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Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
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31 Dec 21, 4 tweets, 2 min read
This headline! What went through its author's head, and were they directed by an edict from above? Outrageous.
Screenshot in case the original goes away... Image
Gets worse! The BBC quietly amended the article on its website. Original (left) from the Internet Archive. Right is the current version. Anyone coming to it now will wonder what the fuss was about. ImageImage
There are two changes between the original and current versions of the article.

1. Changed headline.

2. Removal of "After learning to serve her crooked father's whims, she then did the same for another tyrant, Jeffrey Epstein." in the bolded introduction below the photo.

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More from @uk_domain_names

Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
27 Dec 21
Here's the reality of the booster programme, which Boris Johnson claimed would boost everyone by the end of December.

The graph shows the number of eligible people (2nd doses 92+ days ago), boosted people and people still needing boosters.

There are 12,260,671 people to go.
So 2.45 million people need to get a booster shot every day between now and the end of the year.

On the very best day so far, 968,665 people were boosted.

In other words: "Ain't gonna happen".

It was always going to be a hollow promise. The numbers involved are just too high.
DATA SOURCES

The following data tables were used in making the graph (plus a bit of simple arithmetic):
cumPeopleVaccinatedSecondDoseByPublishDate
cumPeopleVaccinatedThirdInjectionByPublishDate
coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/downlo…
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
23 Dec 21
2021: UK and EU agree £333 million in fishing opportunities (160,000 tonnes).
gov.uk/government/new…

2022: UK and EU agree £313 million in fishing opportunities (140,000 tonnes).
gov.uk/government/new…

That's -20,000 tonnes and -£20 million year-on-year.

Negotiating genius!
The Express seems excited anyway, despite the reduction
express.co.uk/news/politics/…. Image
Defra's trumpeting the lower deal too... Image
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
23 Dec 21
The Express goes wild over the UK's amazing 2022 fishing deal with the EU, worth around £313 million for 140,000 tonnes of fish.

Of course, in reality our deal this year was worth £333 million for 160,000 tonnes, so we've actually thrown away £20 million.
express.co.uk/news/politics/…
And here's George Eustice boasting about the remarkable achievement of managing to negotiate less fishing quota than the previous year (oddly, he doesn't choose to frame it that way).
Victoria Prentis also seems pretty chuffed at having negotiated away £20 million of fish.
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
21 Dec 21
The wheels are coming off! If you look at the detailed stats for covid patients admitted to hospital, you'll see that there were 926 new patients in England alone on 19 December. (And well over 1,000 for the UK as a whole.)

However, the summary stats only go to 17 December.
In other words the summary data (which the newspapers focus on) is still 24-48h from showing the sudden leap in hospitalisations visible in the detailed stats.

Why the delay? Because the summary requires data for all 4 nations, but there's no data for Scotland after 17 December.
Meanwhile...

"Ministers will not introduce any new Covid restrictions before Christmas in England, Boris Johnson has confirmed, saying there is not enough evidence to justify tougher measures."

Look at the detail, man! The detail!
theguardian.com/politics/2021/…
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
21 Dec 21
Here's how Omicron can be doubling every 2 days or less, even though the number of cases isn't: we don't have one pandemic, we have two - Delta & Omicron.

So for the last month we've had a background high level of Delta (circulating at same speed as before) + rocketing Omicron. Image
NOTES
- Those lines on the graph are to illustrate the point. They're not supposed to be exact
- We only sequence a fraction of cases so we won't find Omicron in the others. If you look only at confirmed Omicron cases, they are indeed doubling every 2 days
- Omicron is becoming dominant and the overwhelming strain, not because Delta went away magically overnight, but because the stats for Delta will be irrelevant compared to the scale of Omicron. (Like a teaspoon of water in a bathtub.)
Read 4 tweets
Edwin Hayward 🦄 🗡 Profile picture
17 Dec 21
Japan: 193 new covid cases yesterday.

UK: 93,045 new covid cases yesterday.

Japan has nearly twice the UK's population, and a higher population density.

Massive covid outbreaks aren't a given - they're a policy choice.
Japan
- Everyone wears masks everywhere. No fuss, no drama, they just do. And life goes on as normal.
- Very strict border control: citizens from 159 countries denied entry, pre-flight and arrival testing, hotel and at-home quarantines, mobile location tracking and reporting.
Japan began vaccinating in earnest much later than the UK. When they got started, they really cracked on with it. And now they're substantially ahead, and with far fewer people in need of urgent boosting.
Read 4 tweets

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