches came in garbage time vs KC

SEA ⬇️⬇️
Monitor weather reports this late in the season

Heavy snow in SEA Week 16, and Rashaad Penny had another strong game

Week 16
Penny - 28 snaps, 17-135-1 rushing, 10 routes, 1 tgt
DeeJay Dallas - 22 snaps, 4-15 rushing, 15 routes, 4 tgt, 4-23 receiving

Penny has 135+ rushing
yards in his 2 healthy games this year

He gets DET Week 17, and is a strong start in the championship

SF

Jimmy G unlikely to play in Week 17, Trey Lance a very strong start vs HOU (16 !! carries in his only start Week 5)

While Lance is a great fantasy asset in his own right,
he likely hurts the SF pass-catchers

Deebo the safest option, who had 5 carries and 11 targets in Week 16 (Kittle 3 tgt, Aiyuk 5 tgt)

However, Aiyuk/Kittle don't have the floor with the carries like Deebo

In Lance's only start (Week 5 vs ARI), he had more carries (16) than
completed passes (15)

Kittle missed Week 5, but Deebo had 9 targets (31% share) and had 3-58 receiving

Aiyuk had 4 targets and went 2-32 receiving

I'd start Deebo/Kittle no matter what, but I'm sitting Aiyuk this week

HOU pass D has been surprisingly decent all season

TB ⬇️
Antonio Brown hadn't played since Week 6

Week 16
AB - 15 tgt (51.7% tgt share), 10-101 receiving

AB is a MUST START for Week 17 vs NYJ

I expect a Gronk rebound (NYJ 8th best matchup for TEs)

Ronald Jones also a MUST START vs the Jets (best team for PPR allowed to RBs)

TEN ⬇️
AJ Brown domination in Week 16

AJB - 29 routes, 16 tgt, 11-145-1 (202 air yards)
Julio - 23 routes, 1 tgt, 1-7 (4 air)
Westbrook - 15 routes, 3 tgt, 2-38 (34 air)
Rogers - 19 routes, 1 tgt, 1-3 (-2 air)
McMath - 5 routes, 1 tgt

53% tgt share, 80% air yards share for AJB 🤯

Now
before ending with WAS, last reminder to please RT/like this thread if you find it helpful each week

The engagement allows me to keep this type of content that's usually paywalled at other sites FREE for you on Twitter

On to WAS ⬇️⬇️
Terry McLaurin has only 1 game over 59 receiving yards since Week 8

In this span, he's had 12+ PPR points 1 of 8 games

I'm sitting him in the fantasy championship

However, I am starting Antonio Gibson vs PHI (bottom third run D according to @fboutsiders)

Vs DAL in Week 16 the
game quickly got out of hand (42-7 at halftime), so Gibson only played 21 of 56 snaps

However, his usage did not suggest the toe hindered him, as he was heavily utilized when on the field

Gibson - 21 snaps, 6 carries, 10 routes, 4 targets
That's 10 carries + targets on only 21
snaps, which means Gibson was featured on roughly half his snaps

Still no McKissic and I expect WAS to hang around better against PHI

I'm anticipating 15-20 touches for Gibson, who has had 4+ targets in 4 of his past 5 games, along with 14 RZ carries in that 5-game span

Gnite

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More from @jlarkytweets

May 23
Projecting Win-Loss Records for Every NFL Team

This post contains (in order)

1. Projected NFL Standings
2. Team Tiers and Quick Write-Ups for all 32 Teams
3. Strength of Schedule Analysis
4. Win Probabilities for each Team in all 272 Games

📌 Tip: Bookmark this post for when you have the time to dive in. I reveal my entire process in this thread (seriously).
1. Projected NFL Standings

For those that want the quick and dirty answer, this is for you.

However, I believe it's much more important to understand *how* I arrived at these win-loss numbers (keep reading)Image
2. Team Tiers and Quick Write-Ups for all 32 Teams

To estimate the outcome of each NFL game, it's important to understand how good each NFL team is, before factoring in their schedule.

In the next tweet, you can read my thoughts on every team, but first, a quick overview of my 7 team tiers.

Tier 1: Super Bowl Favorites
KC, SF, BAL

Tier 2: Legitimate Contenders
HOU, NYJ, DET, PHI, DAL, GB, CIN

Tier 3: Fringe Contenders
BUF, ATL, CHI, MIA

Tier 4: Playoff Hopefuls
JAX, IND, TB, CLE, LAC, LAR, PIT, SEA

Tier 5: Won't Make the Playoffs
ARI, MIN, WAS, NO

Tier 6: Frisky But Bad
TEN, NYG, LV

Tier 7: Still Years Away From Contending
CAR, NE, DEN
Read 14 tweets
Jul 28, 2023
You should be drafting WRs early in fantasy football IF they have top-12 upside

There are 3 (!!!) WRs going in the first 5 rounds of fantasy drafts who do NOT have top-12 upside

⬇️ Let's quickly dive into the research I did, and which 3 WRs you should be fading ⬇️
The past 10 years of top-12 fantasy WRs (120 WRs total, min. 12 games played)

119 of the 120 had this in common...

They were on teams that were above average (top-16) in the NFL in AT LEAST 1 of these 3 categories

1. Pass Attempts
2. Passing Yards
3. Passing TDs

⬇️ cont. ⬇️
The only WR who wasn't?

2015 Sammy Watkins on the Buffalo Bills

Watkins played 13 games and caught 60 passes for 1,047 yards and 9 TDs

His 17.5 yards per reception on a 62.5% catch rate is efficiency only 5 other WR seasons over the past 10 years can match

⬇️ cont. ⬇️
Read 14 tweets
Apr 28, 2022
🚨 NFL Draft Primer (Thread) 🚨

Want to get caught up on the most fantasy relevant players in the 2022 NFL Draft in UNDER 5 minutes??

Order will be QB, RB, WR, then TE

Here. We. Go. ⬇️⬇️⬇️
Malik Willis (QB) - Fast/elusive (cross between Lamar/Hurts as a rusher) + huge arm. Lots of INTs + sacks taken at Liberty. Project QB that's an upside play. Most likely QB1 off the board

⬇️⬇️
Kenny Pickett (QB) - Floor play. Put it all together in Year 5 with a 42-7 TD-INT ratio and over 4,300 passing yards. Played at Pitt in ACC, has tiny hands (lots of fumbles). Not super mobile, but decent arm strength. He's a "safe" option and will go round 1

⬇️⬇️
Read 25 tweets
Apr 27, 2022
Did you know @PrizePicks has NFL Futures ??!!

THREAD TIME 🧵🔥

I'll go through every parlay that I put $50 onto and WHY

If you want, you can make the EXACT same parlays right NOW

Promo code FTN gets new users a 100% deposit match up to $100 🤑

Let's dive in ⬇️⬇️
Simple, fade aging RBs

Dalvin Cook has played 5 seasons and only has 1 (!) season above 1159 rushing yards (the line is 1300.5 yards)

Derrick Henry will be over 28.5 years old when the 2022 season starts and has a metal plate in his foot
Correlated QB-WR OVER/UNDERS

Kyler has been UNDER 4,000 passing yards all 3 seasons

Hopkins turns 30 this summer and is on the decline

Burrow was at 4,611 yards in 2021 but the team eased into the pass game due to his 2020 ACL injury

Chase just had 1,455 yards as a rookie
Read 6 tweets
Apr 27, 2022
Pre-Draft Dynasty Ranks (THREAD)

You're welcome, this should be paywalled and contains highly proprietary info

QB:

1. Malik Willis
2. Desmond Ridder
3. Matt Corral
4. Kenny Pickett
5. Sam Howell

WR is next...
WR:

1. Garrett Wilson
2. Drake London
3. Jameson Williams
4. Treylon Burks
5. Chris Olave
6. Skyy Moore
7. George Pickens
8. Jahan Dotson
9. Christian Watson
10. John Metchie
11. Jalen Tolbert
12. cont. ⬇️⬇️
haha gotcha

WRs 12-19, RBs 1-17, and TEs 1-7 are actually, in fact, paywalled

You can sign up for @FTNFantasy and then view them here: ftnfantasy.com/nfl/rankings

(My best ball rankings are housed here, as well)

Have a great night, everyone!
Read 4 tweets
Jan 13, 2022
A big WILD CARD WEEKEND thread

Going over all 6 matchups

A few key notes for each team to help you in DFS

Thread is in order of games played
LV at CIN
NE at BUF
PHI at TB
SF at DAL
PIT at KC
ARI at LAR

Let's get started 🔥🔥

⬇️⬇️⬇️
LV at CIN, 48.5 over/under, -5.5
Implied points: LV 21.5, CIN 27

My favorite way to play this game is Burrow double stacks with a mix of Mixon/Chase/Higgins as the preferred stacking options

Boyd's target depth isn't conducive to DFS. If Boyd has a good game and posts 8-80-1,
decent chance Burrow is NOT the QB that's helping you take down a tournament.

For showdown, Boyd is fine. But on the 6-game slates, I plan to be below the field on Boyd exposure.

Mixon's past 2 games he's averaged 26.5 routes and a 17% target share (7 tgt/game)

Zay Jones is
Read 55 tweets

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