New from me: Biden wants to pay for a climate plan with taxes, not the deficit, to calm the eldritch demons of finance: bond vigilantes. This limits the scope of his package.
Bond vigilantes, so the old scary story goes, will demand higher interest rates as the government does more deficit spending, which is believed to increase the risk of default. Higher rates will eat up the budget, making deficit spending counterproductive.
Except there is no indication investors actually can or want do this to the federal government. After a years of deficit spending, inflation adjusted treasury interest rates remain negative. No one thinks the federal government will run out of dollars, because it makes dollars.
Local governments, however, are a different story. They can’t make dollars so they really are at the mercy of capital markets. And a growing body of research suggests markets are charging the places most at risk of climate disaster more to borrow.
So money is cheaper than free for the federal government, but growing more expensive for local governments on the frontlines of climate change.
So Biden should do the easy - and responsible - thing: use easy deficit money to pay for a climate plan that actually meets the threat.
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expecting it to be struck down by the originalists citing Scalia's terrible Heller decision, nevermind the fact that local bans on concealed carry are as "longstanding" (the Heller standard) any other kind of gun restriction smithsonianmag.com/history/gun-co…
That said, what would such a decision mean for violence, crime, and daily life in New York City? A lot depends on just how expansive the majority's opinion is, but it's not clear to me this would immediately translate into much higher rates of gun carrying and violence.
Read my story from last year on how the NRA's bylaws and senior officers' personal fealty to Wayne LaPierre made it impossible for the group to reckon with its own corruption thetrace.org/2019/07/nra-re…
As a NY nonprofit law expert told me last year, Tish James' legal strategy could be a risky one and it's not clear that even if the suit succeeds, it would truly mean the death of the organization. thetrace.org/2019/05/heres-…
a story: once in chicago's humboldt park nabe, i was walking to a friends house w some beers. i passed two teenagers with their girlfriends who made a joke about me giving them a couple. half a block later, they ran up behind me and tried to grab the beer out of my hands...
it was their bad luck that they happened to do this in front of an alley where a CPD cruiser ambled towards us. the cops saw chased the kids and caught them. afterward i told the cops i was fine, that they hadn't even managed to get the beer out of my hand.
two months later i showed up cook county juvenile court for the kid's court appearance. the prosecutor went over the police report. the cops lied about almost every detail of the encounter.
In a new piece @VickyPJWard reports that New York Magazine was going to run a profile on Epstein by Michael Wolff that was killed out of fact checking concerns. Fun fact: I was the checker who killed it! One of my weirdest fact-checking experiences. thedailybeast.com/jeffrey-epstei…
Wolff let Epstein dictate the the piece. He made some agreement that all fact questions would go through Epstein and only Epstein. In the piece, Wolff reported various powerful men still hung out with Epstein - but gave me no proof. I was not allowed to call them for comment.
Not surprisingly, NY Mag's lawyers weren't thrilled about a story that alleged various rich and potentially litigious men socialized with a sexual predator without any proof or calling them for comment. As I recall the editor wasn't even aware Wolff had made this agreement.
SCOOP from me: the NRA's lawyer in its case against its insurance business partners failed to disclose a "serious" ethics violation thetrace.org/2018/08/nra-la…
William A. Brewer III is a successful corporate lawyer with practices in Dallas and New York. The @NRA hired him to take on New York regulators who cracked down on its Carry Guard self-defense insurance, and the insurance brokers who backed out of the program under pressure.
The case against the insurer, Lockton Affinity, has been filed in the US District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, where Brewer is not a member of a bar. So he had to submit a "pro hac vice" application to appear as the NRA's counsel.