Would also be useful to color the states to indicate average age of population and BMI @nytimes

Also, deaths are counted since Apr 2021 but vaccination rate is as of Dec 2021, so would be useful to shift timeframe a few months later since some states were slower to vaccinate.
@nytimes To be clear, the Covid-19 vaccines approved in the US have protective effect against severe outcomes (although still awaiting Omicron data).

As a low risk category person, I was only fully vaccinated by June 2021 (2 shots Moderna + 2 weeks after 2nd shot).
Overlaying average age and BMI (e.g., age = size of dot; BMI = color of dot), and shifting the date range later to when most people got their vaccines, would help to show the effects of the vaccines vs other factors that contribute to Covid-19 deaths.
This graphic is a bit more useful for looking at the protective effects of Covid-19 vaccines: nytimes.com/interactive/20…

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More from @Ayjchan

30 Dec 21
One common #OriginOfCovid misunderstanding is that early Covid-19 cases were linked to market stalls selling wildlife.

There's actually no data to support the claim, and the data provided by the China-@WHO joint study, whether you trust it or not, contradicts the claim.
@WHO Although some cite the China-WHO joint study report in support of the claim above, the report actually contradicts their interpretation:

Page 45: "no clear clustering with one specific part of the market was apparent as cases were widely distributed"
who.int/publications/i…
It's also important to note that even though "most cases were associated with the western side of the market", we're talking about a market the size of more than 9 NFL football fields combined.

You're saying most cases were in 4.5 football fields.
Read 18 tweets
29 Dec 21
What we know from recent papers + data deposited into NCBI by the Wuhan Institute of Virology / EcoHealth Alliance just before the pandemic is that by 2016 they were actively sampling bat viruses in Yunnan and North Laos, where the closest relatives to SARS-CoV-2 have been found.
There are 2 things we don't know.

1. What other viruses and locations were sampled between 2016-start of pandemic. Their collaborators across 7 SE Asia countries, including Laos, wouldn't tell @theintercept @fastlerner

theintercept.com/2021/12/28/cov…
Although much of this work was funded by US sources such as USAID (PREDICT) and NIH/NIAID.

EcoHealth even told NIH in 2016 that they were going to transfer pathogen samples from the wildlife trade directly from 7 SE Asia countries to Wuhan.
Read 20 tweets
28 Dec 21
I'd like to see this problem of inequitable credit and technology sharing solved.

If updated vaccines/therapeutics/diagnostics are developed, these should be sent first to places that reported the new variant(s) used in the update.

There should be a new credit sharing system.
In a pandemic when novel SARS-CoV-2 sequences can rapidly translate into updated vaccines, diagnostics & therapeutics, why don't prominent journals guarantee a "Resource" paper for the researchers who are the first to share the sequence of a new variant of interest/concern?
This way, data sharing is highly incentivized and accelerated.

Both the sequence contributors and the journal are rewarded due to hundreds or thousands of citations of the Resource paper.
Read 4 tweets
28 Dec 21
Another key piece on risks of lab-based outbreaks by @fastlerner @theintercept

"it is not at all clear that tracking down virus-infected wildlife in remote locations, to which the U.S. devotes.. substantial [$].. helped us prepare for our current crisis"
theintercept.com/2021/12/28/cov…
"Virtually every part of the work of outbreak prediction can result in an accidental infection. Even with the best of intentions, scientists can serve as vectors for the viruses they hunt — and as a result their work may put everyone else’s lives on the line along with their own"
Dennis Carroll, who designed and led Predict:
“It’s fool’s gold to think that you’re going to predict which is the next virus. But you can begin forecasting where that emergence is most likely to occur... I probably never should have named Predict ‘Predict’”
Read 12 tweets
28 Dec 21
"The number of hospitalisations related to the Omicron variant is climbing rapidly across the UK, with a jump of 67 per cent in London alone."
cityam.com/omicron-hospit…
🇨🇦 "Linda Silas, head of the Canadian Federation of Nurses Unions, said the “big bump” is usually seen two weeks after exposure to the virus, and expressed worries that holiday gatherings could lead to hospitals becoming overwhelmed with new cases."
globalnews.ca/news/8475226/c…
🇦🇺 "biggest daily surge in infections.. the authorities refrained from imposing new restrictions saying hospitalisation rates remained low"

"Sydney testing clinic.. wrongly told 400 COVID-positive people they were negative in the days before Christmas"
reuters.com/business/healt…
Read 5 tweets
28 Dec 21
Sometimes wish journalist reports would provide citations for statements made. Example:

"A new British report shows that booster doses are less effective against Omicron than previous variants, and their effectiveness wears off faster — within 10 weeks."

nytimes.com/2021/12/23/wor…
The claim comes from this technical briefing which doesn't sound that terrifying. Just a 15-25% reduction in vaccine effectiveness after 10 weeks. Yes, it's faster for Omicron than for Delta. But it's not like the boosters don't work after 10 weeks.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Bit further down in the doc (page 25), it says:

Pfizer 2 shots + Pfizer booster = ~70% vaccine effectiveness against symptoms; dropping to 45% after 10+ weeks

Pfizer 2 shots + Moderna booster = ~70-75% vaccine effectiveness even up to 9 weeks later
Read 5 tweets

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