Addition: the genetic combinations of Omicron and Delta that form when someone is infected by both can be expected to result in new variants with a wide range of properties.
Don’t think about the virus as what it is today but what it might become.

The virus has a very large space of possible options. Omicron has 60 mutations, another combination of 60 mutations will result in very different properties.
If we don’t want more possibilities there is one sure way that will prevent it: reducing the amount of virus that is transmitting. We are doing the opposite so far, there is more virus not less.
There are many more than 10^100 (1 with 100 zeros after it) variants with 60 mutations and standard arguments suggest there are more than 10^1000 possible variations that are genetically "this virus".

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Yaneer Bar-Yam

Yaneer Bar-Yam Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @yaneerbaryam

1 Jan
In this New Year, the health of children, families, and teachers, is the first priority for everyone—children, parents, teachers, schools.

Schools are going to remote learning.

1/ New Jersey
2/ Maryland

Prince George's County

newsmax.com/newsfront/covi…
Read 21 tweets
31 Dec 21
5 Western "powers" account for 2/3(!) of total reported cases and the high case numbers also have high positivity so many cases are missed.
(565987+206243+189213+161688+126888)/1879375 = 0.67
These countries account for 7.2% of the global population.
Read 5 tweets
25 Dec 21
Facing leadership that kills

"How could public health reimagine ways to protect the population and reinvent itself amid a pandemic?

"Before covid only two things were known to influence the course of pandemic diseases—isolation and vaccination. 1/

WFPHA link.springer.com/article/10.105…
"We must now add murderous incompetence, culpable negligence, perfunctory conduct of government response, wantonly foolish ideology-driven reliance on organisations and individuals who conspicuously lacked the necessary attributes to perform their assigned tasks. 2/
"Abbasi equated the lethal results of political decisions during the pandemic to ‘social murder’.This describes what occurs when those in power force the population to live in conditions that increase,inevitably,their risk of avoidable and premature death. doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n3…
Read 17 tweets
23 Dec 21
UK data: Omicron is as severe as Delta for cases that would be infected by Delta, and infects people who would not be infected by Delta (due to immunity of prior infection or vaccination). Those cases are less severe. By Simpsons paradox Omicron seems less severe, but is more. 1/
Also the medical definition of "mild" continues to mean "not hospitalized".

Both so-called mild cases and long covid that can follow can be devastating and life changing.

2/

A just released study shows that the virus remains active in many organs of the body including many places in the brain for months after infection. The "acute" phase of the infection is only the beginning.

Read 6 tweets
22 Dec 21
NIH Study: "SARS-CoV-2 is widely distributed, even among patients who died with asymptomatic to mild COVID-19, and that virus replication is present in multiple extrapulmonary tissues early in infection...[and] throughout the brain for up to 230 days

1/

researchsquare.com/article/rs-113…
"We show SARS-CoV-2 disseminates across the human body and brain early in infection at high levels, and provide evidence of virus replication at multiple extrapulmonary [outside the lungs] sites during the first week following symptom onset.

2/
"We demonstrate conclusively that SARS-CoV-2 is capable of infecting and replicating within ... the heart, lymph node, small intestine, and adrenal gland...high levels of SARS-CoV-2 RNA and evidence of
replication in colon, lymphoid tissues, and ocular tissues.

3/
Read 11 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(