"The US has been attempting to infiltrate Kazakhstan, and some NGOs have served as outposts for this effort" - retiree editor-in-chief of the Global Times, Hu Xijin, believes KZ's situation is already resembling a "color revolution" and is rapidly deteriorating.
Excerpts:
1/9
"Old Hu believes that China will continue to be a strong supporter of Kazakhstan's efforts to stabilize the situation by itself. KZ is a close neighbor of both Russia and China, and both countries are concerned about its stability.
2/
"Nazarbayev had had a positive attitude toward developing relations with the US, with the intention of balancing the influence of China and Russia. At the same time, he'd kept a close eye on Washington. Despite this, a color revolution is felt across KZ.
3/
"Kazakhstan has the highest per capita income in Central Asia, but the country's political stability has been seriously shaken in recent years by a raging pandemic and economic downturn.
4/
"Because Nazarbayev has been in power for so long, it's possible that the country has developed some entrenched interest groups, and public discontent is gradually growing, but the catalyst for a breakthrough remains the economy's and people's downward spirals.
5/
"This is what the Western forces consider Kazakhstan's seventh inch (idiom: "to kill the snake, one must strike seven inches below its head").
6/
"They clearly want to "mess up" Kazakhstan, and their goal is to destabilize and drive a wedge into the strategic stability of Russia and China's neighborhood. However, neither Russia nor China will allow the US or the West to push Kazakhstan into a long-term state of chaos.
7/
"To date, Russians make up about 20% of Kazakhstan's population, China is the country's primary energy consumer, and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) supports its member states' stability.
8/
"Suffice it to say, there are still many internal and external conditions that must be met for Kazakhstan to return to its previous stable path following such a period of turmoil."
9/9

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More from @GeringTuvia

7 Jan
"The rise of China will unavoidably reshape the theory of human rights"- Prof Jiang Shigong of Peking U Law School sees trade and human rights in contemporary discourse as a reflection of two different visions for the international global order, one American and one Chinese.
1/9 Image
Jiang is a well-known legal theorist and anti-liberal advocate, famous for translating and promoting the political theories of Hitler's court juror, Carl Schmitt. I encourage you to look through his previous works, which were introduced on this platform by China Twitter peers.
2/
The US inherited and reshaped the British empire after WWII, says Jiang, to create its own global order, which dominates emerging economies under the guise of free and fair trade on the one hand and neoliberal ideologies on the other.
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Read 11 tweets
7 Jan
"When we say that China-Russia relations are 'not an alliance, but better than an alliance,' we don't mean that the two are allied per se, but rather that political mutual trust between them is growing far more than it was during the Sino-Soviet alliance" - Yu Hongjun
1/6
30 years ago, on December 25, 1991, Mikhail Gorbachev announced his resignation, signaling the beginning of the Soviet Union's demise. To mark the occasion, Guancha sat down with Eastern Europe scholar Yu Hongjun.
2/
Yu is a former Chinese ambassador to Uzbekistan and Vice President of the Chinese People's Association for Peace and Disarmament. They discuss how the events of three decades ago have shaped Russian leadership today, as well as the development of the former Soviet republics.
3/
Read 6 tweets
6 Jan
"Other possible causes of the current mass riots in Kazakhstan should be considered, particularly the role of NGOs. The possibility that they receive foreign funding cannot be ruled out" - Yang Jin of CASS makes a telling argument for what's unfolding in #Kazakhstan.
1/11
Yang is the deputy director of the Institute of Russian, Eastern European, and Central Asian Studies of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), a top think-tank under the auspices of the Chinese government.
2/
Contrary to some "Western reports," Yang believes the situation will soon stabilize for three reasons:
"First, according to the majority of the Kazakhstani public, the situation has not yet boiled to the point where a change of government or top ruler is needed.
3/
Read 12 tweets
4 Jan
"After several years of games and conflicts, the major forces of the region have reached a point of rebalancing" - one of China's leading experts on the Middle East, Li Weijian of SIIS, provides a year-end assessment of the regional situation for Xinmin Evening News
Excerpts:
1/6 Image
"This year has seen new developments in the Middle East. After several years of games and conflicts, the major regional forces have reached a point of rebalancing. Countries have launched a series of proactive diplomatic actions to reduce regional tensions, and
2/
"some countries that were previously hostile or distant from each other have begun to come closer through bilateral interactions or third-party mediation, and the regional situation has significantly improved... The new ME situation is driven by the following factors:
3/
Read 7 tweets
4 Jan
"This rare moment of calm in the Middle East's long history of chaotic wars is a gift to the people of the region and a blessing for the rest of the world" - CICIR President Yuan Peng joins a chorus of Chinese analysts who've begun to acknowledge the existence of "a new ME".
1/12 Image
CICIR, a think tank affiliated with the Ministry of State Security and overseen by the CCP's Central Committee, has released its annual International Strategy and Security Situation Assessment. I recommend reading the report's preface by Yuan. MENA-relevant excerpts:
2/
"Following the withdrawal of US forces, the ME has shown a level of calm not seen in years. Several countries have begun a gradual transition, the Iranian nuclear issue has returned to the negotiating table, and relations between Israel and Arab countries, in general, have eased.
Read 12 tweets
28 Dec 21
"We have full confidence in our ability to beat any opponent within 1,000 nautical miles, including the US and its coalition forces" - IR Professor Jin Canrong of Renmin U, a "US-hand," believes that the possibility of the US engaging in a Taiwan dispute is very low. Excerpt:
1/4
"One advantage we have over our adversaries is that we have superior electronic warfare capabilities. And the rocket force you mentioned... China leads the world in medium- and medium-long-range conventional missiles. There is no force on the planet that can compete with us.
2/
"The US has fallen far behind us; for example, we are the best in hypersonic missiles. They've only recently begun to test this technology, and I believe they're at least five years behind us.
3/
Read 4 tweets

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