The Reliance $4 billion bond issue, at 2.8% to 3.75% is a solid achievement - it will reduce their interest cost (will be used to reduce current borrowing) and they're naturally hedged with their exports.
Disclosure: we are interested.
Okay since SO MANY PEOPLE seem to have problems with Reliance borrowing money at these obscenely low rates, a thread on why.
Reliance has 80,000 cr. of term loans from banks.
Reliance also has 150,000 cr. in mutual funds+GSec+TBills+bonds. So it is not a big worry.
Banks cannot lend at less than "MCLR" - a rate below which NO loan can be given. Bank MCLRs are currently 7%+ for indian banks.(see image) Reliance says it borrows between 0.31% and 8.34% (annual report)
If Reliance pays back some term loans it has at high rates, and gets long term loans at 2.9% to 3.8% fixed USD, that's pretty good for the interest rate profile.
Another thing to note is: Fixed rates, 10/30/40 year profile. Unless long term rates come down heavily in India for corporates, the term is useful
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Companies that go IPO saying they'll acquire someone (without saying who) have to only use 25% of amount raised, plus max 10% for "General Corporate Purposes".
Will reduce IPO fund raising unless for a specific purpose.
Where a shareholder is selling in the IPO:
- If they own >20% preipo, can max offer half what they own
- if they own <20%, can max offer 1/10th of what they own
Credit rating agencies become "monitoring agency" for IPO proceeds usage. (No banks or other institutions)
Monitoring report on quarterly basis.
Repo unchanged. RBI sounds scared of inflation but not so much. They're gonna use VRRR to keep short term rates relatively high.
This means they will continue to be some printing. VRRRs increase, and will have longer VRRRs (28 days already could be more). If you don't understand this don't worry, it will change absolutely nothing about your life.
Given this, there is really no big need of changing the reverse repo rate.
This is a very weird market. Some of the recent IPOs doing well. Old gen stocks not so much. This doesn't augur that well really - needs a trigger to take it back up
One look at the FII data, and god, they are selling like crazy, you would think. But THEY ARE NOT.
FPI data from NSDL (This is the accurate source, not the exchanges) shows that FIIs have put in a whopping 27,000 cr. into IPOs, while taking money out of other stocks.
In fact FII investments in total have been very very high in 2021 with over 95,000 cr. invested. Biggest year for Debt since 2017.
The PMC rescue: what it means is that rbi insurance pays up to 5l for principal plus interest only till 31 March 2021. If you have more than that you get money in pieces over 10 years but no further interest.
That is retail. All corporates who have money in it will get preference shares at 1% dividend per year with 80% of their money.
The remaining 20% will become equity warrants but to convert to equity they get to do it at the lower end of price band whenever bank goes ipo.
This is positive for the bank and for the acquirers. Most liabilities will be covered by the rbi insurance and share conversion of corporate deposits. Most loans are probably gone, but what loans remain will easily pay for the remaining liabilities over 10years.
Moving out of coal entirely is silly for india right now. We are of course going nuclear for power but it's the rich developed countries that slow us down. We'll move when economics dictate it
Electric 2 and 3 wheelers will rock in India, not because they are environmentally better, but because, in a few years, they will be substantially cheaper.
For power, it will be about storage, localization and a move to DC, IMHO, for residential.
Run Fridge or heater on LPG/PNG and nearly all other devices (even Aircons with VFDs) can run on DC - it'll be cheaper and will reduce use of grid power. Such a thing is a disaster for the large investments in grids and in power plants, but that's okay.