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Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
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5 Jan, 4 tweets, 1 min read
What makes me laugh here is that while I 100% support the findings and think they're credible, the top left graph is clearly still misleading.
If your data doesn't cross the zero axis it should be within a single color. A color change, such as from blue to green to yellow, should always indicate a *categorical* difference, not a difference of degree on a single scale.
I know my views on this are radical and at odds with standard data viz rules, but it's honestly nuts to me people think it's okay to use different colors along one scale, even if they're evenly metered!
Broadly, I would really like to see more empirical studies on what graph features make graphs easier for people to interpret correctly, find interesting, etc.

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More from @lymanstoneky

Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
6 Jan
What is the best empirical evidence that therapy actually improves mental health?

I am struggling to find anything credible.
This meta-analysis of 147 studies seems to suggest p-hacking is very common, publication bias is huge, and even with that the typical effect of therapy vs. care-as-usual is clinically insignificant. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21770842/
This more recent one specifically on CBT for adult depression suggests that CBT has been wildly overrated by creative research practices. journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.117…
Read 22 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
6 Jan
This whole thread is striking.

My take is: in general, for decades, Capitol security forces have use too little violence to dispense with people who should be allowed to become the martyrs they so obviously desire to be.
Indeed, the extent to which Capitol security forces have repeatedly failed to use lethal force when the government was under threat arguably is an important causal element in what appears to be a decades-long trend of increasing violence at the Capitol and WH.
What I'm saying is that a whiff of grapeshot is an important part of a just and civil society.
Read 9 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
6 Jan
look, women being able to vote is barely a century old, and since women might socialize more than men, it's really not to much to ask, for the sake of public health, that we suspend women's suffrage

your great-grandma didn't need to vote, why do you?
also to be clear mandatory schooling is much more than a century old in many states
non-white people have been infected by covid at higher rates; they are clearly a problem population; civil rights for non-whites are not even a century old, so why not suspend them for a few months while we get things under control?

that's literally the argument here
Read 9 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
6 Jan
worth noting that cumulative COVID cases and deaths in Australia remain waaaaaay lower than the US. kinda weird to look at those two lines and think they are similar!
Like, "we kept COVID at nearly zero until a weaker variant came along and most people were vaccinated" is.... a huge success! That's the goal! That's what winning looks like!
After April or May 2020, true "COVID Zero" was never on the table, and the rational goal of policy was always "keep things okay until widespread vaccination makes the mortality cost of widespread exposure acceptably low."
Read 17 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
6 Jan
ah but see my take is: racing horses for entertainment is fine because the net economic value is extremely high, but imprisoning animals in your house for fun is bad.
if the economic value to society of a practice is sufficiently high, some amount of discomfort for animals is justifiable. discomforting a small number of horses so that millions of people can enjoy their racing is a fair tradeoff!
imprisoning an animal for life so that 2 or 3 or 4 people can enjoy oo-ing at it for 2 hours a day is, however, not great.

similarly, zoos are fine; everybody keeping a tiger in the backyard is not so fine.
Read 8 tweets
Lyman Stone 石來民 🦬🦬🦬 Profile picture
5 Jan
Hard disagree. It is now possible to adopt many of the life rhythms and social forms of "homestead" life without being a subsistence farmer by doing remote work. This isn't LARPing, it's a genuinely new form inspired by a historically-rooted ideal.
The family with four kids where the wife has an Etsy shop of craft goods and runs the local homeschool co-op and the husband is working as a freelancer online needn't do backbreaking labor to nonetheless be free of employer relations, socially largely autonomous, etc
The historic farmer wasn't perfectly economically autonomous either; truly autarkic living is vanishingly rare in human demographic history.

But there's no reason to treat these new "homesteaders" as LARPers or hypocrites.
Read 16 tweets

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