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Kyle Lamb

@kylamb8

30 Dec 21

If a variant were milder, you should see the rate of hospitalizations decrease significantly from cases and also ICU should start to drop compared to total hospitalizations.

In Florida, tell me what you see when I put these two things together...

(1/2)

You might also see a simultaneous drop in length of stay if a variant is milder. That is to say with more incidental hospitalizations and less disease prevalence, you would see shorter hospital stays.

Here is a 28-day rolling average for LOS in Florida. See the same drop?

2/2

Data:

Cases from CDC U.S. Cases and Deaths time series

Hospital data from HHS daily reported patient impact and hospital capacity by state.

Length of Stays is estimated/imputed from sum of patient days over 28 days, divided by census at the start + new hospital admissions.

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Kyle Lamb

@kylamb8

27 Dec 21

Apparently Omicron is no longer enough of a concern in Denmark. They're reducing their daily Omicron surveillance from 7 days a week to M-W-F.

There have been 40,258 confirmed sequenced cases resulting in just 51 hospitalizations (0.13%). Fewer than 5 in ICU.

covid19.ssi.dk/virusvarianter…

I want to be transparent, so I'll add the report isn't straightforward. It's not clear if the 51 is current hospitalizations or total "from". Another page shows 210 total hospital admissions with confirmed Omicron cases testing positive within 48 hours prior to or after admission

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Kyle Lamb

@kylamb8

19 Dec 21

England has reported 23,168 confirmed Omicron cases as of 6 p.m. on Dec. 17 local time for their Dec. 18 report.

Grand total hospitalizations with a positive test, not necessarily from COVID-19? 85.

For the math impaired, that's 0.37% hospitalized.

Currently the U.S. is >7%

To clarify, the U.S. is just over 7% of typical 7-day number of cases that result in a hospital admission, regardless of variant. This number was usually 11-13% late last year and early this year.

So if Omicron stays under 1%, it's fantastic.

Also remember: there was just a story out of South Africa that their hospital admissions were about 19% of cases last year during the beginning of the Delta wave. They're currently about 1.7% of cases. England, so far, is 0.37% of cases.

Read 4 tweets

Kyle Lamb

@kylamb8

9 Dec 21

@GovRonDeSantis

History will look fondly on @GovRonDeSantis for...

* Retreating from lockdowns when he saw a lack of benefit
* Protecting vulnerable
* Being honest when he saw vaccines were reducing risk but not stopping transmission
* Prioritizing treatment
* Recognizing seasonality & immunity

They...scoffed when he said lockdowns weren't helping.
Pleaded when he opened schools.
Ridiculed for citing seasonal patterns.
Threw a tantrum for vaccinating elderly first.
Outraged for banning forced school masks.
Amazed when he recognized vaccines weren't stopping cases.

But time and time again, data proves these decisions correct.

And now we see doubling down on boosters to stop cases that aren't being stopped by vaccines, and they're changing the definition of vaccinated just as he predicted they would.

Read 4 tweets

Kyle Lamb

@kylamb8

8 Dec 21

Yes, it's technically true that most cases are "mild" and have been even with Delta. But to say that is how Delta was being initially reported by people on the ground is an attempt to revise history. That's not how Delta was viewed in the early reports out of India.

1/2

Delta, the B.1.617.2 variant, was discovered in December 2020, although not much was really known about it or was it seen spreading until February 2021.

Immediately, severe illness was being seen in Maharashtra where pneumonia was seen in early stages.

indiatoday.in/coronavirus-ou…

Over the first several weeks, although death rates did not necessarily increase, there were most certainly deaths and the rates did not decrease either. By April, India was experiencing a second wave that doctors were describing as having higher viral loads and rate of symptoms.

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Kyle Lamb

@kylamb8

7 Dec 21

https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1468239798964047888

This is very transparently not science. There is a clear discrediting interest here by Big Pharma. This variant could be good for the world, but bad for business.

https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1468239798964047888

Pfizer profits by quarter

2021 Q3: $24.1 bil
2021 Q2: $19.0 bil
2021 Q1: $14.6 bil
2021 through three quarters: $57.7 billion

All of 2020: $41.9 billion
All of 2019: $51.8 billion
All of 2018: $53.6 billion

Don't mistake anything Pfizer says for science. This is bottom line.

Let me correct myself. I said profits. This is revenue, not profit. Just to clarify.

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