The risk of myocarditis in kids after mRNA vaccines is MUCH lower than was initially feared.
12-15 yo: 265 cases/18.7m doses = 1.4 cases/100k kids vaxxed
5-11 yo: 12 cases/8m doses = 0.12 cases/100k kids vaxxed
For context, the risk of getting struck by⚡️ is ~0.2/100k per year.
12-15 yo: 265 cases/18.7m doses = 1.4 cases/100k kids vaxxed
5-11 yo: 12 cases/8m doses = 0.12 cases/100k kids vaxxed
For context, the risk of getting struck by⚡️ is ~0.2/100k per year.
https://twitter.com/erictopol/status/1478843475349032961
People asking about 16-17 yo males:
Yes we know that group has slightly higher (but still objectively low 7/100k) rates of myocarditis
The point is that rates of myocarditis are *even* lower in younger kids (5-15 yo) Hence ACIP’s recommendation that kids *should* get boosted.
Yes we know that group has slightly higher (but still objectively low 7/100k) rates of myocarditis
The point is that rates of myocarditis are *even* lower in younger kids (5-15 yo) Hence ACIP’s recommendation that kids *should* get boosted.
As for the VSD data. In this dataset, among people aged 12-17yo, they reported 39 cases out of 1.1m vaccinations. Most were mild.
This is higher but still objectively very rare: 3.2/100k
Again, this safety data was used by ACIP to justify a stronger “SHOULD” recommendation
This is higher but still objectively very rare: 3.2/100k
Again, this safety data was used by ACIP to justify a stronger “SHOULD” recommendation
As for the Israeli data, they reported 136 cases of myocarditis out of 5.1m vaccinated.
This is a slightly higher rate among 16-19 yo males (15/100k) after the 2nd dose
Two caveats:
-99% of these cases were mild
-Smaller studies over/underestimate incidence in subgroups
This is a slightly higher rate among 16-19 yo males (15/100k) after the 2nd dose
Two caveats:
-99% of these cases were mild
-Smaller studies over/underestimate incidence in subgroups
https://twitter.com/nickmmark/status/1466207611179569153
Remember that the risk of myocarditis after COVID vaccination is *orders of magnitude* lower than the risk of myocarditis after COVID infection, even in young males.
A CDC study of people w/ COVID19 found that in <16 yo’s the incidence of myocarditis was 218/64,898 = 335/100k!
A CDC study of people w/ COVID19 found that in <16 yo’s the incidence of myocarditis was 218/64,898 = 335/100k!
https://twitter.com/nickmmark/status/1466207612194623489
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