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2 Jan, 10 tweets, 2 min read
The game model was so successful precisely due to exceptional/flawless recruitment and the big fact that they, after City, were the only complete team in all phases in the country.

They had first mover advantage.

The league has increased so much in tactical quality since then.
Even little flaws are going to be ruthlessly exploited. And when the margin of winning is Manchester City, there is no room for imperfection. None at all.

They have assembled what can be argued as the best first 11 in the world and despite the ethereal quality they possess, they
cannot keep pace with the perfection that is City.

The criticism is not that the game model is not good. It is that it is not as good as City's in the fine details of its intents: Liverpool still rely too much on the chaos going their way.

And chaos births unpredictability.
As I remember it, they needed a long string of last minute winners to keep it going in their 99 points season.

Chaos (or luck, whichever you choose to call it), even the smallest bit of it, is not your friend. It is a capricious bitch.

Inside Liverpool's model is a flaw that
means they can't keep pace with City despite having one of the most qualitative teams in the world, physically, technically and mentally.

Now, Chelsea are here. Arsenal will be there next season. Tottenham, too. United if they get a proper coach. West Ham, Crystal Palace,
Brighton, Wolves, Aston Villa. These are all sides with coaches who pay attention to all phases of the game. These are all sides with a great distribution of quality in their teams. These are all sides with money to spend and a good idea of how to spend it.

The EPL has become
ridiculously difficult and right atop it, striding the waves like an evil king with a trident to command the ocean is Pep Guardiola's City.

Perfection is needed in game models. You cannot give teams the slightest chance of getting a hit at you because they'll likely take it.
The only 3 sides who do not give other sides a chance to hit, purely on paper, are:

—Arsenal
—Manchester City
—Chelsea

Starting from next season, all 3 will have most of the qualitative and tactical advantage Liverpool have and all 3 will play with more caution than 'Pool do.
Alongside the rest of the Premier League, Liverpool's game model is going to have less return than it has ever had.

Only today, despite having the instigated chaos go their way twice, the other side had it go their way twice within 5 minutes, too.

Control the chaos.
Squad depletions and atmosphere factors are relevant but over a consistently large sample size, we have seen that Klopp's Liverpool are quite ready to go with the chaos if it is what the other team wants.

That tendency is exactly why they won't keep up with City.

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More from @nonewthing

3 Jan
I used Arsenal's ailments as a chance to explain some basic football concepts/theory with the knowledge that Arsenal will fix these issues under Arteta and those explanations would get even more relevant with time.

One of the reasons many knowledgeable guys got Arteta's Arsenal
rebuild wrong was that they either failed to

—Know these things.

Or

—Understand how important they were to what Arteta is trying to do.

Ramsdale yesterday was picking out runners with 60-yard passes. That was a dynamic Arsenal didn't have last season.
Tomiyasu and Tavares are both ambipedal and both can go inside or outside against a press. That's a dynamic Arsenal did not have last season.

Both Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli can beat their markers from a standing start and find men in the box. That's a dynamic Arsenal
Read 20 tweets
2 Jan
I AM TELLING EVERYONE THAT LIVERPOOL DO NOT CONTROL GAMES ENOUGH and it is tactical intent for the most part, not Thiago being injured.

They will never catch City playing with so much risk in their games.
It looks exciting sure and they often have the quality required to capitalize in chaos but it's not a perfect gameplan.

They are too direct for their own good. This is why they will not win the league.
People talking about Milner and Henderson as if they do not have Jones, Elliot, Keita, Thiago. As if they did not buy Chamberlain.

Even in games where these guys have been fit and playing, the intent is still too vertical.
Read 4 tweets
2 Jan
Rice and Fabinho can both do the defensive part, Rodri doesn't have the nose to properly replicate it, Rice and Fab can't sustain the same quality of dribbling and progressive passing against top sides, Rodri replicates the passing and some of the dribbling/shielding.
Wjnaldum was the only guy who could really reproduce that same performance (we all know he can't hit Partey's progressive passing, though) but he left. Kante as well but with the same issue as Wjnaldum.

Rodri a close third but he can't sustain the same defensive intensity in a
frantic game because he doesn't have the positioning and composure nous at that levelm.

Fabinho a fading fourth. Can do it against smaller sides, though, especially with his passing.
Read 4 tweets
2 Jan
The blueprint is literally there. You have a 1v1 winger in Vinicius who can play against the touchline. You have Mendy who is shit on the ball but very athletic. 3-2-5/3-1-6 in possession with Mendy part of the back 3. Mbappé/Asensio as inside forwards on the right.
Rodrygo, too. Get in a proper RB to hold the width on the right. Proper Vinicius understudy in Sulemana. Casemiro understudy in Tchouameni, too. Aouar on cheap.

Arnold/James/Livramento
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Houssem Aouar
Aurelin Tchouameni
Kylian Mbappé

Cheap summer for Madrid.
They've got to move away from Casemiro-Kroos, even though both are elite at different things.

Tchouameni/Camavinga/Valverde/Aouar over the next 3 seasons becomes the entirety of France's midfield.

See how it works for a season or two then go nab one of the English golden boys
Read 6 tweets
1 Jan
The exact reason why Gabriel is not good enough is that he is a 6'3 giant that goes into duels/situations and it is a toin coss if his team benefits from it.

Someone that athletic should naturally exude more control and calm than anyone else on the pitch. But he doesn't. Image
It is hardly a measurable trait and harder for people to figure out when you are playing in one of the best tactical setups in the league which is why it took me so long to realize it.

That lack of control will result in your team getting into difficult situations and people
won't see who got the team into that situation in the first place.

When you are trying to study/evaluate defenders/defending, try thinking of actions/inactions in terms of situations—what position they put their team in.
Read 13 tweets
1 Jan
I do not and will not understand the people that think Pep Guardiola takes the shits by praising a team or its manager even after he defeats them.

That Magnus Carlsen can beat a chess champion 5 games in a row does not mean it was easy or that the champion was not good at chess.
Guardiola came up with one of the most effective process of playing football and works extremely hard to establish, maintain and improve that process with his teams.

The results he gets is because his process is one of the best in history.

Good teams get dismantled by it.
His side dominates PSG and Liverpool and you think because he beats West Ham by 4 goals they are not a good team?

Pep is not the standard. Don't compare managers to him or his sides. And if you do happen to get compared, take it as the biggest compliment you can get.
Read 4 tweets

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