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3 Jan, 20 tweets, 4 min read
I used Arsenal's ailments as a chance to explain some basic football concepts/theory with the knowledge that Arsenal will fix these issues under Arteta and those explanations would get even more relevant with time.

One of the reasons many knowledgeable guys got Arteta's Arsenal
rebuild wrong was that they either failed to

—Know these things.

Or

—Understand how important they were to what Arteta is trying to do.

Ramsdale yesterday was picking out runners with 60-yard passes. That was a dynamic Arsenal didn't have last season.
Tomiyasu and Tavares are both ambipedal and both can go inside or outside against a press. That's a dynamic Arsenal did not have last season.

Both Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli can beat their markers from a standing start and find men in the box. That's a dynamic Arsenal
did not have until December, last season.

Ben White is extremely comfortable/efficient in engaging in proactive defensive actions high up the pitch. That's a dynamic Arsenal had sporadically last season.

Arteta's approach to a team in possession is similar to Guardiola's. It is
a complete game model WHICH REQUIRES many little things to work consecutively and reliably, such as your goalkeeper being able to play a straight hard pass across the ground, splitting opposition lines and the receiver of that pass to receive well and capitalize.
It is a system of many little things going right and snowballing into one big thing. Arteta's Arsenal before this season lacked a lot of those little things.

These little things were what the other football experts did not know, or could not understand their importance in
what Arteta was trying to do or refused to cut Arteta some kind of slack for not having these things.

We are not perfect, yet, but we have a lot of what we did not have now and these things mean Arteta's ideas (which are similar to Pep's) work better and we have a better team.
Arteta's Arsenal will probably, like Pep's City, continue to improve every season as Arteta collects more of the things his team lacks and adds them to the dynamic.

Right now, we do not have a central outlet or decisiveness in attacking play or physical fitness to press or depth
but every single week that passes by, these issues will ease as the team grows more intelligent and better adapted to the ideas of what we're trying to do.

Yesterday, for the first time, we had an extremely FLEXIBLE pressing scheme which we kept up for extended periods.
Most of the people who analyse Arteta's Arsenal simply do not have a great idea of how teams grow into a Juego De Posicion philosophy. They do not realize that basic things are needed to make it work. And so they look at the data to tell them what is wrong and just repeat that.
This is why I could tell that we did not have creativity issues, even when the data said otherwise.

This is why I seem like a know-it-all who's always right at the end of the day. It's not my fault. I do not know much. It's just that there's a general lack of football knowledge
here, even among tactical and data analysts. Everything I say is based on basic football theory/conceptions. Many people have not studied that even if they are already working adjacent in football.

It was easy to see that Arsenal will be a pressing side under Arteta. The data is
not the only way to tell, because, normally, Pep's game model contains pressing and Arteta has deployed effective pressing before.

There was some other factors at work as to why Arsenal don't/didn't press. Chalk it down to our poor physical state or poor quality or whatever.
If Arsenal do not press high, the game model would be incomplete.

Coaching in real life is not FM where you just click on "Press high" and a team full of sluggards who do not understand body orientation and cover shadows and pressing triggers will automatically become Liverpool.
I'm pretty sure that Arsenal will rank up there in the data metrics when it comes to pressuring with Chelsea/City/Liverpool/Leeds next season.

Pressing is a mental and physical thing.

In this way, I have insight into Arteta's Arsenal that an ordinary analyst doesn't and this
is the source of why I sound so confident and get so many predictions right.

People do not listen on Twitter unless you shout it at them, even the industry professionals.

My Liverpool thread for example is the product of 4 seasons of watching them with increasing regularity.
I can tell that Liverpool are in trouble, and this will be more apparent from next season.

On the day that it becomes very obvious, I will go back to my Liverpool thread and give a long deep sigh. All the abuse and heat for speaking the truth with some poetry.
I do not want 'a job in football' because I know I'm not good enough and I'm still at a basic level compared to professional coaches at the highest level of the game. I do not know how to organize or come up with training exercises, maintain group sessions, or the many little
things that go into implementing an back-up-through move in the 89th minute of a match.

I do not know these things and I must! I cannot even coach kids or I do not believe myself good enough to.

But everything is going to be mine one day. All that knowledge.
The best I can do is evaluate talent ID profiles within minutes. I know nothing yet even though I know the game.

Like I once tweeted, my goal one day is to become the sporting director of a club. This will happen if life continues. Nothing can stop that.

This is the beginning.

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More from @nonewthing

2 Jan
I AM TELLING EVERYONE THAT LIVERPOOL DO NOT CONTROL GAMES ENOUGH and it is tactical intent for the most part, not Thiago being injured.

They will never catch City playing with so much risk in their games.
It looks exciting sure and they often have the quality required to capitalize in chaos but it's not a perfect gameplan.

They are too direct for their own good. This is why they will not win the league.
People talking about Milner and Henderson as if they do not have Jones, Elliot, Keita, Thiago. As if they did not buy Chamberlain.

Even in games where these guys have been fit and playing, the intent is still too vertical.
Read 4 tweets
2 Jan
The game model was so successful precisely due to exceptional/flawless recruitment and the big fact that they, after City, were the only complete team in all phases in the country.

They had first mover advantage.

The league has increased so much in tactical quality since then.
Even little flaws are going to be ruthlessly exploited. And when the margin of winning is Manchester City, there is no room for imperfection. None at all.

They have assembled what can be argued as the best first 11 in the world and despite the ethereal quality they possess, they
cannot keep pace with the perfection that is City.

The criticism is not that the game model is not good. It is that it is not as good as City's in the fine details of its intents: Liverpool still rely too much on the chaos going their way.

And chaos births unpredictability.
Read 10 tweets
2 Jan
Rice and Fabinho can both do the defensive part, Rodri doesn't have the nose to properly replicate it, Rice and Fab can't sustain the same quality of dribbling and progressive passing against top sides, Rodri replicates the passing and some of the dribbling/shielding.
Wjnaldum was the only guy who could really reproduce that same performance (we all know he can't hit Partey's progressive passing, though) but he left. Kante as well but with the same issue as Wjnaldum.

Rodri a close third but he can't sustain the same defensive intensity in a
frantic game because he doesn't have the positioning and composure nous at that levelm.

Fabinho a fading fourth. Can do it against smaller sides, though, especially with his passing.
Read 4 tweets
2 Jan
The blueprint is literally there. You have a 1v1 winger in Vinicius who can play against the touchline. You have Mendy who is shit on the ball but very athletic. 3-2-5/3-1-6 in possession with Mendy part of the back 3. Mbappé/Asensio as inside forwards on the right.
Rodrygo, too. Get in a proper RB to hold the width on the right. Proper Vinicius understudy in Sulemana. Casemiro understudy in Tchouameni, too. Aouar on cheap.

Arnold/James/Livramento
Kamaldeen Sulemana
Houssem Aouar
Aurelin Tchouameni
Kylian Mbappé

Cheap summer for Madrid.
They've got to move away from Casemiro-Kroos, even though both are elite at different things.

Tchouameni/Camavinga/Valverde/Aouar over the next 3 seasons becomes the entirety of France's midfield.

See how it works for a season or two then go nab one of the English golden boys
Read 6 tweets
1 Jan
The exact reason why Gabriel is not good enough is that he is a 6'3 giant that goes into duels/situations and it is a toin coss if his team benefits from it.

Someone that athletic should naturally exude more control and calm than anyone else on the pitch. But he doesn't. Image
It is hardly a measurable trait and harder for people to figure out when you are playing in one of the best tactical setups in the league which is why it took me so long to realize it.

That lack of control will result in your team getting into difficult situations and people
won't see who got the team into that situation in the first place.

When you are trying to study/evaluate defenders/defending, try thinking of actions/inactions in terms of situations—what position they put their team in.
Read 13 tweets
1 Jan
I do not and will not understand the people that think Pep Guardiola takes the shits by praising a team or its manager even after he defeats them.

That Magnus Carlsen can beat a chess champion 5 games in a row does not mean it was easy or that the champion was not good at chess.
Guardiola came up with one of the most effective process of playing football and works extremely hard to establish, maintain and improve that process with his teams.

The results he gets is because his process is one of the best in history.

Good teams get dismantled by it.
His side dominates PSG and Liverpool and you think because he beats West Ham by 4 goals they are not a good team?

Pep is not the standard. Don't compare managers to him or his sides. And if you do happen to get compared, take it as the biggest compliment you can get.
Read 4 tweets

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