After faking my way into becoming an "economy guy" and specifically an "austerity sucks/money's made up" polemicist late last year, I continued mining that vein through 2021.
Really 2020, but published that New Years Eve: I profiled the @moneyontheleft gang trying to build MMT into more than a theory of why deficits don't matter newrepublic.com/article/160738…
In the wake of the AMC binge and Robinhood trading freeze, I explained why Vlad Tenev's demand for T+0 trade resolution was CYA businessinsider.com/robinhood-ceo-…
I took a look at the premier tight money influence outfit in D.C., the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, and asked why their history of badly blown calls around the deficit hasn't dampened their political influence newrepublic.com/article/161549…
I took on the spectre of "bond vigilantes" used to spook moderates out of big spending, explained why the old stories don't apply in the era of negative real rates and climate disaster (if they ever did), and argued for deficit financing the whole BBB businessinsider.com/biden-reshape-…
I pointed to an obscure but surprisingly controversial CARES Act provision, the Fed's Municipal Liquidity Facility, as a model to direct huge amounts of capital to the states and localities that will actually build out green infrastructure nytimes.com/2021/07/16/opi…
In an inaugural newsletter essay, I examined how the political economy and geography of housing in New York City explained both the insurgent left's success in legislative races and its floundering in the mayoral primary alex-yablon.ghost.io/renters-owners…
I did my own spin on the Svenonius piss-take about the pre-08 housing bubble and the availability of band practice space, arguing that in the era of negative real rates, cities should aggressively finance not just "hard" but cultural infrastructure as well alex-yablon.ghost.io/negative-yield…
I actually read the memoir of late private equity billionaire and Georgetown fixture Pete Peterson, who bankrolled his own collection of pro-austerity think tanks and just about everyone else in DC, too businessinsider.com/pete-peterson-…
Why are the titans of finance so insistent on returning to full-time in person offices? Because work from home threatens not their business, but their personal stature and mystique.
I proposed a deal to get around the CBO-induced sticker shock around BBB by leaning heavily on green lending facilities and other kinds of leveraged public financing. slate.com/news-and-polit…
Drawing on new research from @jainfamilyinst, I explained why Joe Manchin and mainstream economist's objections to free money for families rest on faulty just-so stories businessinsider.com/bigger-child-t…
@jainfamilyinst As inflation scares forced the Fed to do, well, something, I looked at the growing chorus of economists and policy experts who argue that it's a mistake to ask the central bank to solve problems with the guts of the real economy businessinsider.com/federal-reserv…
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Amidst excruciating negotiations over "paying for" infrastructure and climate legislation that falls far short of what's needed, I look at proposals to cut the Gordian Knot by having the Fed backstop muni bonds for green projects nytimes.com/2021/07/16/opi…
@nytimes That sounds a bit wonky, so I'll explain: the federal government's ability to spend dollars is unconstrained: we guarantee our own debt with the Fed's money printer. But for political reasons we are all familiar with, centrist Democrats and the GOP refuse to acknowledge this fact
But markets know this is obvious. So they buy US government debt, ESPECIALLY in a downturn when tax revenues are falling, because they know that it's guaranteed. Who cares about tax receipts? Uncle Sam has a money printer.
If I had to predict the most likely continuity between a de Blasio-Adams mayoralty, it would probably be the city's executive murdering large rodents, either by blunt trauma or by poisoning them in large buckets
Wiley and Garcia fell short in the first round because they aren't weird enough for New Yorkers
New from me: Biden wants to pay for a climate plan with taxes, not the deficit, to calm the eldritch demons of finance: bond vigilantes. This limits the scope of his package.
Bond vigilantes, so the old scary story goes, will demand higher interest rates as the government does more deficit spending, which is believed to increase the risk of default. Higher rates will eat up the budget, making deficit spending counterproductive.
Except there is no indication investors actually can or want do this to the federal government. After a years of deficit spending, inflation adjusted treasury interest rates remain negative. No one thinks the federal government will run out of dollars, because it makes dollars.
expecting it to be struck down by the originalists citing Scalia's terrible Heller decision, nevermind the fact that local bans on concealed carry are as "longstanding" (the Heller standard) any other kind of gun restriction smithsonianmag.com/history/gun-co…
That said, what would such a decision mean for violence, crime, and daily life in New York City? A lot depends on just how expansive the majority's opinion is, but it's not clear to me this would immediately translate into much higher rates of gun carrying and violence.