Latest CH deaths data has nudged up, but not to an extent that contradicts the recent downward trend.
As usual we don't know vax status of these deaths, although in general CH residents have seen very high take-up. Neither do we know whether COVID was the primary cause.
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As usual we don't know vax status of these deaths, although in general CH residents have seen very high take-up. Neither do we know whether COVID was the primary cause.
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More generally Over 70 deaths (to 17th Dec) shows a continued but slow decline. With this population mostly boosted some weeks ago now, we wouldn't expect further sharp falls from a "booster effect", with community prevalence of the virus being the main influence now.
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The rapid rise of Omicron is unlikely to be influencing either graph yet to any meaningful effect, particularly as the initial surge has predominately been in younger age groups.
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As usual, (and as he's done continuously since March 2020), here's @ActuaryByDay's flash summary of the overall death count position, with an excess this week of 15%, higher than the previous 3 weeks, despite COVID deaths being a little lower.
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https://twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1476489283611635714
An age-standardised view is better, and tends to show the excess around 6-7% lower than using a simple death count.
CMI's next update on this basis is due on Jan 5th, but here's the picture over the last three months.
5/5
CMI's next update on this basis is due on Jan 5th, but here's the picture over the last three months.
5/5
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