Iranian support for Arab militias has long threatened Iran’s foes, unable to develop an effective counterstrategy.
A string of recent events suggests that the usefulness of at least some of the militias in Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, and Palestine is fading as their popularity reduced and relations with Tehran encounter headwinds.
Of course, Tehran is not going to dump its non-state Arab allies.
They remain too powerful a military force to defeat and valuable leverage of Iranian regional power in Lebanon and Iraq even if they may be past the peak of their lifecycle.
They remain too powerful a military force to defeat and valuable leverage of Iranian regional power in Lebanon and Iraq even if they may be past the peak of their lifecycle.
Thanks to Iran, Hezbollah has become the most powerful political and military force in Lebanon, a player in the Syrian civil war, and a model for militias elsewhere.
Hamas has controlled the impoverished Gaza Strip since 2007 while the Houthis have damaged the Saudi war machine.
Hamas has controlled the impoverished Gaza Strip since 2007 while the Houthis have damaged the Saudi war machine.
At the moment, the benefits of support for non-state Arab militias continue to outstrip the cost for Tehran.
The key question is, for how long?
The key question is, for how long?
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